The Blue Jays hung 13 runs on the Mariners in Game 3 of the ALCS to earn their first win of the series. Game 4 of the ALCS will begin at 8:33 p.m. ET on Thursday and will air on FS1.
Two veteran pitchers will be on the mound, with Blue Jays SP Max Scherzer facing Mariners SP Luis Castillo. Let’s discuss what that could mean for our Blue Jays vs. Mariners Game 4 ALCS picks on PrizePicks.
Blue Jays vs Mariners: Prediction, Picks for Game 4 ALCS
After being down 2-0 after the first inning on Wednesday, the Blue Jays stormed back to outscore the Mariners 13-2 over the final eight innings. They had 18 hits in the game after totaling 8 hits across the first two games of the series. Game 3 also marked the first time in the series that the Mariners’ bullpen allowed a run.
Blue Jays
The Blue Jays only struck out 5 times in Game 3. Their ability to make contact has been one of their biggest strengths this year. They have only struck out 40 times across seven playoff games. Meanwhile, the Mariners have struck out 93 times over their eight playoff games.
Mariners
The road team has won all three games in this series. That’s surprising for the Mariners because they went just 39-42 on the road during the regular season, while at home, they were 51-30. The Blue Jays went 54-27 in Toronto, the second-best home record in baseball.
Blue Jays vs. Mariners Picks & MLB DFS
Here are three of the top Blue Jays vs. Mariners picks on PrizePicks for Game 4 of the ALCS, including Mariners OF Julio Rodriguez and Mariners SP Luis Castillo.
Mariners OF Julio Rodriguez vs. Blue Jays Projection: 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
- Rodriguez has gone yard in each of the last two games.
- Over the first three games against the Blue Jays, J-Rod is 4-for-10 with 5 RBIs, 3 runs scored, and 3 walks.
- Scherzer did not appear in the ALDS against the Yankees. During the regular season, he had a 5.19 ERA that was backed by a 4.55 xFIP.
- One of Scherzer’s biggest problems this season was that he allowed 2.0 HR/9.
- Of the 32 home runs the Mariners’ star outfielder hit during the regular season, 22 came off right-handed pitchers.
Mariners SP Luis Castillo vs. Blue Jays Projection: 4 Strikeouts
- Castillo started Game 2 of the ALDS versus the Tigers. He logged 4 2/3 shutout innings, but finished with only 3 strikeouts.
- The veteran starter recorded a career-low 21.7% strikeout rate this season.
- The Blue Jays struck out the second-fewest times in baseball during the regular season.
- The Mariners’ starting pitchers have combined for 9 strikeouts across 13 innings in this series with the Blue Jays.
Blue Jays C Alejandro Kirk vs. Mariners Projection: 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
- Kirk is 7-for-29 (.241) with a .290 OBP, 7 RBIs, and 6 runs scored during the Blue Jays’ playoff run.
- While the catcher had a .165 ISO at home this year, he produced a .114 ISO on the road. He hit only 5 of his 15 home runs on the road.
- For his career, Kirk has just a .098 ISO away from Toronto.
- While left-handed hitters produced a .352 wOBA against Castillo this season, he was able to limit righties to a .255 wOBA.
- Castillo also allowed a meager .258 wOBA at home, compared to a .356 wOBA on the road.
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After the Blue Jays exploded at the plate in Game 3, Castillo will be tasked with trying to slow them down in Game 4. However, strikeouts might be difficult for him to come by in the matchup, especially if the Mariners decide to go to their deep bullpen early. Rodriguez will look to continue his productive series when he faces Scherzer, who is coming off one of the worst seasons of his illustrious career.
Blue Jays vs. Mariners Game 4 ALCS brings plenty of projections to consider on PrizePicks. Just pick More or Less for at least two MLB player stat projections to build your Lineup on PrizePicks and win real money if your picks are correct.
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