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Mercury vs. Aces Picks, Predictions Today — Thursday 8/21/25

Find the top Mercury vs. Aces WNBA picks for Thursday, August 21, including A’ja Wilson.
AP Photo/Darron Cummings

A huge Western Conference showdown highlights Thursday’s WNBA action. The Las Vegas Aces (21-14) look for their ninth consecutive victory as they host the Phoenix Mercury (21-13) for a 10:00 p.m. ET tip on Amazon Prime Video. 

The Aces held off the Dream on Tuesday for their fifth straight home win, as they remain tied with the Mercury for second place in the West..

The Mercury outlasted the Valkyries for their second victory on their three-game road swing. 

Phoenix captured the first matchup with Las Vegas this season, but the Aces have won each of the past two meetings.

Below, we’ll give you three free WNBA picks for the Thursday, August 21 matchup between the Mercury and Aces, including PrizePicks WNBA Picks to target for tonight. 

Lock in your WNBA picks on PrizePicks before tonight’s action on Prime Video. Simply pick More or Less on player stat projections and get paid if your picks are correct. 

💰 Use PrizePicks Promo Code "Playbook": Claim $50 instantly in Lineups after your first $5+ Lineup

WNBA DFS Picks Today for PrizePicks: August 21

Here are three of the top WNBA DFS picks for Thursday, August 21, on PrizePicks. Click each pick to read more. 


Aces C A’ja Wilson – 36.5 Pts+Rebs

  • Aces C A’ja Wilson has been on a tear lately, averaging 29.0 points and 14.4 rebounds per game over the last five contests.
  • Wilson is creeping up on Minnesota’s Napheesa Collier for the scoring lead in the WNBA. Collier (who's questionable for tonight's tilt) is averaging 23.5 points a game, while Wilson is right behind at 22.9 ppg. 
  • Wilson ranks second in the WNBA in rebounding behind Chicago F Angel Reese at 10.0 boards a contest. She's pulled down double-digit rebounds in eight of her last 11 outings. 
  • In Wilson’s most recent matchup against Phoenix on August 15, she torched the Mercury for 30 points and 16 rebounds.
  • In five of her last six games, the top pick of the 2018 draft has eclipsed 37 combined points and rebounds.

Mercury F Satou Sabally – 15.5 Points

  • Mercury F Satou Sabally is averaging 17.1 points per game in her maiden season with Phoenix. Sabally spent her first five years in Dallas, averaging a career-best 18.6 ppg in 2023.
  • In Tuesday’s win at Golden State, Sabally dropped 17 points, including 7 from the free throw line.
  • Since June 15, Sabally has not posted more than 16 points in consecutive games. 
  • Sabally put together two solid games and one subpar showing against Las Vegas this season. In last Friday’s loss, she scored 26 points on 10-of-16 shooting from the floor. 
  • In a June 29 home defeat to the Aces, Sabally nearly dropped a double-double with 10 points and 9 rebounds. However, she shot 3-of-14 from the field and scored 2 points in the 4th quarter.

Aces G Chelsea Gray – 15.5 Pts+Asts

  • Aces G Chelsea Gray is posting 11.0 points per game in her fifth season in Las Vegas.
  • Gray has dished out 25 assists in the last two wins against Dallas and Atlanta. In the previous four games, she handed out a total of 25 dimes.
  • In five of the last six games, Gray has compiled more than 16 points+assists. 
  • Gray has shined at home this season, averaging 12.6 ppg, to go along with 44.9% shooting from the floor and 36.6% from distance.
  • Gray’s second-highest scoring output of the season came against Phoenix on June 15 as she put up 20 points in a 76-70 home loss.

Make Picks on WNBA on PrizePicks

The Aces and Mercury hook up in a crucial Western Conference showdown on Thursday night in Las Vegas with second place on the line, so there’s never been a better time to add to the excitement of every WNBA moment than with PrizePicks.

There are a wide variety of player stat projections on the WNBA board, so you can build your Lineup however you’d like — with no salary or positional restrictions. Just pick at least two player stat projections to build your Lineup on PrizePicks.

Check out the Playbook throughout the remainder of the WNBA season for more analysis for your PrizePicks and WNBA DFS Lineups.

Get in the game! Sign up for PrizePicks and cash in on your sports predictions. Play $5 and get $50 instantly in Lineups with promo code PLAYBOOK.

about the author

Kevin has spent the last 15 years in the sports gambling space. He covered all major sports at VegasInsider both as a writer and handicapper from 2009 until 2024. He has also covered college basketball and MLB for the Action Network.

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