The Texans and Chiefs, two AFC contenders, play a huge game in Kansas City that will have an impact on the AFC playoff race.
Both teams are currently on the outside of the playoff picture with five games left. Sunday Night Football kicks off at 8:20 p.m. ET on NBC.
Below, we'll break down our Texans-Chiefs prediction and Sunday Night Football picks for Week 14, including the top player picks on PrizePicks' real-money NFL game. Names to monitor include Houston QB C.J. Stroud and Kansas City QB Patrick Mahomes and WR Rashee Rice.
Texans vs. Chiefs Over/Under, Picks, Spread on PrizePicks
The Texans and Chiefs meet for the 16th time. Kansas City has won 11 of the previous 16 meetings, including each of the last five matchups. Two of those bouts occurred in the postseason.
The Chiefs enter the Sunday Week 14 game as 3.5-point favorites, returning a 1.53x payout on PrizePicks Team Picks if they win.
The Texans are visiting underdogs with a 2.38x payout if they win, via PrizePicks Team Picks.
- Spread: Kansas City Chiefs -2.5
- Total: 42.5
- Game Winner Payout: Texans 2.38x | Chiefs 1.53x
Payouts as of Friday, 4:00 p.m. ET and are subject to change.
Texans vs. Chiefs Over/Under: 42.5
The total of 42.5 is the fifth-lowest total of the Week 14 slate and the lowest of any Chiefs game this year.
- Eight of each club's 12 games have gone under the listed total, tied for the second-most behind the Saints. This includes six of the last seven for the Chiefs and five of the last six Texans games.
- Low totals are nothing new to the Texans, who have seen no over/under higher than 44.5 this season.
- The Texans lead the NFL in scoring defense, holding opponents to 16.5 points per game. They're also first at 265.7 yards per game allowed.
- On the offensive side, the Texans are 21st in the NFL, scoring 21.9 PPG.
- The Chiefs average 26.1 PPG, ninth in the NFL, and are fifth in total yards at 374.8 per game.
- On the defensive side, KC only allows 19.3 PPG, seventh-best in the NFL.
- According to FTN DVOA, the Chiefs have the third-best offense to the Texans' 24th.
Texans vs. Chiefs SNF Picks for PrizePicks
Here are three Texans vs. Chiefs player picks for Week 14, including Houston QB C.J. Stroud and Kansas City QB Patrick Mahomes and WR Rashee Rice.
Pick More or Less on these projections on PrizePicks — plus thousands more — to win real money this NFL season.
Texans QB C.J. Stroud Projection vs. Chiefs: 229.5 Pass Yards
- Stroud has accumulated more than his player projection in five of nine games despite not reaching it in the first four games.
- The listed projection of 229.5 is the third-highest one of the season for Stroud. The projection was 234.5 last week, and he threw for 276 yards.
- Stroud has failed to reach 230+ yards passing in five of his nine starts.
- The Houston QB has a passer rating of 91.1, which is 17th in the NFL. Last season, he had an 87.0 mark, which was 23rd.
Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes Projection vs. Texans: 236.5 Rush Yards
- Mahomes has posted more than his player projection in seven of 12 games.
- The listed player projection of 236.5 passing yards is the fourth-lowest of the season for Mahomes. Starting in Week 5, each of his last eight games have seen a projection of 245.5 or higher.
- Mahomes has thrown for 250+ yards in nine consecutive games and in 10 of 12 this season.
- The Chiefs' superstar QB has 441 passing attempts on the season, second-most in the NFL behind Cowboys QB Dak Prescott.
Chiefs WR Rashee Rice Projection vs. Texans: 68.5 Receiving Yards
- Rice racked up more than his receiving projection in four games, including each of the last two.
- Of the previous six games Rice has played, his listed projection was more than 68.5 in four of them — all in the last four games.
- Rice has recorded 70+ receiving yards in four games this season.
- Since his return to action in Week 7, Rice has averaged 9.8 targets, third in the NFL behind Bengals WR Ja’Marr Chase and Falcons WR Drake London.
Make Texans vs. Chiefs Week 14 Picks on PrizePicks
Will the Texans-Chiefs game be a defensive battle, or will Patrick Mahomes and C.J. Stroud put up big numbers? As the NFL season enters its 14th week, there's no better place to get real-money action with your NFL predictions than on PrizePicks.
There's a wide variety of player stat projections on the NFL board, so you can make predictions on whatever you'd like — from yards to field goals. Just pick at least two players and predict More or Less on their projected stats, then cash out if you're right.
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