One of the most anticipated matchups in the 2026 UEFA Champions League quarterfinals features Real Madrid vs. Bayern Munich, with the first leg match kicking off on Paramount+ at 3 p.m. ET on Tuesday, April 7.
Although they're the visitors in Tuesday’s first-leg showdown, Bayern Munich is favored vs. Real Madrid, returning a 2.08x payout if they win outright, via PrizePicks Team Picks.
Below, we’ll discuss our Real Madrid vs. Bayern Munich prediction, picks, and Lineups for the Champions League quarterfinals match at The Bernabéu.
Use PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks to make your Champions League picks on players, match winners, tournament champions, and more predictions.
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Real Madrid vs. Bayern Prediction, Picks for Champions League Match – Tuesday, April 7
In typical Real Madrid fashion, the Spanish side dispatched Man City in the Champions League Round of 16, 5-1 on aggregate, despite F Kylian Mbappe not starting in either contest. Mbappe logged 90 minutes in Real Madrid’s most recent match on Saturday, April 4, so he appears to be ready to start on Tuesday.
In addition to advancing to the UCL quarterfinals, Madrid is second in the La Liga table, sitting seven points behind Barcelona.
Bayern Munich took care of business with ease against Atalanta in the Round of 16, winning by an aggregate score of 10-2. Although F Harry Kane missed Bayern’s most recent match due to an ankle injury, he trained with the team and is expected to be active on Tuesday.
Bayern Munich is nine points clear of Dortmund for the No. 1 spot in the German Bundesliga, looking like a dominant side heading into this matchup.
With a 3.7x payout to win the 2026 UEFA Champions League on PrizePicks (second-lowest payout), Bayern was one of the two best picks to win the tournament ahead of the quarterfinals.
Real Madrid vs. Bayern Munich Winner, Total Goals, Payouts – 4/7/26
Bayern Munich enters Tuesday’s Champions League match as road favorites, returning a 2.17x payout ($100 entry pays out $217) on PrizePicks Team Picks if they win outright.
Madrid are home underdogs in the first leg of this tie, with a 2.56x ($256 payout on a $100 entry) payout if they secure a victory, via PrizePicks Team Picks.
With two high-powered offenses, "Yes" both teams to score in Real Madrid vs. Bayern Munich is the heavy favorite, with a 1.36x payout.
Winner Payout: Bayern – 2.17x | Tie – 3.84x | Real Madrid – 2.56x
Spread: Bayern -1.5 (3.33x Payout)
Total Goals: 3.5 (Over – 1.92x)
Both Teams to Score: Yes 1.36x | No 2.94x
Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change. Does not include extra time or penalties.
Real Madrid vs. Bayern Prediction on Total Goals for Champions League Quarterfinals – 5/7/26
Here are some stats to know to help you make your Real Madrid vs. Bayern prediction on total goals for Tuesday, April 7. Check out more of our soccer picks and predictions on Playbook.
- Across their 10 Champions League matches so far, Bayern has seen 4 or more total goals in seven of them.
- Meanwhile, Real Madrid has had at least 4 total goals in each of their last two home contests in all competitions.
- According to FotMob, Bayern is first in expected goals (xG; 28.6) and Madrid is third in expected goals (26.6) in this year’s Champions League campaign.
- Real Madrid is 25th in xG conceded (17.6) despite averaging only 1.2 goals allowed per match in the UCL.
- Bayern Munich is first in big chances created (56) and second in accurate passes per match (588.5) in the Champions League.
- At the same time, Madrid is tied for the third-most big chances created (48) and seventh in accurate passes per match (472.3).
- Madrid GK Thibaut Courtois is sidelined with a thigh injury, and he has helped Real Madrid record the fourth-most saves per match (5.1) in the UCL.
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Real Madrid vs. Bayern Projected Lineups
Here are the projected Real Madrid vs. Bayern lineups for the Champions League match on Tuesday, April 7. Lineups are not official as of publishing.
Real Madrid Lineup vs. Bayern: Projected 4-4-2
- Goalkeeper: Andrii Lunin
- Defense: Alvero Carreras, Dean Huijsen, Antonio Rudiger, Trent Alexander-Arnold
- Midfield: Arda Guler, Aurelien Tchouameni, Thiago Pitarch, Federico Valverde
- Forwards: Vinicius Junior, Kylian Mbappe
Bayern Lineup vs. Real Madrid: Projected 4-2-3-1
- Goalkeeper: Manuel Neuer
- Defense: Konrad Laimer, Jonathan Tah, Dayot Upamecano, Josip Stanisic
- Midfield: Aleksandar Pavlovic, Joshua Kimmich, Serge Gnabry
- Forwards: Luis Diaz, Harry Kane, Michael Olise
Real Madrid vs. Bayern Player Picks for Champions League Match – Tuesday, April 7
Here are two Real Madrid vs. Bayern picks to target on players for Tuesday, April 7 in the Champions League quarterfinal match.. UCL player picks via PrizePicks are headlined by Bayern F Michael Olise and Real Madrid F Kylian Mbappe.
Bayern F Michael Olise vs. Real Madrid
Michael Olise Projections via PrizePicks: 1.5 Shots (Goblin), 0.5 Shots on Target (Goblin), 0.5 Goal + Assist
- Michael Olise has taken at least 2 shots in eight of his nine UCL appearances.
- Plus, Olise averages 3.7 shots per 90 minutes, per FotMob.
- In the same nine-game sample, Olise has logged 1 or more shots on target in six of those contests.
- Olise has contributed at least 1 goal and/or assist in each of his last three starts in the Champions League.
Real Madrid F Kylian Mbappe vs. Bayern
Kylian Mbappe Projections via PrizePicks: 2.5 Shots (Goblin), 1.5 Shots on Target, 0.5 Goals
- Kylian Mbappe has posted no fewer than 3 shots in each of his eight starts in the UCL.
- Mbappe registered 6 shots in his most recent start for Real Madrid.
- Mbappe is tied for the most shots on target per 90 minutes (3.0) in the Champions League, while notching multiple shots in seven of his eight UCL starts.
- Along with Mbappe scoring at least 1 goal in five of his eight Champions League starts, he handles penalty-kick duties for Madrid.
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Make Your Real Madrid vs. Bayern Picks on PrizePicks
It could be goals galore when Real Madrid and Bayern clash on Tuesday for the first leg of what should be an exciting Champions League quarterfinals matchup.
Will Real Madrid or Bayern Munich take a lead into the second leg at Allianz Arena in Munich?
You can make your Real Madrid vs. Bayern prediction on PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks to earn real money on Champions League games. Just pick players, predict More or Less on their projected stats like shots or goals, and cash in if you’re correct.
With Team Picks, make your Champions League predictions on winners, total goals, both teams to score, and more, now available in 35 states.
Stick around with the Playbook for continued Champions League predictions, picks, and analysis until a champion is crowned.
