Leverkusen and Arsenal are set to clash for the first of two legs in the Champions League round of 16. Leverkusen vs. Arsenal meet for just the third time on Wednesday, March 11, at 1:45 p.m. ET on Paramount+.
Can Leverkusen take down the EPL’s top team, or will Mikel Arteta and his squad extend their 11-game unbeaten streak in all competitions?
Below, we’ll break down our Leverkusen vs. Arsenal UCL predictions and picks for Wednesday afternoon’s clash. Make your Champions League picks on PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks and earn real money if you’re right, including on players, goal totals, and more!
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Leverkusen vs. Arsenal Prediction, Picks for Wednesday, March 11
Leverkusen finds itself back in the round of 16 for the second consecutive season after Patrick Schick’s heroics in the first leg of the UCL Playoff round. The West German club drew Arsenal, leaders in the UCL league phase play, who are currently the favorites to win the competition.
Arsenal won every game in the league phase, picking up 24 of 24 possible points. Arteta’s team has shone not only in the Champions League but has been dominant across all competitions, losing just three of 46 total games with a goal differential of 101 to 31.
Leverkusen hasn't been anywhere near that level, currently sitting sixth in the Bundesliga table and winning just one game in their last five across all competitions. Manager Kasper Hjulmand has kept the club afloat despite a bad start, which saw former manager Erik ten Hag get sacked just three games in.
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Hjulmand has his work cut out for him with his top goal scorer in all competitions, Schick, doubtful to feature in the first leg between these clubs. To make matters worse, Arteta will likely have his first-choice center-back, William Saliba, available after missing a week with a recurring ankle injury.
Arsenal kept three clean sheets in the five Champions League matches Saliba played this season.
Leverkusen vs. Arsenal Spread, Total Goals, Payouts
Leverkusen enters Wednesday’s matchup as sizable home underdogs, returning a 5.55x payout ($100 entry pays out $555) on PrizePicks Team Picks if they win outright.
PrizePicks Team Picks has the road team, Arsenal, as heavy favorites with a 1.44x payout ($100 entry pays out $144) should they win.
- Winner Payout: Leverkusen 5.55x | Tie 4.16x | Arsenal 1.44x
- Spread: Arsenal -1.5 (2.27x Payout)
- Total Goals: 2.5 (Over 1.78x)
- Both Teams to Score: Yes 1.88x | No 1.81x
Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.
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Leverkusen vs. Arsenal Prediction on Winner
You need to know these stats before making your prediction for Leverkusen vs. Arsenal on Wednesday, March 11, on PrizePicks. Check out more of our soccer picks and predictions on Playbook.
- Arsenal’s current 11-game unbeaten streak across all competitions is the most by any club in the top five leagues in Europe.
- The Gunners conceded just one away goal in the UCL league phase.
- Leverkusen’s defense has been stout at the BayArena as of late, conceding just one goal in their last six matches and going unbeaten in that stretch.
- On the flip side, Arsenal’s attack has been solid on the road, scoring an average of 2 goals per game in their last seven away contests.
- Leverkusen conceded the most goals by any home team in the Champions League this season (7) in a 7-2 loss to PSG.
- Arsenal winger Gabriel Martinelli leads his club with 6 goals in the UCL and averages the most goals per 90 minutes (1.41)
- Leverkusen left back Alex Grimaldo tops the Champions League in tackles won with 23. The Spanish defender is also tied for the most goals (4) for Leverkusen this UCL campaign.
- Arsenal goalkeeper David Raya leads all goalkeepers with a 90% save percentage in the UCL, also averaging the fewest goals per 90 minutes at just 0.29.
Leverkusen vs. Arsenal Projected Lineups
Take a look at the Leverkusen vs. Arsenal projected lineups for today's UCL match. Lineups are not official.
Leverkusen Lineup vs. Arsenal: Projected 3-4-2-1
- Goalkeeper: Janis Blaswich
- Defense: Robert Andrich, Jarell Quansah, Edmond Tapsoba, Alejandro Grimaldo, Montrell Culbreath
- Midfield: Exequiel Palacios, Aleix García
- Forwards: Ibrahim Maza, Martin Terrier, Christian Kofane
Arsenal Lineup vs. Leverkusen: Projected 4-2-3-1
- Goalkeeper: David Raya
- Defense: Piero Hincapié, Gabriel, William Saliba, Jurrien Timber
- Midfield: Martín Zubimendi, Declan Rice, Eberechi Eze
- Forwards: Gabriel Martinelli, Bukayo Saka, Viktor Gyokeres
Leverkusen vs. Arsenal Picks for Champions League: Wednesday, March 11
Here are two top Leverkusen vs. Arsenal picks to target on players for Wednesday, March 11, for PrizePicks. Player stat projections via PrizePicks are headlined by Bukayo Saka and Janis Blaswich.
Arsenal F Bukayo Saka vs. Leverkusen
Bukayo Saka Projections via PrizePicks: 2.5 Shots (Goblin), 0.5 Shots on Target (Goblin), 0.5 Goals (Demon)
- Bukayo Saka scored one open-play goal in four Champions League starts this season. The English winger averaged 3.2 shots and 1.7 shots on target per game in that span.
- Saka has scored two goals in his last five EPL starts, taking 12 total shots in those games.
- Leverkusen has conceded 14 goals in the UCL (1.5 per game), with four of them being left-footed goals. 67% of Saka’s goals this season are of that variety.
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Leverkusen GK Janis Blaswich vs. Arsenal
Janis Blaswich Projections via PrizePicks: 3.5 Goalie Saves, 1.5 Goals Allowed (Goblin)
- Janis Blaswich has kept seven clean sheets in his 13 starts across all competitions, including three in his four UCL starts.
- Blaswich averages 3.2 saves per game in the Bundesliga. He's allowing an average of 0.8 goals per game in the German top flight.
- Arsenal has scored two or more goals in nine of their last 12 away games. They hold a 9-2-1 record in those contests.
- The German international made four saves in his four UCL games. He had one in each of the last two games despite facing a combined 20 shots. Arsenal averagees 16.9 shots per game in the Champions League.
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Leverkusen looks to receive a boost from their home crowd when they host Arsenal on Wednesday. The Gunners, meanwhile, try to take care of business as heavy favorites, dominating as they have for most of the season.
You can make your Leverkusen vs. Arsenal Champions League picks on PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks to earn real money. Just pick players, predict More or Less on their projected stats like shots and passes, and cash in if you’re correct. With Team Picks, make predictions on winners, spreads, and over/unders, now available in 35 states.
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