The New York Mets (3-3) and San Francisco Giants (2-4) begin their four-game series in San Francisco on Thursday, April 2. First pitch is 9:45 p.m. ET on MLB Network, featuring a battle of left-handed pitchers with Mets SP David Peterson vs. Giants SP Robbie Ray.
Below, we’ll break down our Mets vs. Giants prediction and picks for Thursday night’s game. Make your MLB picks on PrizePicks and earn real money if you’re right, including on game winners, spreads, and totals!
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Mets vs. Giants Prediction, Winner Payout, Over/Under
The Giants are having problems scoring runs right now. In their season-opening series vs. the Yankees, they combined for just 1 run over three games. While they scored 9 runs in a win over the Padres on Tuesday, they combined for only 4 runs in the other two games of the series.
This could be a low-scoring game on both sides since the Mets have also struggled to be productive at the plate. After tallying 11 runs in their first game of the season, they have scored 4 or fewer runs in all five games since. Over the course of their three-game series with the Cardinals, they combined for just 5 runs. New York's run production has not met preseason expectations.
How could that translate for MLB predictions today?
Mets vs. Giants Winner Payout, Over/Under
The Mets are road favorites tonight, returning a 1.78x payout on PrizePicks Team Picks if they win outright.
The Giants are home underdogs and return a 2.04x payout if they win outright, per PrizePicks Team Picks, where you can earn money with your picks in 35 states.
- Spread: Mets -1.5 (2.32x payout)
- Over/Under: 7.5 runs (1.88x payout on over)
- Gamer Winner Payout: Mets 1.78x | Giants 2.04x
Team picks data is live as of publishing and is subject to change.
Mets vs. Giants Prediction on Over/Under – 4/2/26
Here are the key stats to know before locking in your Mets vs. Giants prediction on the over/under for Thursday, April 2, on PrizePicks.
- Peterson held the Pirates scores across 5.3 innings in his first start of the season.
- The lefty starter posted a 1.37 WHIP last season, but he only allowed 11 home runs across 168.7 innings. That's been a strength across his career, proven by only 0.9 HR/9 allowed.
- Last season, the Giants had the lowest OPS in baseball vs. left-handed pitchers (.631), per MLB.com.
- The Mets had their own problems versus southpaws last year. They only had a .696 OPS in the split, compared to their .777 OPS against right-handed pitchers.
- In two starts vs. the Mets last year, Ray allowed 3 runs over 12.7 innings.
- According to Baseball Savant, Oracle Park posted a Park Factor of 97 from 2023-2025, making it one of the more pitcher-friendly venues in baseball.
Mets vs. Giants Picks for PrizePicks Today: 4/2/26
Here are top Mets vs. Giants picks to target for Thursday, April 2, on PrizePicks. Today's PrizePicks MLB player picks are headlined by Mets SS Francisco Lindor and Giants SP Robbie Ray.
Mets SS Francisco Lindor vs. Giants Projection: 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
- Lindor was limited in spring training as he recovered from hamate bone surgery.
- With limited spring training at-bats under his belt, the Mets star shortstop is just 3-for-21 across his first six games. That included him going 1-for-10 over the three-game road series vs. the Cardinals.
- This game being on the road could be significant. Per Fangraphs, Lindor had a .306 wOBA and a .174 ISO on the road last year. At home, he posted a .350 wOBA and a .199 ISO.
- Left-handed pitchers limited the 32-year-old to a .303 wOBA and a .130 ISO in 2025.
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Giants SP Robbie Ray vs. Mets Projection: 16.5 Pitching Outs
- Ray recorded 16 outs in his first start of the season vs. the Yankees. He threw 89 pitches, so he could be cleared to throw around 100 pitches in this outing.
- The veteran southpaw threw 102 and 104 pitches in his two outings vs. the Mets last season, recording 17 and 21 outs in those games.
- In 16 home starts last season, Ray recorded at least 17 outs 11 times.
- Helping Ray potentially keep his pitch count down, the Mets had a .317 OBP on the road last year. At home, they had a .335 OBP.
Giants 3B Matt Chapman vs. Mets Projection: 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
- Giants 3B Matt Chapman is 4-for-22 with 6 strikeouts and 3 walks over his first six games.
- The defensive wizard only has one extra-base hit on his way to recording 2 RBIs and 3 runs scored.
- Chapman recorded a .312 wOBA at home last year, versus a .362 wOBA on the road.
- The veteran is coming off a 2025 campaign in which he posted a 9.9% barrel rate that was his lowest mark since 2018.
Make Mets vs. Giants Picks on PrizePicks
Thursday’s matchup between the Mets and Giants has the potential to be a low-scoring affair. That may lead to muted stat lines from Lindor and Chapman, while Ray could pitch deep into the matchup.
You can make Mets vs. Giants picks on PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks to earn real money. Just pick MLB players, predict More or Less on their projected stats, and cash in if you’re correct. And with Team Picks, you can make predictions on winners, spreads, and over/unders, now available in 35 states.
Stick around with the Playbook for continued MLB predictions, picks, and news throughout the 2026 season.
