The Houston Astros travel to Toronto tonight, where they'll face the AL-leading Blue Jays. First pitch is at 7:07 pm E.T, with the Astros pitching Jason Alexander (4-1, 5.05 xFIP), and José Berríos (9-5, 4.39 xFIP) on the mound for the Blue Jays.
Houston enters this game with only a one-game lead over the Seattle Mariners in the AL West, while the Blue Jays top the AL East rival Yankees and Red Sox by three games
The Astros hold a 3-2 lead in the season series. With postseason positioning on the line, this matchup at Rogers Centre is a big one.
We've got today’s top MLB picks in the Astros vs Blue Jays matchup below, including pitcher projections to target for Wednesday, September 10, for PrizePicks real money MLB game.
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Astros vs. Blue Jays Prediction & Picks, 9/10
Here are three Astros vs. Blue Jays picks to target on PrizePicks MLB today, including starting pitcher picks.
- Astros P Jason Alexander – 15.5 Pitching Outs
- Blue Jays P José Berríos – 2.5 Earned Runs Allowed
- Astros DH Yordan Alvarez – 6.5 Hitter Fantasy Score
Astros P Jason Alexander Projection: 15.5 Pitching Outs
- Over his last 95 plate appearances, Astros SP Jason Alexander has allowed:
- A 9.5% barrel rate
- 45% hard-hit rate
- 30% fly ball rate
- In his last 4 starts, Alexander has allowed 10 earned runs across 21 innings — consistently giving up 2 ER in each outing.
- He’s also failed to complete more than 5 full innings in each of his last 3 starts.
- The Toronto Blue Jays are a negative matchup for Alexander:
- They rank among the top contact teams in baseball. Over last 30 days: 28th in K rate (18.8%) and fifth in batting average (.262)
- Their 17.4% K rate vs. RHP is the lowest in MLB, tied with the Royals..
Blue Jays P José Berríos Projection: 2.5 Earned Runs Allowed
- In his last 81 batters faced, Blue Jays SP José Berríos has:
- Allowed a 12% barrel rate
- A concerning 56% hard-hit rate
- 30% fly ball rate
- In his last three starts, Berríos has surrendered 10 earned runs in just 12 innings pitched.
- The last time he faced Houston, Berríos gave up 5 ER and recorded only 1 strikeout.
- The Astros are a negative matchup for Berriors:
- They own a .298 BABIP vs. RHP this season (9th in MLB)
- And a 49% hard-hit rate this season
Astros DH Yordan Alvarez Projection: 6.5 Hitter Fantasy Score
- Since returning from the IL, Yordan Alvarez has crushed RHP. In his last 33 PA vs. RHP:
- 33% fly ball rate
- 70% hard-hit rate
- 20% barrel rate
- Against Berríos in his career, Alvarez already has 2 home runs.
- In the month of September, Alvarez is hitting .516 (16-for-31).
Make MLB Picks on PrizePicks
Wednesday's Astros vs. Blue Jays matchup provides a chance to make your predictions as we get into the heat of the MLB playoff positioning and divisional chase.
Both of these teams are in the thick of the playoff hunt, so every inning matters.
Just build your MLB Lineup on PrizePicks with your favorite MLB players and win real money if your picks are correct. All you have to do is pick More or Less on at least two player projections — like hitter fantasy score or pitcher fantasy Score — to win.
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