The Toronto Raptors (44-35) are making a push to avoid the Play-In Tournament in the final days of the regular season. On the other hand, the Miami Heat (41-38) are likely to compete in the Play-In Tournament when the postseason begins but will look to move up from the No. 10 seed.
The Heat and Raptors have met three times this season, with Toronto winning all three of those contests. Tip-off for Thursday’s matchup is scheduled for 7:00 p.m. ET, with the Raptors listed as 4.5-point favorites on PrizePicks Team Picks.
Below, we’ll break down our Heat vs. Raptors prediction and picks for Thursday night's game. Make your NBA picks on PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks and earn real money if you’re right, including on game winners, spreads, and totals!
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Heat vs. Raptors Prediction, Spread, Over/Under
The Raptors currently sit in sixth place in the Eastern Conference but could finish as high as fifth depending on how the final three regular-season games unfold. Toronto could even fall into the Play-In Tournament since they are just a half-game ahead of the No. 7 seed Orlando Magic.
Raptors F Brandon Ingram leads Toronto in scoring, averaging 21.3 points per game this season. However, the Raptors possess a balanced scoring attack, with six players averaging double figures in the scoring department.
The Heat has struggled over the last month, losing nine of their last 12 games. As a result, Miami has plummeted into 10th place in the Eastern Conference and likely will be bound for the Play-In Tournament.
However, the Heat returned G Norman Powell to the lineup on Tuesday’s 121-95 loss vs. the Raptors. Powell, who had missed the previous four games due to a groin injury, scored 14 points on 4-of-12 shooting in 24 minutes.
Heat vs. Raptors Spread, Over/Under
The Raptors are 4.5-point home favorites on Thursday, returning a 1.58x payout on PrizePicks Team Picks if they win outright.
The Heat are road underdogs and return a 2.32x payout if they win outright, per PrizePicks Team Picks, where you can earn money with your picks in 35 states.
- Spread: Toronto Raptors -4.5
- Over/Under: 236.5
- Game Winner Payout: Heat 2.32x | Raptors 1.58x
Team Picks data is live as of writing and is subject to change.
Heat vs. Raptors Injury Report
Let’s dive into the full Heat vs. Raptors injury report for Thursday, via NBA.com.
Miami Heat Injury Report
- PF Nikola Jovic (ankle): OUT
- G Norman Powell (groin): Questionable
- G Dru Smith (foot): Questionable
Toronto Raptors Injury Report
The Raptors feature a healthy rotation for Thursday night.
Heat vs. Raptors Prediction on Spread – 4/9/26
Here are the key stats to know before locking in your Heat vs. Raptors prediction on the spread for Thursday, April 9, on PrizePicks.
- The Raptors are 13-14 against the spread as home favorites, producing a 48.2% cover rate this season.
- However, the Heat are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games.
- Toronto has won all three meetings against Miami by an average margin of +19.0 points.
- The Raptors were able to hold the Heat to 27.6% shooting from beyond the arc in those three contests.
- According to NBA Advanced Stats, the Raptors have the sixth-best defensive rating (112.0) in the league.
- The Raptors defend the perimeter extremely well, holding their opponents to 35.1% 3-point shooting (seventh in the NBA).
- Toronto records an assist on 69.4% of its made shots, which ranks fourth in the NBA.
- The Raptors are 3-0 ATS in their three meetings vs. the Heat during the 2025-26 season.
Heat vs. Raptors Picks for PrizePicks Today: 4/9/26
Here are two of the top Heat vs. Raptors picks to consider for Thursday, April 9. Today's PrizePicks NBA player projections feature Raptors F Scottie Barnes and Heat C Bam Adebayo.
Heat C Bam Adebayo vs. Raptors Projection: 30.5 Pts + Rebs
- Adebayo averaged a combined 31.3 points and rebounds per game across his last 10 outings.
- The Heat big man has recorded at least 32 points and rebounds in four of his last 10 contests.
- Adebayo scored 20+ points in just four of his last 10 games.
- The Heat star averaged 12.0 PPG in three contests vs. the Raptors during the 2025-26 campaign.
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Raptors F Scottie Barnes vs. Heat Projection: 17.5 Points
- Barnes averaged 23.0 PPG in three contests vs. the Heat this season.
- The former Florida State Seminole scored 25+ points in two of those matchups vs. Miami.
- Barnes has connected on 60.9% (28 of 46) of his shots vs. the Heat this season.
- According to databallr, Barnes spends 18.9% of his time on the court on the ball, ranking in the 79th percentile.
Make Heat vs. Raptors Picks on PrizePicks
The Raptors are doing their best to avoid the Play-In Tournament as the regular season winds down. Meanwhile, the Heat are likely bound for the Play-In Tournament but will aim to improve their seeding in Tuesday’s rematch of Eastern Conference foes.
You can make Heat vs. Raptors picks on PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks to earn real money. Just pick players, predict More or Less on their projected stats, and cash in if you’re correct. With Team Picks, make predictions on winners, spreads, and over/unders, now available in 35 states.
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