The Milwaukee Brewers (5-1) have won five of their first six games for the third time in four seasons and hit the road to take on the Kansas City Royals (3-3) in the opener of a three-game series on Friday, April 3. First pitch set for 7:40 p.m. ET on Apple TV, with Milwaukee returning a 1.88x payout with a win.
The teams met in the first week of April last season as well — the Brewers took two of three at home. Tonight, Brewers SP Chad Patrick (0-0, 2.08 ERA) and Royals SP Luinder Avila (first major league start) are slated to start on the mound.
Below, we’ll break down our Brewers vs. Royals prediction and picks for Friday’s game. Make your MLB picks on PrizePicks and earn real money if you’re right, including on game winners, spreads, and totals!
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Brewers vs. Royals Prediction, Winner Payout, Over/Under
The Brewers are off to a hot start, sweeping the Chicago White Sox and taking two of three from the Tampa Bay Rays to finish their opening homestand 5-1. Milwaukee has the largest run differential in baseball at +28 and the 11th-best xERA at 3.59.
The fast start comes after Milwaukee traded away SP Freddy Peralta, 3B Caleb Durbin, and OF Isaac Collins and lost 1B Rhys Hoskins, SP Jose Quintana, and C Danny Jansen as free agents from a team that won 97 games and the NL Central.
That same 2025 crew also grabbed the No. 1 seed in the National League and advanced to the NLCS, losing to the eventual champion Los Angeles Dodgers.
On the other side are the 3-3 Royals, who have struggled on offense. Kansas City is in the bottom third of the league in runs scored and wRC, with 56.5% of its runs coming in Wednesday’s game vs. the Minnesota Twins. K.C. lost two of three to the Atlanta Braves to start the season but rebounded against the Twins.
Royals scheduled starter Michael Wacha was pushed back due to an illness, so the Royals called up Avila from Triple-A Omaha to make his first career start. Avila appeared in 13 games out of the bullpen last year, giving up just 2 runs with 16 strikeouts in 14 innings for an ERA of 1.29.
Avila started the first game for Omaha last week, giving up 2 runs in 3 innings with 3 strikeouts.
Brewers vs. Royals Winner Payout, Over/Under
The Royals enter Friday’s game as slight underdogs, returning a 1.92x payout on PrizePicks Team Picks if they win outright.
The Brewers are the favorites with a 1.88x payout if they win, via PrizePicks Team Picks, where you can earn money with your picks in 35 states.
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 (2.56x payout)
- Over/Under: 8.5 (1.81x payout on over)
- Game Winner Payout: Brewers 1.88x | Royals 1.92x
Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.
Brewers vs. Royals Prediction on Over/Under – 4/3/26
Here are the key stats to know before locking in your Brewers vs. Royals prediction on the over/under for Friday, April 3, on PrizePicks.
- The Brewers have scored 45 runs through six games, tied with the Houston Astros for the most in baseball.
- According to FanGraphs, Milwaukee is fifth in BABIP at .329 and second in wOBA at .367.
- The Brew Crew have played four games over and two under. However, the listed 8.5 over/under is the highest of the season for them. Only three of their games have reached 9 runs or more.
- Milwaukee SP Chad Patrick has faced the Royals one time, pitching 4.2 scoreless innings and allowing 3 hits in a no-decision last year.
- The Royals have scored 23 total runs, including 4 or fewer in five games aside from Wednesday.
- This slow six-game sample size mirrors last season, when the Royals finished 26th in runs per game (4.0).
- Kansas City has played only one over (Wednesday), compared to five unders. Only the Braves have played fewer (0-6 to the over).
- The Royals enter Friday sitting 15th in BABIP at .274 and 23rd in hard-hit rate at 29.6%.
Brewers vs. Royals Picks for PrizePicks Today: 4/3/26
Here are two of the top Brewers vs. Royals picks to consider for Friday, April 3. Today’s MLB picks for PrizePicks are headlined by Brewers SP Chad Patrick and Royals 2B Jonathan India.
Brewers SP Chad Patrick vs. Royals Projection: 4.5 Hits Allowed
- In his first start of 2026, Patrick held the White Sox to 5 hits and 1 run over 4.1 innings with 4 Ks and a walk.
- In 23 starts last season, Patrick allowed fewer than 5 hits in 12 of them, including his lone start vs. the Royals.
- Taking the one 13-run, 15-hit night vs. the Twins out of it, the Royals' offense has managed no more than 7 hits in any game.
- Patrick’s BABIP is .308, also owning a hard-hit clip of 50.0% this year.
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Royals 2B Jonathan India vs. Brewers Projection: 4.5 Fantasy Score
- Royals 2B Jonathan India has struggled early, possessing just 3 hits in 19 ABs (.158).
- All five of India’s RBIs came on Wednesday, when he had a single and a grand slam. He went 0-for-4 the next night.
- Per Baseball Savant, India’s hard-hit rate is 27.3%, second-worst among Royals starters.
- He’s also struggled against the Brewers in his career. In 56 career games, India is hitting .211 with a BABIP of .283.
Make Brewers vs. Royals Picks on PrizePicks
The Brewers and Royals square off in the first of a three games series in Kansas City. Can the Brewers stay hot and win for the sixth time in the season’s first seven games, or will the Royals get the offense going?
You can make your Brewers vs. Royals picks on PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks to earn real money. Just pick MLB players, predict More or Less on their projected stats, and cash in if you’re correct. And with Team Picks, make predictions on winners, spreads, and over/unders, now available in 35 states.
Stick around with the Playbook for continued MLB predictions, picks, and news throughout the 2026 season.
