A whopping 22 of the NBA’s 30 teams are in action on Easter Sunday, and the nightcap could be one of the most exciting clashes of the bunch.
At 10:00 p.m. ET, the Houston Rockets and Golden State Warriors meet for a bout that’ll air on NBC and Peacock. As the Rockets continue to jockey for prime playoff seeding, they’re favored by 3.5 points on the road.
Below, we’ll break down our Rockets vs. Warriors prediction and picks for Sunday night’s game. Make your NBA picks on PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks and earn real money if you’re right, including on game winners, spreads, and totals!
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Rockets vs. Warriors Prediction, Spread, Over/Under
Despite acquiring F Kevin Durant during the offseason, this hasn’t quite been the campaign Houston had in mind. Head coach Ime Udoka’s crew is 48-29 this season, currently slotted into the No. 5 seed in the loaded Western Conference.
The Rockets are 1.5 games behind the Denver Nuggets and a pair of games ahead of the Minnesota Timberwolves as the regular season winds down.
Speaking of things not necessarily going as planned, that’s the story of this Warriors season. With all-world PG Stephen Curry hurt for a major chunk of the year and F Jimmy Butler joining him, Golden State simply hasn’t had the firepower to thrive.
Curry has received clearance to return on Sunday, and the Dubs need him. The Warriors are 36-41, occupying the final play-in spot out West, and sit three games behind the Los Angeles Clippers.
The Rockets and Warriors have squared off 240 times in their regular-season history, with Houston owning a 129-111 advantage. Golden State triumphed in the most recent meeting, however, on March 5.
Rockets vs. Warriors Spread, Over/Under
The Rockets enter Sunday’s game as 3.5-point road favorites, returning a 1.58x payout on PrizePicks Team Picks if they win outright.
The Warriors are home underdogs with a 2.32x payout if they win, via PrizePicks Team Picks, where you can earn money with your picks in 35 states.
- Spread: Houston Rockets -3.5
- Over/Under: 226.5
- Game Winner Payout: Rockets 1.58x | Warriors 2.32x
Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.
Rockets vs. Warriors Injury Report
Let’s dive into the full Rockets vs. Warriors injury report for Sunday, via NBA.com.
Houston Rockets Injury Report
- No injuries reported.
Golden State Warriors Injury Report
- SG Seth Curry (adductor): Questionable
- PG Stephen Curry (knee): Questionable
- C Al Horford (calf): OUT
- C Quinten Post (foot): OUT
- PF Gui Santos (pelvic): Probable
Rockets vs. Warriors Prediction on Spread – 4/5/26
Here are the key stats to know before locking in your Rockets vs. Warriors prediction on spread for Sunday, April 5 on PrizePicks.
- Houston is 26-40 against the spread as favorites this season, including a 12-19 ATS mark as road favorites. Fortunately for them, they play the Warriors, who are just 4-7 ATS as home underdogs.
- The Rockets’ offense is nothing to write home about, sitting 20th in per-game scoring (114.8 points) and 22nd in 2-point shooting percentage (53.7%).
- On defense, Houston clamps down on opponents, surrendering the fourth-fewest points per shot at 1.111.
- The Warriors’ offense is just 19th in rating (113.7). Per NBA Advanced Stats, before Curry’s injury, that unit was 14th (114.8).
- Defensively, the Dubs struggle, allowing the 22nd-ranked shooting clip (47.8%) and 1.163 points per shot (20th).
Rockets vs. Warriors Picks for PrizePicks Today: 4/5/26
Here are three top Rockets vs. Warriors picks to target for Sunday, April 5 on PrizePicks. Player stat projections via PrizePicks are headlined by F Kevin Durant, PG Amen Thompson, and PG Stephen Curry.
Rockets F Kevin Durant vs. Warriors Projection: 24 Points
- Durant is putting up 25.8 PPG on the season, including a 26.6 ledger in his last eight contests.
- Since the All-Star break, KD has made a scorching 54.5% of his shots from the field and 42.1% of his 3-point tries.
- On shots from 3-10 feet, Durant is canning a career-high 61.1% of looks.
- Not counting the 2019-20 campaign when he sat out due to injury, this is the 14th consecutive year in which Durant has a true shooting percentage of 61% or greater.
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Rockets PG Amen Thompson vs. Warriors Projection: 31.5 Pts + Rebs + Asts
- Thompson averages exactly 31.0 points, rebounds, and assists each time out. Since the break, that number is up to 31.7.
- Per FantasyPros, the Warriors give up 26.36 PPG to the PG position, the fifth-highest allowance in the sport.
- Thompson pulls down 12.4% of defensive rebounding chances and 7.4% of his own misses, which puts him in the 79th and 94th percentiles, respectively (databallr).
- Even with the Durant addition, Thompson’s usage (19.9%) and assist (20.3%) rates are the highest of his career, paired with a personal-low 13.4% turnover clip.
Warriors PG Stephen Curry vs. Rockets Projection: 19 Points
- In 39 games this season, Curry averages 27.2 PPG, but he could be on a minutes restriction given that it’s his first game back from injury.
- If his current 3-point accuracy of 39.1% holds, it’d mark the first time in Curry’s career that he shot sub-40% from deep in back-to-back years.
- According to NBA RAPM, Steph produces just 1.00 points per possession on spot-ups, putting him in the 41st percentile.
- Houston surrenders just 23.99 PPG to the PG position (ninth-fewest) and ranks sixth in defensive rating at 112.1.
Make Rockets vs. Warriors Picks on PrizePicks
Rockets vs. Warriors picks for this exciting Easter Sunday slate aren’t the only avenue hoops fans have to getting in on the daily NBA action.
You can make your picks on PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks and earn real money. Just pick players, predict More or Less on their projected stats, and cash in if you’re correct. With Team Picks, make predictions on winners, spreads, and over/unders, now available in 35 states.
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