First pitch for the New York Mets vs. Colorado Rockies game is set for 9:20 p.m. ET on Wednesday, May 6, with the Mets entering as road favorites and returning a 1.56x payout if they win, via PrizePicks.
This is the second series these two teams have played in the last couple of weeks. The Rockies went into New York in the first set and swept the Mets, then New York enacted some small revenge by winning game one of this four-game series last night 4-2.
Below, we'll break down our Mets vs. Rockies prediction and picks for Wednesday’s MLB game, including the spread, over/under, and key player picks for PrizePicks.
Make your picks for Mets vs. Rockies on PrizePicks now.
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Mets vs. Rockies Prediction, Winner Payout, Over/Under – Wednesday, May 6
It has been a dismal start to the season for the Mets. With a record of 13-22, they currently sit in last place in the National League East and are a full 12 games behind the Atlanta Braves for the division lead.
There are many parts of this team to blame for the terrible start, but none greater than the offense. The Mets sit dead last in wRC+ at just 80. This was a team that just last season was tied for fourth in the majors with a team wRC+ of 112.
As it turns out, it's difficult to replace one of the best leadoff hitters (OF Brandon Nimmo) and power hitters (1B Pete Alonso) in all of baseball.
The Rockies are off to a nice start relative to their normal output, albeit a poor one for most franchises. They're 14-22 and sit 8 games back of the Los Angeles Dodgers for the lead in the NL West.
The good news is that Colorado has 14 wins, a mark it didn't reach until June 6 last season. The bad news is that the Rockies have lost five games in a row and might have baseball's least-talented roster.
Mets vs. Rockies Winner Payout, Over/Under – Wednesday, May 6
The Mets enter Wednesday’s game as road favorites against the Rockies, returning a 1.56x payout if they win outright, via PrizePicks Team Picks.
Here are the full payouts for the Mets vs. Rockies game on PrizePicks.
- Spread: New York Mets -1.5 (1.88x payout)
- Over/Under: 9.5 (1.88x payout on Over)
- Game Winner Payout: Mets - 1.56x | Rockies - 2.32x
Play the Mets vs. Rockies spread or over/under on PrizePicks Team Picks to earn real money — available in 35 states!
Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.
Mets vs. Rockies Prediction on Spread – 5/6/26
Here are the key game stats and trends behind our Mets vs. Rockies prediction on the spread for Wednesday, May 6.
Lock in your Mets vs. Rockies prediction on PrizePicks before the line moves.
- The Rockies have gone 20-16 (55.6%) against the spread (ATS) this season.
- The Mets, meanwhile, have been among the worst covering teams in MLB. They're 12-23 (34.3%) ATS, the fourth-worst mark.
- Colorado, despite having the 26th-ranked wRC+ at 88, is the better offense by 8% in this one. The gap only widens in the last two weeks, with the Rockies' 108 wRC+ being 10th and the Mets' 86 mark being 27th.
- Mets SP Freddy Peralta has been worse on the road this season, owning an xFIP of 4.23 compared to 3.44 at home.
- Rockies SP Michael Lorenzen has a BABIP of .369, 85 points higher than his career average. This, along with his 4.34 xFIP compared to his 6.09 ERA, hints that he could be due for some positive batted-ball regression.
Mets vs. Rockies Player Picks, Stats for PrizePicks: 5/6/26
Here are the top Mets vs. Rockies picks to target on PrizePicks for Wednesday, May 6. Today’s MLB picks for PrizePicks include Freddy Peralta and Michael Lorenzen.
Mets P Freddy Peralta vs. Rockies Projection: 6 Strikeouts
- Peralta is catching an awesome matchup against the Rockies tonight, as they're striking out 25.5% of the time, the second-most in all of baseball.
- Fastball Freddy has met or exceeded this projection in five of his seven starts this year.
- Peralta has a swinging strike clip of 13.1%, which is in the upper echelon of starting pitchers.
- Colorado's lineup has a significantly lower wRC+ at home (83) versus on the road (98) in 2026.
Add Freddy Peralta to your PrizePicks Lineup now.
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Rockies P Michael Lorenzen vs. Mets Projection: 3.5 Strikeouts
- Despite the Mets' lack of offensive success, they still aren’t striking out very often. They punch out just 21.5% of the time as a team, the 10th-lowest figure in MLB.
- Lorenzen has very little swing and miss in his game, holding a SwStr% of just 9.1%.
- He faced this Mets lineup two starts ago and twirled 7 innings of 1-run ball but had just 3 strikeouts in that start. His SwStr% against New York in that appearance was only 5.6%.
- Lorenzen has failed to reach this projection in five of eight starts.
Add Michael Lorenzen to your PrizePicks Lineup now.
Make Mets vs. Rockies Picks on PrizePicks
Today’s 15-game MLB slate can take you all the way from morning to night, and Mets vs. Rockies is just one of the games for you to get all your action here on PrizePicks.
Don’t wait until lock — make your Mets vs. Rockies picks on PrizePicks now and earn real money if you’re right.
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