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PGA Tour Cognizant Classic First Round Picks, Predictions for Thursday

Daniel Berger hits a golf ball in a PGA tournament.
AP Photo/Matt York

The PGA Tour leaves the West Coast and moves to Florida for the next four weeks, starting with the Cognizant Classic at Jack Nicklaus’ PGA National. 123 golfers will tee it up in the Florida sunshine over the next four days. 

Below, we'll break down our Congnizant Classic first-round picks and predictions for PrizePicks Team Picks and golfer projections on strokes and birdies from Player Picks.

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Cognizant Classic First Round Picks, Predictions for Thursday, 2/25

Only three of the top-30 players in the world are in action as this is between two Signature events of the last two weeks and next week's Arnold Palmer Invitational. However, plenty of good players to choose from. 

Here are the payout projections for the top-10 golfers to be the first-round leader at the Cognizant Classic, via PrizePicks Team Picks.

PGA futures payouts are live as of publishing, but are subject to change.

  • Shane Lowry - 22.22x Payout
  • Nicolai Hojgaard - 22.22x
  • Keith Mitchell - 22.22x
  • David Lipsky - 33.33x
  • Hank Lebioda - 33.33x
  • Kevin Roy - 33.33x
  • John Parry - 33.33x
  • Kris Ventura - 33.33x
  • Davis Thompson - 33.33x
  • Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen - 33.33x

2026 Cognizant Classic Picks for First Round

Here are two players to consider for your Cognizant Classic first-round leader on PrizePicks Team Picks and Player Picks projections

Daniel Berger

Cognizant Classic First Round Leader Payout:  Yes - 33.33x Payout

Cognizant Classic First Round Projections: 69 strokes, 4.5 Birdies or Better, 11.5 Pars, 9.5 Fairways hit

  • Florida native Daniel Berger shot a 63 in the first round last year and would've shared First Round Leader honors if not for Jake Knapp's record 59. 
  • Berger was also a bridesmaid in First Round Leader honors in 2022, shooting a 65. 
  • Overall, at PGA National, Berger has three top-five finishes, including a runner-up in 2015 and fourth-place finishes in 2020 and 2022.
  • On the season, Berger has made the cut in four of five events and has scored 68 or lower in three of the first rounds. 

Sam Ryder

Sam Ryder Cognizant Classic First Round Leader Payout:  Yes - 33.33x Payout

  • Sam Ryder shot a 64, going out at 6:45 a.m. ET last year and 66, going out at 8:02 a.m. ET in 2024.
  • This year? Ryder is in the second group out on Thursday, at 6:57 a.m. ET. 
  • He has two top-ten finishes in this event, and three of his seven sub-70 rounds at the Cognizant Classic occurred in the first round. 
  • Ryder led after 18 holes in three different events last season but did not go on to win any of them. 

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Make 2026 Cognizant Classic Picks on PrizePicks

The PGA Tour begins its Florida Swing with the Cognizant Classic in the Palm Beaches. Can Daniel Berger, a former FSU player, go low in the first round on Thursday?  Or will a long shot jump up and take the first round lead?

You can make your Cognizant Classic picks on PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks to earn real money. Just pick players, predict More or Less on their projected stats, and cash in if you’re correct. With Team Picks, make predictions on winners, spreads, and over/unders, now available in 34 states.

Get in the game! Sign up for PrizePicks and cash in on your sports predictions. Play $5 and get $50 instantly in Lineups with promo code PLAYBOOK.

Team Picks and Culture Picks are event contracts offered by Performance Predictions II, LLC d/b/a PrizePicks Predict, a CFTC-registered FCM and NFA Member. All event contract customers must be U.S. residents and 18+. Some event contracts may not be available in every state. Event contract trading carries significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. No guarantee against loss is offered. Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results. Void where prohibited by law. Restrictions apply. For full terms of service see prizepicks.com/predict-regulatory. Team and Culture Pick Early Payouts subject to market liquidity. The content provided is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, or a recommendation to trade any commodity interest.

about the author

David Bearman spent 18 years with ESPN in their Stats & Information Department and overseeing their betting content. From 2023-25, he served as Chief Content Officer of Pro Football Network, overseeing all content, including coverage of Super Bowls 58 and 59. He is also the Founder of Betting with Bearman, a 3x a week betting newsletter and weekly podcast on Bleav Podcast Network.

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