Manchester United can end a three-year absence from the Champions League on Sunday if they can muster a point against rival Liverpool. The match kicks off at 10:30 a.m. ET on Sunday, May 3, live on Peacock.
Manchester United are favored to defeat Liverpool on the road, returning a 2.12x payout if they claim victory, according to PrizePicks Team Picks.
The Red Devils would clinch a top five position in the Premier League table with a win or draw, ensuring their spot in Europe’s top club competition. Liverpool would love nothing more than to deny them that opportunity, while a victory for the Reds would put them one point away from Champions League qualification as well.
Below, we’ll break down our Manchester United vs. Liverpool prediction and picks for Sunday morning’s Premier League match, including the spread, total goals, and key player picks for PrizePicks.
Make your picks for Manchester United vs. Liverpool on PrizePicks now.
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Manchester United vs. Liverpool Prediction, Picks for Premier League – Sunday, May 3
No club has taken more points from Premier League fixtures since Michael Carrick’s appointment than Manchester United. They’ve picked up 29 points in that span and have taken 18 of a possible 21 points in their last seven home matches.
That’s a stark contrast to Liverpool. The Reds have lost seven of their 17 away fixtures this campaign, including three of their last six. Their 2-1 win at Everton two weeks ago is their only win in their last five away matches in all competitions.
Arne Slot has been trying to figure out his best lineup, as a lengthy injury list continues to cause issues. Matters were worsened when RW Mohamed Salah left last weekend’s match with a hamstring injury and will miss his final northwest derby.
Slot also confirmed that LB Milos Kerkez may not be fit. They join a list of players with lengthy injuries, including CM Wataru Endo, RB Conor Bradley, and ST Hugo Ekitike. They’ll be thankful to see GK Alisson back in the starting XI, having been out for six weeks.
Carrick will be glad to have FW Matheus Cunha back in training, and he should be available off the bench. There are still depth concerns in defense, however, as CB Lisandro Martinez is suspended and CB Matthijs de Ligt is still a few weeks from returning. LB Luke Shaw could be available after leaving last weekend’s match early.
Everything Man United does in attack runs through Bruno Fernandes. His assist against Brentford on Monday was his 19th of the Premier League campaign, and he now sits just one shy of tying Kevin De Bruyne and Thierry Henry for the most in a single season.
Liverpool has two players who can generate chances. Only Bruno has more passes in the final third this season than Liverpool CM Dominik Szoboszlai and CAM Florian Wirtz. Both are also completing better than 80% of those passes, as Liverpool’s 133 build-ups are second only to Man City.
The Reds will have to shore up their defense. They’ve allowed 16 set-piece goals this season, accounting for 36.36% of the goals they’ve conceded. Manchester United have scored 17 goals from dead-ball situations, with only Arsenal having scored more.
Man United won the reverse fixture on October 19, 2025, with the 2-1 victory ending a three-match winless run in the rivalry. Liverpool enjoyed a 3-0 victory at Old Trafford last season, their only victory in their last four visits.
Manchester United vs. Liverpool Spread, Total Goals, Payouts – Sunday, May 3
Manchester United enters Sunday’s game as home favorites, returning a 2.12x payout if they win outright, via PrizePicks Team Picks.
Here are the full payouts for the Manchester United vs. Liverpool match on PrizePicks.
Winner Payout: Manchester United – 2.12x | Tie – 3.57x | Liverpool – 2.7x
Spread: Manchester United -1.5 (3.84x Payout)
Total Goals: 3.5 (Over – 2.17x)
Both Teams to Score: Yes 1.44x | No 2.63x
Play the Manchester United vs. Liverpool spread or total goals on PrizePicks Team Picks to earn real money — available in 35 states!
Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.
Manchester United vs. Liverpool Prediction on Total Goals for Premier League – 5/3/26
Here are the key stats and trends behind our Manchester United vs. Liverpool prediction on total goals for Sunday, May 3.
Lock in your Manchester United vs. Liverpool prediction on PrizePicks before the line moves.
- Manchester United’s defense has been much improved since Carrick’s appointment. It’s a key reason why they allow the third-fewest shots on target, with opponents averaging just 3.71 accurate attempts per match.
- Liverpool has the worst shot accuracy in the Premier League, managing to put just 29.2% of their efforts on frame.
- Liverpool’s 3-1 win over Crystal Palace last weekend is the only time in their last five matches that 4 goals or more were scored.
- There have been fewer than 4 goals scored in seven of Manchester United’s last 10 home matches in all competitions.
- Liverpool have scored multiple goals in just two of their last nine away fixtures across all competitions.
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Manchester United vs. Liverpool Projected Lineups for Sunday, May 3
Here are the projected Manchester United vs. Liverpool lineups for Sunday's Premier League match. Lineups are not official.
Manchester United Lineup vs. Liverpool: Projected 4-2-3-1
- Goalkeeper: Senne Lammens
- Defense: Noussair Mazraoui, Harry Maguire, Ayden Heaven, Diogo Dalot
- Midfield: Casemiro, Kobbie Maino, Bruno Fernandes
- Forwards: Bryan Mbeumo, Benjamin Sesko, Amad Diallo
Liverpool Lineup vs. Manchester United: Projected 4-4-2
- Goalkeeper: Alisson
- Defense: Curtis Jones, Ibrahim Konate, Virgil van Dijk, Andy Robertson
- Midfield: Dominik Szoboszlai, Alexis Mac Allister, Ryan Gravenberch, Florian Wirtz
- Forwards: Alexander Isak, Cody Gakpo
Manchester United vs. Liverpool Player Picks, Stats for PrizePicks: 5/3/26
Here are two Manchester United vs. Liverpool picks to target on players for Sunday, May 3. Sunday's Premier League picks for PrizePicks are headlined by Bruno Fernandes and Florian Wirtz.
Manchester United CAM Bruno Fernandes vs. Liverpool Projection: 3.5 Shots Assisted
- Bruno Fernandes has created 114 chances this Premier League season. That’s 53 more than any other player heading into the weekend.
- He’s performed 771 passes in the final third, 53 more than Szoboszlai in second place. He’s also played a league-high 36 through balls, which is 12 more than any other Premier League player.
- Bruno has assisted at least 3 shots in seven straight Premier League matches and has at least 4 shots assisted in three of his last five.
- The Portuguese midfielder assisted at least 5 shots in each of his last three home matches.
- The Red Devils averaged 18.34 shots per match in their last six at home.
- Liverpool opponents have attempted double-digit shots in five straight Premier League away matches and in eight of the last nine.
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Liverpool CAM Florian Wirtz vs. Manchester United Projection: 2 Shots Assisted
- Florian Wirtz leads all eligible Premier League players with 23.07 passes per match in the final third.
- Wirtz also ranks third in successful passes in the final third, managing 556 so far this season.
- His 57 chances created rank sixth among all Premier League players this season.
- Wirtz has 3 shot assists or more in three of his last four matches.
- Liverpool managed just 9 shots last week, but their last 13 Premier League fixtures have seen them average 16.77 shots per match.
Add Florian Wirtz to your PrizePicks Lineup now.
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Make Manchester United vs. Liverpool Picks on PrizePicks
There is more than simply bragging rights on the line between these two rivals on Sunday. Manchester United have won just three of their last 19 Premier League fixtures against Liverpool, but they could complete a season double over the Reds and clinch Champions League for next season with a victory.
Don’t wait until lock — make your Manchester United vs. Liverpool picks on PrizePicks now and earn real money if you’re right.
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