The Atlanta Braves (5-2) drew first blood in a four-game series at the Arizona Diamondbacks (3-4) on Thursday. The first pitch of Game 2 is slated for Friday, April 3, at 9:40 p.m. ET on Apple TV.
On Thursday, Atlanta took advantage of a replay reversal and erupted for 8 runs in the fifth inning in a 17-2 rout vs. Arizona, which saw its three-game winning streak snapped.
Let’s look at our Braves vs. Diamondbacks prediction for Friday’s battle at Chase Field. Make your picks on PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks and earn real money if you’re right, including on game winners, spreads, and totals!
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Braves vs. Diamondbacks Prediction, Winner Payout, Over/Under
Arizona won the final four matchups with Atlanta last season before Thursday’s rout. The Braves improved to 3-1 in the last four games at Chase Field.
In Thursday’s win, four different Braves picked up at least 2 hits, highlighted by 1B Matt Olson’s 3-for-6 night. Atlanta’s 8-run outburst in the fifth inning eclipsed its run total from any of this season's first six games.
Braves vs. Diamondbacks Winner Payout, Over/Under
The Braves enter this matchup as road favorites, returning a 1.88x payout on PrizePicks Team Picks if they win outright.
The Diamondbacks are home underdogs with a 1.92x payout if they win, via PrizePicks Team Picks, where you can earn money with your picks in 35 states.
- Spread: Atlanta Braves -1.5 (2.38x)
- Over/Under: 9.5
- Game Winner Payout: Braves 1.88x | Diamondbacks 1.92x
Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.
Braves vs. Diamondbacks Prediction on Winner – 4/3/26
Here are some key stats to know before locking in your Braves vs. Diamondbacks prediction for Friday, April 3, on PrizePicks.
- In the last 25 innings, the Diamondbacks have scored at least 1 run in only 4 innings.
- Arizona recorded 6 runs in the eighth inning vs. Detroit on Tuesday but scored 3 runs in the last two games.
- The Braves rank fourth in both wOBA (.362) and wRC+ (131).
- The D-backs are tied for 22nd in barrel rate at 7.0%, facing Atlanta SP Grant Holmes, who limited Kansas City to a 6.3% barrel rate in his first start.
- The Braves sit third in OBP vs. left-handed pitching at .392, an early improvement from the .322 average last season.
- Thursday’s victory could start a turnaround for Atlanta on the road against NL West opponents. In 2025, the Braves finished 4-12 in this spot, including an 0-7 start vs. the Padres and Dodgers.
- Arizona SP Eduardo Rodriguez posted the worst xERA numbers of his career in the last two seasons. The southpaw put up a 5.41 xERA in 2024, followed by a 4.51 xERA last season.
- Holmes was on the wrong end of an 11-10 home defeat to Arizona last June, as Atlanta led 6-0 and allowed 7 runs in the ninth inning.
Braves vs. Diamondbacks Picks for PrizePicks Today: 4/3/26
Here are three top Braves vs. Diamondbacks picks to target on Friday. Key PrizePicks player projections are headlined by three players: Diamondbacks SP Eduardo Rodriguez, Braves SP Grant Holmes, and Atlanta 1B Matt Olson.
Diamondbacks SP Eduardo Rodriguez vs. Braves Projection: 4.5 Strikeouts
- Rodriguez posted 5 Ks vs. the Dodgers in a 3-2 loss on March 28 in 5 innings of work.
- The Braves own the lowest strikeout rate in MLB at 18.4%, while striking out 3 or fewer times in four of the last five games.
- Rodriguez's K rate dropped to 20.6% last season, his lowest since 2022 (18.4%).
- The left-hander closed 2025 with 4 or fewer strikeouts in five of his final six home starts.
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Braves SP Grant Holmes vs. Diamondbacks Projection: 4.5 Strikeouts
- Holmes put together a career-high K rate of 25.0% last season, a slight improvement from his rookie campaign at 24.8%.
- The right-hander was held to 4 strikeouts in his season debut vs. Kansas City.
- In nine road outings last season, Holmes produced 4 or fewer Ks six times.
- Holmes failed to surpass this projection in two starts vs. Arizona last season, compiling 4 Ks each time.
Braves 1B Matt Olson vs. Diamondbacks Projection: 6.5 Hitter Fantasy Score
- Olson destroyed D-backs pitching last night for a fantasy score of 34. He hit a first-inning home run, added a pair of doubles, and scored 3 runs.
- In the previous four games, Olson eclipsed this projection only once, picking up a total of 3 hits in that span.
- In seven career at-bats vs. Rodriguez, Olson has 1 hit, which was actually a home run. But he also struck out three times.
- Olson has struggled early on in xBA (.226) and chase rate (32%).
- Last season, only 6 of his 29 home runs were against left-handed pitching. Out of Rodriguez’s 25 homers allowed in 2025, 4 came against left-handed batters.
Make Braves vs. Diamondbacks Picks on PrizePicks
Atlanta made a statement in Thursday’s blowout in the series opener. Can Arizona bounce back tonight and get its offense going?
You can make Braves vs. Diamondbacks picks on PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks to earn real money. Just pick MLB players, predict More or Less on their projected stats, and cash in if you’re correct. And with Team Picks, you can make predictions on winners, spreads, and over/unders, now available in 35 states.
Stick around with the Playbook for continued MLB predictions, picks, and news throughout the 2026 season.
