Dodgers vs. Rockies Prediction, MLB Picks for Monday, August 17

The Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies is set for 8:40 p.m. ET on Monday, August 17, with the Dodgers entering as road favorites, returning a 1.35x payout if they win, via PrizePicks.

Today’s matchup is the first of a three-game series between these division rivals. They've faced off 10 times this season, with the Dodgers holding a 7-3 overall advantage.

Will the Rockies pull off a series upset, or will the Dodgers right what has been a rough stretch recently and use this series as a springboard for another World Series run?

Below, we'll break down our Dodgers vs. Rockies prediction and picks for Monday’s MLB game, including the spread, over/under, and key player picks for PrizePicks.

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Dodgers vs. Rockies, Winner Payout, Over/Under – Monday, August 17

The Dodgers are in the midst of their toughest stretch of the season. They are coming off a big series loss to the Milwaukee Brewers, officially losing the tiebreaker to them, and their offense ranks 24th in wRC+ (83) over the last two weeks.

Despite that, Los Angeles is still 74-51 and tied for the best run differential in baseball (+136). It is seven games clear of the San Diego Padres for the AL West lead and remains the favorite to win its third World Series in a row, featuring a 2.7x payout on PrizePicks Team Picks.

The Dodgers will send SP Blake Snell (2.33 xERA) to the mound on Monday, and he was perhaps the lone bright spot in their most recent homestand against the Royals and Brewers.

Snell returned from a three-month absence due to loose bodies in his left elbow and looked every part of a dominant pitcher on August 11. He struck out 10 Royals over 6.0 innings while on a pitch limit, doing so in only 84 pitches. He is likely to see that limit increase if not removed entirely for tonight’s matchup.

The Colorado Rockies are 50-74 with the second-worst run differential in Major League Baseball (-116). They occupy the basement spot in the AL West once again for the fifth straight season, but there is a little bit of hope for the future in Colorado.

The club has found a few pieces it can build around, starting with C Hunter Goodman, who is fifth in baseball with 34 home runs. Additionally, OF Cole Carrigg and OF Zac Veen are tantalizing offensive prospects who could thrive in Coors Field for many years to come. If the Rockies can ever sort out their pitching woes, this is a team that could fight for a Wild Card spot in the near future.

Colorado will have SP Tomoyuki Sugano (6.87 xERA) toe the rubber tonight, and this matchup could be destined for disaster for the Japanese righty.

Sugano has a career-low 5.23 K/9 and a career-high 1.9 HR/9. He is facing a Dodgers offense that is ice-cold right now, but the talent in this lineup still jumps off the paper. It could be just a matter of time until they explode for a massive run-scoring output.

Dodgers vs. Rockies Winner Payout, Over/Under – Monday, August 17

The Dodgers enter Monday’s game as road favorites against the Rockies, returning a 1.35x payout if they win outright, via PrizePicks Team Picks.

Here are the full payouts for the Dodgers vs. Rockies game on PrizePicks.

Make your Dodgers vs. Rockies prediction on the spread or over/under on PrizePicks Team Picks to earn real money—available in 36 states!

Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.

Dodgers vs. Rockies Prediction on Winner – 8/17/26

Here are the key game stats and trends behind our Dodgers vs. Rockies prediction on the winner for Monday, August 17.

Unless otherwise noted, data used in this article is from Baseball Savant or FanGraphs.

• Besides the Dodgers' recent offensive struggles (partially due to facing an elite Brewers pitching staff), there's little reason they shouldn’t put the beat down on the Rockies tonight.
• The season-long offensive edge for L.A. is massive. It has the second-best wRC+ (110), while the Rockies rank 28th with a season-long 91 wRC+.
• There is no bigger pitching mismatch on tonight’s MLB slate than perennial CY Young contender Blake Snell and his 1.59 xFIP taking on Sugano's 4.81 xFIP.
• The Dodgers’ pen has been shaky the last two weeks with a 4.56 xFIP. They are, however, striking out batters at a 25.5% clip, which is sixth-best during that timespan.
• The Rockies’ pen has been downright awful all season, and it’s been no different over the last two weeks, where they own the second-worst xFIP (5.24). They are striking out opponents at a league-worst 15.2% clip in that split, suggesting their struggles may not be coming to an end anytime soon.  

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Dodgers vs. Rockies Picks, Player Stats for PrizePicks – 8/17/26

Here are the top Dodgers vs. Rockies picks to target on PrizePicks for Monday, August 17. Today’s MLB picks for PrizePicks include Blake Snell and Tomoyuki Sugano.

Dodgers SP Blake Snell vs. Rockies: 17.5 Pitcher Outs

• As mentioned, Snell looked absolutely dominant in his first outing back from injury, going 6.0 in just 84 pitches. He is likely to see that latter number rise, giving him more cushion to surpass this current projection.
• The Dodgers’ bullpen was severely taxed in a grueling series against the Brewers, so they could certainly use a lengthy outing from Snell tonight.
• Snell has dominated the Rockies over the last few years. Last season, he went 6.0 IP with 11 strikeouts against them. In 2024, he went 6.0 IP with 15 strikeouts. And finally, in 2023, he reached 7.0 IP against this squad twice, including 10 and 12 strikeouts
• The Rockies have the second-worst wRC+ (82) against LHP this season.
• They also have a bottom-10 wRC+ over the last month at just 89. A league-average bat has a wRC+ of around 100, so this offense has been below average in every metric this season. 

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Rockies SP Tomoyuki Sugano vs. Dodgers: 3.5 Earned Runs

• I’ve mentioned the Dodgers’ recent offensive struggles, but this is an elite lineup with over a billion dollars' worth of talent. Their .256 BABIP is sixth-worst in baseball over the last two weeks, but that may be due for plenty of positive regression.
• There may not be a better spot for this regression to take place than against Sugano, who cannot strike batters out (4.91 K/9 at home) and surrenders the long ball at a massive clip (1.9 HR/9).
• This Dodgers lineup is littered with world-class left-handed hitters, and Sugano is surrendering 2.52 HR/9 against LHH this season. Shohei Ohtani alone is 5 for 8 with 3 HRs against Sugano.
• Colorado's starter has given up at least 1 home run in nine straight starts and multiple home runs in four of those outings.
• He has one outing at home against LAD this season, in which he allowed 9 hits and 5 runs over 4.0 innings.

Add Tomoyuki Sugano to your PrizePicks Lineup now.

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This is a classic David vs. Goliath matchup tonight, and it’s hard to see David pulling off the upset in this one. The Dodgers are angry coming off a humiliating series loss to the Brewers and will look to take that frustration out against a Rockies team that has been a punching bag all season long. Dodgers vs. Rockies is just one of the games you can get all your action on at PrizePicks.

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