Orioles vs. Rays Prediction, MLB Picks for Monday, August 17

August 17, 2026

MLB
AP Photo/Bailey Hillesheim
Rays 3B Junior Caminero rounds the bases following a solo home run vs. the Twins.

Orioles vs. Rays is set for first pitch at 6:05 p.m. ET on Monday, August 17, with the Rays having a 1.56x payout if they win, via PrizePicks.

The Rays will receive a boost to their starting rotation with SP Shane McClanahan (9-6, 3.09 ERA) returning from a back injury. The Orioles will try to sweep the four-game series with SP Brandon Young (9-3, 3.33 ERA) on the mound.

Below, we’ll break down our Orioles vs. Rays prediction and picks for Monday’s MLB game, including game winner, over/under, and key player picks for PrizePicks.

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Orioles vs. Rays Prediction, Winner Payout, Over/Under – Monday, August 17

Despite their three-game losing streak, the Rays still have the best record in the American League. A big reason for their success has been the production of their lineup. Per Fangraphs, their 107 wRC+ ranks fourth in baseball. They also have the lowest strikeout rate at 18.8%.

The Orioles have also produced at the plate, ranking ninth in baseball with their 104 wRC+. However, they aren’t as good of a contact-hitting team as the Rays. Their 24.3% strikeout rate is the fourth-highest mark in the majors.


Orioles vs. Rays Winner Payout, Over/Under – Monday, August 17

The Rays enter Monday’s game as a home favorite against the Orioles, returning a 1.56x payout if they win outright, via PrizePicks Team Picks.

Here are the full payouts for the Orioles vs. Rays game on PrizePicks Team Picks—where you can make real money predictions on every MLB game!

Win Spread Over/Under
BAL Orioles 2.32x +1.5 | 1.58x o7.5 | 1.85x
TB Rays 1.56x -1.5 | 2.27x u7.5 | 1.88x
Make your Orioles vs. Rays prediction on the spread or over/under on PrizePicks Team Picks—available in 36 states!

Team Picks data is live as of writing and is subject to change.


Orioles vs. Rays Prediction on Winner – Monday, August 17

Here are the key game stats and trends behind our Orioles vs. Rays prediction on the winner for Monday, August 17.

  • Before losing the last three games against the Orioles, the Rays won nine straight games.
  • Tampa Bay has not lost four straight games since they dropped four in a row to the Red Sox following the All-Star break.
  • At 41-21, the Rays have the best home record in baseball.
  • McClanahan only missed 18 days while on the injured list. Before his injury, he allowed 1 or no runs in four of his last five starts.
  • The Rays’ standout starter has a 0.92 WHIP at home, compared to a 1.33 WHIP on the road.
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Orioles vs. Rays Picks, Player Stats for PrizePicks: 8/17/26

Here are top Orioles vs. Rays picks to target on PrizePicks for Monday, August 17. Today's MLB picks for PrizePicks include Junior Caminero and Brandon Young.

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Orioles SP Brandon Young vs. Rays: 1.5 Walks

  • Although Young posted a 3.22 ERA over his last 11 starts, he also had a 1.31 WHIP during that span. That can partially be attributed to issuing at least 2 walks in nine of those outings.
  • The right-handed hurler is not an overpowering force on the mound, generating just a 19.1% strikeout rate. His walk rate checks in at 8.4%.
  • Young has been even more wild on the road, where he has a 9.8% walk rate. Last year, he had an 11.1% walk rate away from Baltimore.
  • The Orioles have given their 28-year-old starter a long leash, having him throw at least 92 pitches in nine of his last 10 starts. He failed to issue at least 2 walks in just one of those outings.
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Rays 3B Junior Caminero vs. Orioles: 6.5 Hitter Fantasy Score

  • Although Caminero is only 12 for 53 (.226) across his last 13 games, he recorded 5 home runs, 13 RBI, and 11 runs scored during that span.
  • The star third baseman is on pace to produce the best walk rate (12.3%) and strikeout rate (18.8%) of his career.
  • After posting a .271 ISO and .357 wOBA during his breakout 2025 campaign, Caminero has a .267 ISO and .383 wOBA this year.
  • The 23-year-old has a .407 wOBA and a .300 ISO at home, compared to a .360 wOBA and a .237 ISO on the road.
Add Junior Caminero to your PrizePicks Lineup now.

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The Rays will turn to McClanahan to try and end their three-game losing streak and salvage the final game of their series against the Orioles. They could rack up walks against Young along the way, while Caminero will look to continue his impressive hitting at home.

Don’t wait until the first pitch—make your Orioles vs. Rays picks on PrizePicks now and earn real money if you’re right.

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Mike Barner has been covering fantasy sports since 2007. He specializes in the NBA, NFL, and MLB. He is a two-time finalist for the Fantasy Sports Writers Association Basketball Writer of the Year award and won the 2021-22 FSGA NBA Experts Champions league. In addition to PrizePicks, Mike has written for Sports Illustrated, RotoWire, SportsLine, and more.