The 2026 college basketball season will come to a close on Monday, April 6, as the No. 2 seed UConn Huskies (34-5) and the No. 1 seed Michigan Wolverines (36-3) meet in the National Championship at 8:50 p.m. ET on TBS and truTV.
UConn C Tarris Reed Jr. has averaged a double-double in the NCAA Tournament, while Michigan F Yaxel Lendeborg looks like the field’s best player. We have plenty of player storylines to watch in the National Championship, but what does it mean for college basketball picks?
Below, we’ll look at who stands out for UConn vs. Michigan player picks and stats for the National Championship. Let’s break down three player projections on PrizePicks.
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UConn vs. Michigan Picks, Stats for National Championship
Bart Torvik ranks UConn 11th in adjusted defensive efficiency, while Michigan is first in the category. Furthermore, opponents post a 45.9% effective field goal percentage vs. the Huskies (98th percentile) and 44.8% against the Wolverines (100th percentile).
In the NCAA Tournament, UConn has allowed only a 41.5% field goal percentile, compared to opponents shooting a measly 37.9% against Michigan.
Tonight could be tough sledding against elite defenses. According to PrizePicks Team Picks, the over/under is 147.5, and the Wolverines are favored by 7.5 points.
Which players could thrive for UConn vs. Michigan picks in the National Championship?
UConn vs. Michigan Player Picks for PrizePicks Today: 4/6/26
Here are the top UConn vs. Michigan player picks to target for Monday, April 6, on PrizePicks. Today’s college basketball picks are headlined by UConn G Braylon Mullins, Michigan F Morez Johnson Jr., and Wolverine F Yaxel Lendeborg.
UConn G Braylon Mullins vs. Michigan Projection: 12 Points
- Michigan allows 8.2 3-pointers (31st percentile) and 27.0 attempted triples per game (eighth percentile).
- UConn G Braylon Mullins ranks second on the Huskies with 6.4 shots from beyond the arc per game.
- His volume has remained steady with 6.2 3-point attempts per contest in the NCAA Tournament.
- The 19-year-old freshman has experienced plenty of slumps this season, but his confidence could be surging since hitting his game-winning dagger vs. Duke in the Round of 8.
- Mullins immediately responded in the national semifinal with 15 points while making 4 of 7 3-point attempts (57.1%), proving his NBA first-round upside.
- Michigan has surrendered double-digit made 3-pointers in three of five NCAA Tournament games, providing Mullins with an opportunity to flourish from deep.
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Michigan F Morez Johnson Jr. vs. UConn Projection: 7 Rebounds
- Michigan F Morez Johnson Jr. leads the Wolverines with a 12.6% offensive rebounding rate, per Bart Torvik.
- The Huskies have a 74.0% defensive rebounding percentage (79th) and total 23.0 defensive boards per game (127th).
- Johnson could feast on the offensive glass, especially when he weighs 250 pounds compared to his likely matchup, UConn F Alex Karaban, listed at 230 pounds
- The Wolverine forward and potential first-round prospect for the 2026 NBA Draft has reached 8 rebounds in three of five NCAA Tournament games.
- Backed by 7.6 rebounds per game (RPG) over his last five outings, Johnson is a key piece for the battle of the glass tonight.
Michigan F Yaxel Lendeborg vs. UConn Projection: 13 Points
- Michigan F Yaxel Lendeborg suffered a low-grade MCL sprain in the Round of 4, but he returned in the second half and played for about 9 minutes.
- Lendeborg cashed in a pair of triples early in the second half, finishing with 11 points in 14 minutes.
- His injury is likely impacting tonight’s 13-point projection, yet Lendeborg didn’t appear on the official player availability report.
- Including Saturday’s brief 14-minute appearance, Yaxel has still posted 19.0 PPG in the NCAA Tournament.
- He sports incredible efficiency, with a 60.4% field goal percentage and 56.0% mark from deep over his last five games.
- UConn could lack the size to defend the 6’9” small forward, as Husky G Silas Demary Jr. (6’4”, 195 pounds) or G Braylon Mullins (6’6”, 196 pounds) could draw the defensive assignment.
- Lendeborg has a height advantage, plus his 240-pound frame could open the door for bully ball.
- If Michigan’s superstar F is playing even close to his usual 30.0 minutes per game, he could improve his 2026 NBA Draft stock.
Make UConn vs. Michigan Picks on PrizePicks
With three potential NBA first-round picks in the frontcourt, Michigan’s big men could pose problems tonight. Will UConn continue to defy the odds led by Mullins & Co.?
You can make your UConn vs. Michigan picks on PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks to earn real money. Just pick players, predict More or Less on their projected stats, and cash in if you’re correct. With Team Picks, make predictions on winners, spreads, and over/unders, now available in 35 states.
Stick around with the Playbook for continued college basketball predictions, picks, and news through the NCAA Tournament.
