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Leeds vs. Burnley Prediction, XIs, Picks for EPL – Friday, May 1

Leeds' Dominic Calvert-Lewin runs into position during the English Premier League soccer match between Leeds United and Chelsea
AP Photo/Dave Shopland

Friday's Premier League match between Leeds United – Burnley is set to kick off at 3 p.m. ET. Leeds enters the EPL match as solid favorites on their home pitch, with a 1.33x payout on PrizePicks.

Burnley’s short-lived tenure in the English Premier League is all but over with just four matchweeks left in the EPL season. Leeds will hope to avoid being Burnley’s second win this calendar year, and fifth of the season overall.  

Below, we'll break down our Leeds vs. Burnley prediction and picks for Friday's Premier League match, including EPL winner payouts, total goals, and top EPL picks for PrizePicks today.

Make your Leeds vs. Burnley prediction on PrizePicks for Friday's EPL match now

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Leeds vs. Burnley Prediction, Preview for EPL Match – Friday, May 1

With the Premier League season winding down, both Leeds United (9-13-12) and Burnley (4-8-22) appear to be tethered to their current spots on the lower half of the table.

While Leeds has certainly been more competitive than many imagined this season, the North England club will surely be looking for ways to bolster the squad and ensure they remain in the top flight next season.

Unfortunately, Burnley’s run in the EPL has nearly concluded. The Lancashire-based club was unable to find any success at England’s highest level despite a nearly unbeaten season in the Championship just last year.

Burnley have only managed four wins this season, just one more than 20th-placed Wolves. It is worth noting that one of these four victories came against Leeds back in October.

Newly appointed interim manager Michael Jackson hopes to recreate the success his club had early on this season against this week’s opponent.

However, that may be easier said than done for a Burnley squad in the midst of a four-game skid. Leeds have steadily improved over the course of the EPL season, and have been unbeaten in the competition since the beginning of March.

Manager Daniel Farke’s club finished April winning two of the first three matches before recently drawing with Bournemouth.

Despite Burnley and Leeds achieving promotion to the EPL this season, Leeds has been the far superior club and has quickly adapted to the style of play necessary to remain afloat. One can expect Leeds to continue its great run of form in the top flight when they host a Burnley squad struggling on its last legs.


Leeds vs. Burnley Winner, Spread, Total Goals Payouts

Leeds enters Friday’s game as home favorites against Burnley, returning a 1.33x payout if they win outright, via PrizePicks Team Picks.

Here are the full payouts for the Leeds vs. Burnley game on PrizePicks.

  • Winner Payout: Leeds– 1.33x | Tie – 4.54x | Burnley– 7.14x
  • Spread: Leeds -1.5 (2x Payout)
  • Total Goals: 2.5 (Over – 1.61x)
  • Both Teams to Score: Yes 1.78x | No 1.92x

Play the Leeds vs. Burnley spread or total goals on PrizePicks Team Picks to earn real money — available in 35 states!

Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.

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Leeds vs. Burnley Prediction on Total Goals – Friday, May 1

Here are the key game stats and trends behind our Leeds vs. Burnley prediction on total goals for the EPL match on Friday, May 1.

The over 2.5 total goals for Leeds vs. Burnley is set at 1.61x, on PrizePicks Team Picks — available in 35 states.

Check out more of our EPL picks and predictions on Playbook.

  • Leeds matches in the EPL have totaled more than 2.5 goals in three straight matches, after having fewer than that in five straight previously.
  • Over its current four-game losing streak, Burnley's matches have seen more than 2.5 total goals twice.
  • Burnley leads the EPL with 68 goals conceded in 34 matches.
  • A league-high 42 of those goals conceded came in away matches; 11 more than the next club.
  • Burnley sits atop the Prem with seven penalties committed this season.
  • Leeds ranks in the top half of the EPL in goals scored at home (25) this season.
  • Leeds has had more than 2.5 total goals in three of its last six home matches in this competition.
Predict Leeds vs. Burnley Total Goals in this EPL match on PrizePicks

Leeds vs. Burnley Projected Lineups for Friday, May 1

Take a look at the Leeds vs. Burnley projected XIs for today's EPL match. Lineups are not official and should be confirmed before match start.

Leeds Lineup vs. Burnley: Projected 3-4-2-1

Goalkeeper: Lucas Perri

Defense: James Justin, Jaka Bijol, Pascal Struijk

Midfield: Jayden Bogle, Ethan Ampadu, Ao Tanaka, Gabriel Gudmundsson

Forwards: Brenden Aaronson, Dominic Calvert-Lewin, Noah Okafor


Burnley Lineup vs. Leeds: Projected 5-4-1

Goalkeeper: Martin Dubravka

Defense: Quilindschy Hartman, Maxime Esteve, Bashir Humphreys, Hjalmar Ekdal, Kyle Walker

Midfield: Jaidon Anthony, Josh Laurent, James Ward-Prowse, Loum Tchaouna

Forwards: Zian Flemming


Leeds vs. Burnley Picks, Stats for PrizePicks EPL – Friday, May 1

Here are Leeds vs. Burnley picks to target for EPL on PrizePicks for Friday, May 1. Today’s EPL picks include Dominic Calvert-Lewin and Martin Dubravka.

Leeds F Dominic Calvert-Lewin vs. Burnley

Dominic Calvert-Lewin Projections: 16.5 Passes Attempted, 0.5 Goals + Assist (Goblin), 1.5 Fouls 

  • Dominic Calvert-Lewin is averaging nearly 13 passes attempted in his 31 EPL appearances. This number has slightly increased to 17.4 over his last five matches in this competition.
  • DCL is Leeds current leader in G/A (12) this season. The Englishman serves as Farke’s primary option for penalty kicks where he has scored three times.
  • Calvert-Lewin is averaging 1.4 fouls per game in the EPL. That number has grown to over two files per game in his last five matches.

Add Dominic Calvert-Lewin to your PrizePicks EPL Lineup now!


Burnley GK Martin Dubravka vs. Leeds

Martin Dubravka Projections: 16.5 Passes Attempted, 0.5 Goals + Assist (Goblin), 1.5 Fouls 

  • Martin Dubravka enters Friday’s match vs. Leeds coming off a season-high 8-save performance vs. Manchester City last Wednesday.
  • Dubravka is averaging 3.6 saves per game this season.
  • The Slovakian keeper leads the EPL in saves and goals conceded per game.
  • Dubravka averages just over 34 passes per game for the season; that's risen to 42 per game in his last five matches.

Add Martin Dubravka to your PrizePicks EPL Lineup now!


Make Leeds vs. Burnley Prediction for EPL on PrizePicks

Leeds will look to avoid being swept by Burnley this season when they play host to this EPL match on Friday, May 1, at 3 p.m. ET at Elland Road. Burnley will hope to remain competitive in its final English Premier League matches before relegation.

Don’t wait until kick — you can make your Leeds vs. Burnley picks for Friday's Premier League match now on PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks to earn real money. 

Just pick your EPL players, predict More or Less on their stats, and cash in if you’re right. With Team Picks, you can make predictions on match winner, total goals, and both teams to score — now available in 35 states

Stacy locked in with the Playbook for continued soccer and EPL predictions, picks, and analysis.

Get in the game! Sign up for PrizePicks and cash in on your sports predictions. Play $5 and get $50 instantly in Lineups with promo code PLAYBOOK.

Team Picks and Culture Picks are event contracts offered by Performance Predictions II, LLC d/b/a PrizePicks Predict, a CFTC-registered FCM and NFA Member. All event contract customers must be U.S. residents and 18+. Some event contracts may not be available in every state. Event contract trading carries significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. No guarantee against loss is offered. Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results. Void where prohibited by law. Restrictions apply. For full terms of service see prizepicks.com/predict-regulatory. Team and Culture Pick Early Payouts subject to market liquidity. The content provided is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, or a recommendation to trade any commodity interest.

about the author

Anthony is a journalist based in South Florida who specializes in sports content. He has covered the NFL, NBA, UFL, March Madness, the World Cup, the English Premier League, and the Champions League.

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