The Los Angeles Dodgers (20-12) will square off against the St. Louis Cardinals (19-13) for the second game of a three-game series on Saturday, May 2, at 7:15 p.m. ET on FOX.
Ahead of Saturday’s clash at Busch Stadium, the Dodgers are road favorites with a 1.69x payout if they defeat the Cardinals, via PrizePicks Team Picks.
Below, we'll break down our Dodgers vs. Cardinals prediction and picks for Saturday’s MLB showdown, including the run line, over/under, and key player picks for PrizePicks.
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Dodgers vs. Cardinals Prediction, Winner Payout, Over/Under – Saturday, May 2
Both teams will trot out the back end of their rotations on Saturday, as Dodgers SP Roki Sasaki (5.05 xFIP across 5 starts and 22.2 IP) and Cardinals SP Michael McGreevy (4.04 xFIP across 6 starts and 33.1 IP) will be on the bump.
The concerns we saw from Sasaki a season ago remain an issue to start the 2026 MLB season, as he’s in the 11th percentile in xERA (6.05), 18th percentile in xBA (.275), and 28th percentile in walk rate (12.0%), per Baseball Savant.
According to FanGraphs, the Dodgers unsurprisingly boast the best wRC+ (123), best wOBA (.354), and second-best ISO (.179) in the league to begin the year. That being said, Los Angeles has lost three games in a row, and they’ve tallied 2 or fewer runs in all three losses.
The advanced metrics are a major concern for McGreevy, who is ranked in the 11th percentile in xERA (6.17) and 11th percentile in xBA (.294).
The Cardinals’ bats have been solid so far, logging the eighth-best wRC+ (105), eighth-best wOBA (.325), and 10th-best ISO (.162). With its win over Los Angeles on Friday, St. Louis has extended its winning streak to five games.
Dodgers vs. Cardinals Winner Payout, Over/Under – Saturday, May 2
The Dodgers enter Saturday’s game as road favorites vs. the Cardinals, returning a 1.69x payout if they win outright, via PrizePicks Team Picks.
Here are the full payouts for the Dodgers vs. Cardinals game on PrizePicks.
- Spread: Dodgers -1.5 (2.08x payout)
- Over/Under: 8.5 (1.75x payout on Over)
- Game Winner Payout: Dodgers 1.69x | Cardinals 2.08x
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Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.
Dodgers vs. Cardinals Prediction on Over/Under – 5/2/26
Here are the key game stats and trends behind our Dodgers vs. Cardinals prediction on the total runs for Saturday, May 2.
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- Sasaki has given up at least 3 ER in three of his last four starts for the Dodgers.
- Additionally, Sasaki is in the 33rd percentile in barrel rate (9.9%), 24th percentile in hard-hit rate (45.1%), and 30th percentile in ground ball rate (38.0%).
- On the other hand, McGreevy just isn’t missing bats, residing in the 20th percentile in strikeout rate (16.5%), sixth percentile in whiff rate (16.4%), and 13th percentile in barrel rate (12.9%).
- Just last season, the Cardinals were tied for the 11th-highest rate of hitting the over (50.7%) when playing at home. They are 9-7 (56.3%) on the over at Busch Stadium to begin 2026.
- Although it’s not a massive sample, the Dodgers possess the best wRC+ (136), best wOBA (.375), and second-best ISO (.195) as the visiting team this season.
- Once McGreevy exits the contest, the Cardinals’ bullpen has the sixth-worst SIERA (4.43), seventh-worst WHIP (1.48), seventh-highest walk rate (12.1%), and second-lowest strikeout rate (19.1%).
Dodgers vs. Cardinals Player Picks, Stats for PrizePicks – 5/2/26
Here are the top Dodgers vs. Cardinals picks to target on PrizePicks for Saturday, May 2. Today’s MLB picks for PrizePicks include Alec Burleson and Shohei Ohtani.
Cardinals 1B Alec Burleson vs. Dodgers Projection: 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
- During the 2025 campaign, Sasaki had a 6.49 xFIP, 1.55 WHIP, and 1.93 HR/9 when facing left-handed sluggers. He has a 5.30 xFIP, 1.87 WHIP, and 2.40 HR/9 in that split to start 2026.
- Sasaki has permitted 7 hits in back-to-back starts.
- Against righties last year, Alec Burleson notched a 132 wRC+, .357 wOBA, and .182 ISO. To begin 2026, he owns a stellar 148 wRC+, .388 wOBA, and .195 ISO in the same split.
- Burleson is currently on a five-game hitting streak, totaling 3 multi-hit performances, 2 doubles, 2 HRs, 9 RBIs, and 7 runs scored in the split.
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Dodgers DH Shohei Ohtani vs. Cardinals Projection: 1.5 Total Bases
- While Shohei Ohtani has gone hitless in back-to-back outings, he was coming off back-to-back 3-hit performances before that.
- McGreevy produced a 5.26 xFIP, 1.73 WHIP, and 2.03 HR/9 to lefties in 2025. He has a 4.73 xFIP, 0.99 WHIP, and 1.16 HR/9 against left-handed hitters to start 2026.
- Ohtani crushed right-handed pitchers to the tune of a 186 wRC+, .438 wOBA, and .378 ISO last season.
- Plus, Ohtani could be aided by winds blowing from left to right field at Busch Stadium on Saturday.
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The Dodgers and Cardinals have been raking at the plate to begin the 2026 season, and there are shaky pitchers on the mound, with Sasaki and McGreevy starting. Will Los Angeles snap their three-game skid, or will St. Louis make it six wins in a row?
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