On Saturday, MLB has a full slate with 15 games on the schedule, beginning in the afternoon. Cubs OF Ian Happ is one of the hitters that is worth keeping tabs on.
PrizePicks offers daily home run projections for all your MLB picks, and many hitters have already been targeted by users as some of the most popular home run picks throughout Saturday’s action.
Below, we’ll break down the most-picked MLB home run predictions for Saturday, including each player’s matchup, recent production, and what makes them a popular home run pick.
Make your MLB home run picks for Saturday, May 2, on PrizePicks now.
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Top Home Runs Picks Today – Saturday, May 2
Slugging a home run is one of the toughest accomplishments that a player can achieve. Given the difficulty, it can be incredibly tough to predict which players go yard on a specific day.
Several substantial factors can be attributed to a certain player’s likelihood of belting a home run. How hard has a player been hitting the baseball? Has the opposing starting pitcher been serving up a ton of fly balls? Could weather conditions play a part?
Home run projections are labeled as demons on PrizePicks, which comes with a higher payout. Additionally, you can only choose “More” on home run projections, which are set at 0.5.
Here’s a look at the most popular home run picks for today on PrizePicks as of writing.
- Yankees OF Aaron Judge
- Orioles C Adley Rutschmann
- Cubs OF Ian Happ
- Phillies OF Kyle Schwarber
- Twins OF Byron Buxton
- White Sox 3B Munetaka Murakami
- Athletics C Shea Langeliers
- Dodgers OF Shohei Ohtani
- Yankees 1B Ben Rice
- Cardinals OF Jordan Walker
Below, we’ll break down three matchups for today, including the opposing starting pitcher with advanced stats from FanGraphs and Baseball Savant, capped by a weather report via RotoGrinders.
Cubs OF Ian Happ
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Chicago Cubs – 2:20 p.m. ET
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher: Ryne Nelson (6 GS, 1-2, 4.78 xFIP, 47.6% hard-hit, 47.6% FB%)
MLB Weather Report: 45 degrees, clear skies, and 8 mph winds toward home plate
- Happ has slugged at least 21 home runs in four of the past five seasons and already has gone yard on 7 occasions in 2026.
- The Cubs' star has blasted 4 of his 7 home runs against right-handed pitchers throughout the 2026 campaign.
- Happ has tallied a 21.2% home run-to-fly ball rate, which is his highest since the 2021 season.
- Happ has registered a 13.5% barrel rate this season, ranking in the 82nd percentile.
- The Cubs' OF has recorded a career-high 44.6% fly ball rate, outdoing his previous personal record of 41.8% in 2024. Meanwhile, Diamondbacks SP Ryne Nelson has given up a lofty 47.6% fly ball rate.
- Nelson has surrendered 6 home runs across his six starts, which averages out to a 2.10 HR/9 and a career-worst 15.0% HR/FB.
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Athletics C Shea Langeliers
Cleveland Guardians vs. Athletics – 4:05 p.m. ET
Guardians Starting Pitcher: Slade Cecconi (6 GS, 0-4, 4.81 xFIP, 37.8% hard-hit, 38.5% FB%)
MLB Weather Report: 73 degrees, clear skies, and 6 mph winds out to LF
- Langeliers has slugged 8 home runs so far in 2026 and is coming off a career-high 31 home runs a season ago.
- The Athletics' catcher has launched 5 of his 8 home runs against right-handed pitchers in 2026.
- Langeliers has tallied a 14.9% barrel rate, which ranks in the 88th percentile.
- Langeliers has registered a 17.8% home run-to-fly ball rate in 2026.
- The former first-round pick has also accumulated a .574 xSLG (96th percentile), .307 xBA (96th), and a 93.1 average exit velocity (91st).
- Guardians SP Slade Cecconi has served up 6 home runs in his six starts, breaking down to a 1.78 HR/9 and a career-worst 16.2% HR/FB rate.
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Cardinals OF Jordan Walker
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. St. Louis Cardinals – 7:15 p.m. ET
Dodgers Starting Pitcher: Roki Sasaki (5 GS, 1-2, 5.07 xFIP, 45.1% hard-hit, 42.9% FB%)
MLB Weather Report: 63 degrees, clear skies, and 3 mph winds toward 1B
- Walker has hammered 9 home runs during the 2026 season and is on pace for a career-best 47 long balls.
- The Cardinals OF has clobbered 6 of his 9 home runs against right-handed pitchers this season.
- Walker has registered a 28.1% home run-to-fly ball rate in 2026, which is by far the highest rate of his four-year career.
- The Cardinals' slugger has turned in a 95.5 average exit velocity (99th percentile), a 21.1% barrel rate (97th), and a 59.2 hard-hit rate (97th).
- Walker has recorded a 42.1% fly ball rate in 2026, while Dodgers SP Roki Sasaski has given up a career-high 42.9% fly ball rate.
- Sasaki has surrendered 7 home runs this season while also giving up a 2.78 HR/9 and a career-worst 23.3% HR/FB rate.
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Make MLB Home Run Picks on PrizePicks
Ian Happ and Shea Langeliers both have advantageous pitching matchups on Saturday, while Jordan Walker will look to reach double-digit home runs. Who will go yard on Saturday, May 2?
Don’t wait until the first pitch — make your home run picks on PrizePicks now and earn real money if you’re right.
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