The Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Houston Rockets game is set to tip off at 9:30 p.m. ET on Friday, April 10, televised by Prime Video, with the Rockets entering as 10.5-point favorites on the spread, via PrizePicks.
The Timberwolves are locked in as the No. 6 seed in the Western Conference, which is why they have a laundry list of injuries for tonight’s game. The Rockets have a chance to grab the No. 4 seed and secure home court advantage in the first round vs. the Lakers.
Below, we'll break down our Timberwolves vs. Rockets prediction and picks for Friday’s NBA game, including the spread, over/under, and key player picks for PrizePicks.
Make your picks for Timberwolves vs. Rockets on PrizePicks now.
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Timberwolves vs. Rockets Prediction, Spread, Over/Under – Friday, April 10
With Minnesota being locked into the No. 6 seed in the Western Conference, it seems likely that we won’t see its full complement of players tonight. There is little reason to risk an injury, unless the Timberwolves want to see star SG Anthony Edwards knock off some rust before the NBA playoffs. He's appeared in only two games since March 15.
A couple of weeks ago, we labeled the Rockets as “floundering” and said either the Lakers or the Nuggets would be thrilled to catch them in the first round. Boy, how things have changed since then.
Houston has proceeded to rattle off eight straight wins, and thanks to the unfortunate injuries to Lakers PG Luka Doncic and SG Austin Reaves, they are now tied for the No. 4 seed with the purple and gold.
L.A. holds the tiebreaker, so the Rockets will need to win their last two games while hoping L.A. drops one of its last two (home vs. Phoenix and Utah). If that occurs, then the No. 4 seed and home court advantage in the first round go to Houston.
Timberwolves vs. Rockets Spread, Over/Under – Friday, April 10
The Rockets enter Friday’s game as 10.5-point home favorites against the Timberwolves, returning a 1.17x payout if they win outright, via PrizePicks Team Picks.
Here are the full payouts for the Timberwolves vs. Rockets game on PrizePicks.
- Spread: Houston Rockets -10.5 (1.81x payout)
- Over/Under: 221.5 (1.85x payout on Over)
- Game Winner Payout: Timberwolves - 4.54x | Rockets - 1.17x
Play the Timberwolves vs. Rockets spread or over/under on PrizePicks Team Picks to earn real money — available in 35 states!
Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.
Timberwolves vs. Rockets Injury Report for Friday, April 10
Let’s dive into the full Timberwolves vs. Rockets injury report for Friday, via NBA.com.
Timberwolves Injury Report
- C Rudy Gobert (rest) – OUT
- SG Anthony Edwards (knee) – Questionable
- G Bones Hyland (hip) – OUT
- PF Julius Randle (hand) – OUT
- PF/C Naz Reid (shoulder) – Questionable
Rockets Injury Report
- F Tari Eason (illness) – Questionable
Timberwolves vs. Rockets Prediction on Spread – 4/10/26
Here are the key game stats and trends behind our Timberwolves vs. Rockets prediction on the spread for Friday, April 10.
Lock in your Timberwolves vs. Rockets prediction on PrizePicks before the line moves.
- The Rockets are playing their best basketball of the season at the right time. Over their last 10 games, they have the fourth-best net rating in the league (+11.8), per NBA Advanced Stats.
- That is a full +12.5 points over the Timberwolves during that timespan (-0.7), who have battled injuries.
- This game means much more to the Rockets, who will likely want to take no chances in dropping either one of their remaining two games, while the Timberwolves likely just want to escape the regular season healthy.
- Minnesota is 34-46-0 (42.5%) against the spread (ATS) this season, ranked as the third-worst covering record in the NBA.
- The battle of the glass could be a key, as the Timberwolves rank 24th with a 47.6% rebounding rate over their last 10 games.
- This is a massive cause for concern against a Rockets team that leads the league in rebounding percentage (54.4%).
Timberwolves vs. Rockets Player Picks, Stats for PrizePicks – 4/10/26
Here are the top Timberwolves vs. Rockets picks to target on PrizePicks for Friday, April 10. Today’s NBA picks for PrizePicks include Kevin Durant and Alperen Sengun.
Rockets F Kevin Durant vs. Timberwolves Projection: 36.5 Pts + Rebs + Asts
- Durant has played well of late, averaging 37.6 points, rebounds, and assists (PRA) per game in April.
- He averages just 36 PRA this season. Is tonight's projection too high?
- For as poorly as the Wolves have been playing, their defense has remained steady, ranking fourth in the league for defensive rating (+107.8) over their last 10 games.
- Specifically, they have limited opponents to just 45.3% from the field (6th) and 34.0% from 3-point range (6th) over that same timespan.
- Minnesota has suppressed volume, with opponents launching the fourth-fewest 3-point attempts per game this season (34.3) and the fewest over the last 10 games (30.3).
- This is especially relevant for KD’s scoring output tonight, as he is averaging 6.2 3-point attempts per game in April and shooting it at a 48.4% clip from deep in the split.
Add Kevin Durant to your PrizePicks Lineup now.
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Rockets C Alperen Sengun vs. Timberwolves Projection: 34.5 Pts + Rebs + Asts
- This is a notable pace-up game for Sengun and the Rockets, who rank 29th in pace, facing the Timberwolves, who rank ninth.
- Alpy has gone over this projection in both games this season against Minnesota, with stat lines of 30-6-3 (39 PRA) and 25-14-3 (42 PRA).
- As mentioned, the Wolves have struggled on the glass with a team rebounding percentage of just 47.6% (24th) in the last 10 games.
- Sengun totals 8.9 rebounds per game and has increased that average to 9.0 in April.
- He also averages 9.5 rebounds per game at home, compared to 8.4 on the road, while shooting +3.6% better from 3-point range in Houston.
Add Alperen Sengun to your PrizePicks Lineup now.
Make Timberwolves vs. Rockets Picks on PrizePicks
The Rockets will look to extend their win streak to nine games while picking up a crucial win in their bid to secure home court advantage for the first round of the NBA Playoffs.
Don’t wait until lock — make your Timberwolves vs. Rockets picks on PrizePicks now and earn real money if you’re right.
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