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MLB Cheat Sheet: MLB DFS Picks Today – Monday, August 4

Red Sox pitcher Brayan Bello strikeouts is a top MLB DFS pick for PrizePicks MLB today.
AP Photo/Matt Krohn

The MLB slate on Monday, August 4 showcases a loaded slate of 13 games, including a key American League matchup between playoff teams. Headlining the MLB DFS slate, the Red Sox host the Royals at Fenway Park at 7:10 p.m. ET as Boston seeks a sixth consecutive victory.

Welcome to Monday’s MLB DFS Picks, as we’ll break down today’s MLB games and give you the best MLB DFS picks for PrizePicks for August 4, including pitcher strikeout projections and hitter projections to target today.

Get started on PrizePicks today to get $50 instantly in Lineups after your first $5 Lineup.

Let’s break down some of the best MLB picks to target for the Monday MLB DFS slate on PrizePicks.

MLB DFS Picks on PrizePicks: Monday, 8/4

Here are some of the top MLB DFS picks and predictions on PrizePicks today. Use this analysis to help you build a stacked MLB Lineup on PrizePicks for Monday, August 4. Click each pick to read more.

Marlins LF Kyle Stowers — 6.5 Hitter Fantasy Score

  • Marlins LF Kyle Stowers leads the team with 25 home runs, including hitting a pair against the Yankees this past weekend.
  • Stowers racked up 23 fantasy points in Sunday’s win over the Yankees, marking his second performance of at least 20 points against New York.
  • In seven of the past nine home games, Stowers has racked up at least one extra-base hit. During this span, he has hit three doubles and four home runs, to go along with 15 RBIs.
  • Stowers has put up several amazing offensive numbers, including an xWOBA of .392 (94th percentile), xSLG of .564 (96th percentile), and a barrel rate of 19.6% (98th percentile). 
  • Out of his 25 home runs this season, 24 have come against right-handed pitchers. Astros P Jason Alexander has allowed a home run in each of his past two starts.
  • In four of the last five games after hitting a home run, Stowers has eclipsed seven fantasy points.

Mets 1B Pete Alonso — 6.5 Hitter Fantasy Score

  • Mets 1B Pete Alonso has racked up three hits in the last seven games. Two of those hits were home runs, coming against the Giants on Friday and Saturday.
  • Alonso has eclipsed this fantasy projection twice in the past nine contests.
  • July was by far Alonso’s worst offensive month of the season, hitting .141 with four home runs.
  • Alonso has posted a .607 XSLG (98th percentile), 20.6% barrel rate (99th percentile), and a 93.9% average exit velocity (98th percentile), all career-highs.
  • In his last six home openers, Alonso is hitting 3-of-20 with one extra-base hit.

Red Sox P Brayan Bello — 4 Strikeouts

  • Red Sox P Brayan Bello has posted four strikeouts or more in nine of his last 10 starts. 
  • Bello has recorded three outings of more than five strikeouts in his last three home starts, including 10 K’s against the Rockies on July 8.
  • Bello’s strikeout rate is currently the lowest of his career at 17.9%, which is in the 19th percentile in MLB.
  • The Royals have struck out 445 times against opposing starting pitchers, which is the second-lowest total in MLB behind the Blue Jays.
  • However, each of the past four starting pitchers to face Kansas City have compiled at least five strikeouts, including all three at Toronto this past weekend.

Cardinals P Sonny Gray — 5.5 Strikeouts

  • Cardinals P Sonny Gray is seeking his first outing of at least six strikeouts since July 8 against Washington.
  • In the last four starts, Gray has struck out five batters each time, while lasting fewer than five innings each time.
  • Gray owns a 26.4% strikeout rate, which leads all St. Louis starting pitchers — he ranks eighth among National League hurlers.
  • In the first matchup against the Dodgers in June, Gray tossed 6.1 scoreless innings and struck out five batters in a 5-0 shutout.
  • Gray has seen success against some of the the Dodgers’ top hitters, striking out Mookie Betts and Freddie Freeman seven times apiece.
  • In seven of the last 10 games, opposing starting pitchers facing the Dodgers have compiled six strikeouts or more.

Make MLB DFS Picks Win Cas on PrizePicks

There’s exciting action on Monday’s MLB slate, including four interleague matchups. With 13 MLB games on tap and almost every team in action, now is time to build your MLB Lineup on PrizePicks.

Just pick More or Less at least two MLB player stat projections to build your Lineup on PrizePicks. Use the players above to build your Lineups around, or use a 6-Pick Lineup to reach up to 2000x payouts.

Check out the Playbook for more MLB DFS picks and analysis all the way through the season.

Get in the game! Sign up for PrizePicks and cash in on your sports predictions.
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about the author

Kevin has spent the last 15 years in the sports gambling space. He covered all major sports at VegasInsider both as a writer and handicapper from 2009 until 2024. He has also covered college basketball and MLB for the Action Network.

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