PSG looks to take a step closer towards successfully defending their Champions League crown as they host Liverpool at the Parc des Princes on Wednesday, April 8.
The first leg quarterfinals match kicks off at 3:00 p.m. ET on Paramount+, with Liverpool coming off a humiliating 4-0 defeat to Man City in the FA Cup on Saturday. They’ve won just one of their last five matches, and face a PSG side that romped 8-2 over Chelsea on aggregate in the Round of 16.
Below, we’ll break down our PSG vs. Liverpool prediction and picks for Wednesday afternoon’s Champions League match.
Go to PrizePicks to make your Champions League predictions on every game and earn money if you're right, including on game winners, total goals, players, and more!
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PSG vs. Liverpool Prediction for Champions League Quarterfinals Match – April 8
Liverpool is enduring their worst season in over a decade, with Saturday’s defeat giving them 15 losses in all competitions. Their only win in the last five matches was a win over Galatasaray in the Round of 16, winning 4-0 to overturn a one-goal deficit at Anfield.
This PSG side will be a far sterner test. They’re spoiled for riches in attack and are almost fully healthy. While FW Bradley Barcola will miss out due to a sprained ankle, and MF Fabian Ruiz is still "injured", they still have one of the best starting XIs in all of Europe and a loaded bench.
PSG rested many of their key players on Friday in a 3-1 victory over Toulouse, and they’re now 9-1-2 over their last 12 matches. They tore Chelsea to shreds in the first leg of the Round of 16 match, winning 5-2 at home, and will hope to replicate that against this shaky Liverpool back line.
The Reds badly miss GK Alisson at the back, as both he and RB Conor Bradley will be absent on Wednesday. MF Wataru Endo’s injury also leaves them thin in the center of the pitch, where Man City’s midfield overran them nearly the entire match.
That could happen again in this match. PSG MF Vitinha is a metronome at the base of the midfield, and he and Joao Neves could overwhelm the likes of Ryan Gravenberch.
PSG’s 8.0 passes per defensive action (PPDA) are the fewest of any team in the competition this season, which is how they’ve managed to keep a competition-high 67.4% possession.
The attacking trio of Desire Doue, Ousmane Dembele, and Khvicha Kvaratskhelia will be relishing the chance to run at Ibrahima Konate and Virgil Van Dijk. Liverpool have lost the second-highest rate of ground duels of any team in the Champions League this campaign.
Helping them will be the overlapping runs from Achraf Hakimi and Nuno Mendes as they put pressure on Liverpool’s vulnerable fullbacks. That could open up some counter-attacking lanes for Mohamed Salah and Hugo Ekitike to punish.
PSG vs. Liverpool Spread, Total Goals, Payouts for Wednesday, April 8
PSG enters Wednesday’s game as home favorites, returning a 1.66x payout ($100 entry pays out $166) on PrizePicks Team Picks if the French side wins outright.
Liverpool are road underdogs with a 3.84x ($384 payout on a $100 entry) payout if the Reds win, via PrizePicks Team Picks.
Make your Champions League predictions on PrizePicks HERE — including on match winners — and get $50 instantly in Lineups when you sign up.
Winner Payout: PSG – 1.66x | Tie – 3.84x | Liverpool – 3.84x
Spread: PSG -1.5 (2.63x Payout)
Total Goals: 3.5 (Over – 2.12x)
Both Teams to Score: Yes 1.49x | No 2.43x
Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.
PSG vs. Liverpool Prediction on Total Goals
Here are the key stats to know before locking in your PSG vs. Liverpool prediction on the total goals for Wednesday, April 8, in the Champions League match. Check out more of our soccer picks and predictions on PrizePicks.
- Liverpool leads all teams in the Champions League this season with 20.6 per match.
- PSG sit just behind them at 20.1 shots per match.
- Both PSG and Liverpool sit in the Top 5 in xG in the competition.
- PSG are drastically outperforming their xG in the competition, with 34 goals from 25.2 xG.
- PSG leads the competition with 90 shots on target, with Liverpool just five back of them despite having played two fewer matches.
- Four of PSG’s last five matches have featured at least four goals.
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PSG vs. Liverpool Projected Lineups for Wednesday, April 8
Here are the projected PSG vs. Liverpool lineups for today's Champions League match in the quarterfinals. Lineups are not official.
PSG Lineup vs. Liverpool: Projected 4-3-3
- Goalkeeper: Matvey Safonov
- Defense: Achraf Hakimi, Marquinhos, Willian Pacho, Nuno Mendes
- Midfield: Warren Zaire-Emery, Vitinha, Joao Neves
- Forwards: Desire Doue, Ousmane Dembele, Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
Liverpool Lineup vs. PSG: Projected 4-2-2-2
- Goalkeeper: Giorgi Mamardashvili
- Defense: Jeremie Frimpong, Ibrahim Konate, Virgil van Dijk, Milos Kerkez
- Midfield: Ryan Gravenberch, Alexis Mac Allister, Domonik Szoboszlai, Florian Wirtz
- Forwards: Mohamed Salah, Hugo Ekitike
PSG vs. Liverpool Match Player Picks for Champions League: Wednesday, April 8
Here are two top PSG vs. Liverpool match picks to target on players for Wednesday, April 8 on PrizePicks.
Use these player picks for PrizePicks to help build your UCL Lineups today, headlined by Achraf Hakimi and Dominik Szoboszlai.
PSG RB Achraf Hakimi vs. Liverpool: 1.5 Shots
- Achraf Hakimi has attempted at least 2 shots in 14 of his last 18 starts for PSG.
- Opponents have attempted 19% of their shots against the left side of Liverpool’s defense, the eighth-most of any club in the competition.
- Hakimi has averaged 1.54 shots per 90 minutes in the Champions League, despite taking 0 shots in either match against Chelsea.
- The PSG RB attempted multiple shots in both knockout stage matches vs. Liverpool last season, taking 5 shots in total.
Make picks on Achraf Hakimi vs. Liverpool on PrizePicks UCL.
Liverpool CM Dominik Szoboszlai vs. PSG: 1.5 Shots
- Dominik Szoboszlai has attempted at least 3 shots in five of his last seven Liverpool starts.
- He attempted nine shots in total against Galatasaray.
- Szoboszlai is one of Liverpool’s dedicated free-kick takers.
- Liverpool’s 5.6 set piece shots per match lead all teams in the Champions League.
Make picks on Dominik Szoboszlai vs. PSG on PrizePicks UCL.
Make PSG vs. Liverpool Predictions for Champions League on PrizePicks
The seat has gotten very hot for Liverpool manager Arne Slot, who said Liverpool gave up on Saturday against Man City. He will need his side to respond at the Parc des Princes on Wednesday, or PSG could yet again be coasting heading into the second leg of their Champions League quarterfinal tie.
This should be an entertaining match between two European powerhouses, one of two on the slate for which you can make picks on Wednesday.
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Stick around with the Playbook for continued Champions League predictions, picks, and analysis until a champion is crowned.
