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Liverpool vs. Chelsea Prediction, Picks, XIs for EPL on Saturday, May 9

Chelsea F Joao Pedro celebrates after scoring a goal v. Aston Villa.
AP Photo/Dave Shopland

As the Premier League season winds down, Liverpool will host Chelsea on Saturday, May 9, at 7:30 a.m. ET on Peacock.

According to PrizePicks Team Picks, Liverpool is heavily favored at home, returning a 1.75x payout if they secure a victory.

Below, we’ll discuss our Liverpool vs. Chelsea Premier League prediction and picks for Saturday’s match.

Make your Liverpool vs. Chelsea prediction on PrizePicks for Saturday's match.

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Liverpool vs. Chelsea Prediction, Picks for Premier League – Saturday, May 9

With three games remaining on their schedule, Liverpool is currently sitting in the No. 4 spot in the Premier League table with 58 points. Fifth-place Aston Villa also has 58 points, and sixth-place Bournemouth has 52 points, so Liverpool needs to avoid losing out the rest of the way to ensure they’re playing Champions League football next season.

The top-five teams in the Premier League qualify for the Champions League next year, making it paramount for Liverpool to finish the campaign strongly despite producing disappointing results this season. That being said, if fifth-place Aston Villa were to win the Europa League, the top six teams could qualify for the UCL.

According to PrizePicks Team Picks, “Yes” on Liverpool to finish inside the top four in the EPL possesses a 1.38x payout.

Make Your Premier League Predictions on PrizePicks!

On the other hand, Chelsea has been crashing down the Premier League standings after once being in a solid position to earn Champions League qualification.

Chelsea is in ninth place in the EPL with 48 points, giving them the same amount of points as 10th-place Everton and 11th-place Fulham. They’re also only three points back of seventh-place Brentford and four points behind Bournemouth.

Getting to the No. 7 spot would qualify Chelsea for the Conference League next season, while climbing to No. 6 would get them into the Europa League.


Liverpool vs. Chelsea Spread, Total Goals, Payouts – Saturday, May 9

Liverpool enters Saturday’s match as home favorites, returning a 1.75x payout ($100 entry pays out $175) on PrizePicks Team Picks if they win outright.

Winner Payout: Chelsea – 3.57x | Tie – 3.7x | Liverpool – 1.75x

Spread: Liverpool -1.5 (2.94x Payout)

Total Goals: 3.5 (Over – 2x)

Both Teams to Score: Yes 1.38x | No 2.7x

Play the Liverpool vs. Chelsea spread or total goals on PrizePicks Team Picks to earn real money — available in 35 states!

Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change. Does not include extra time or penalties.


Liverpool vs. Chelsea Prediction to Win for Premier League – 5/9/26

Here are some stats to know to help you make your Liverpool vs. Chelsea prediction on the winner for Saturday, May 9. Check out more of our soccer picks and predictions on Playbook.

Lock in your Liverpool vs. Chelsea prediction on PrizePicks before the line moves.

  • Chelsea has lost six consecutive Premier League matches, and they’ve been outscored 14-1 during that span. They’ve also lost back-to-back road games in the EPL by the score of 3-0.
  • Furthermore, Chelsea has gone 2-0-8 in their last 10 matches across all competitions.
  • Although Liverpool has battled their issues this season, they’ve gone 3-0-1 over their last four Premier League contests.
  • Liverpool has also performed well at Anfield, tallying a 10-4-3 record against EPL opponents at home.
  • Additionally, Liverpool has been slightly better at both ends of the pitch, ranking fourth in goals per match (1.7) and 10th in goals conceded per match (1.3). Chelsea is sixth in goals per match (1.5) and 11th in goals conceded per match (1.4).
  • According to FotMob, Chelsea has the second-biggest difference between their xG (64.5) and total goals scored (54) in the Premier League. This goes to show how much Chelsea has struggled to take advantage of their scoring opportunities.

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Liverpool vs. Chelsea Projected Lineups for Saturday, May 9

Here are the projected Liverpool vs. Chelsea lineups for Saturday's Premier League match. Lineups are not official.

Liverpool Lineup vs. Chelsea: Projected 4-2-3-1

  • Goalkeeper: Freddie Woodman
  • Defense: Milos Kerkez, Virgil van Dijk, Ibrahima Konate, Curtis Jones
  • Midfield: Ryan Gravenberch, Alexis Mac Allister, Florian Wirtz, Dominik Szoboszlai, Jeremie Frimpong
  • Forwards: Cody Gakpo

Chelsea Lineup vs. Liverpool: Projected 4-2-3-1

  • Goalkeeper: Filip Jorgensen
  • Defense: Marc Cucurella, Tosin Adarabioyo, Trevoh Chalobah, Malo Gusto
  • Midfield: Moises Caicedo, Romeo Lavia, Pedro Neto, Enzo Fernandez, Cole Palmer
  • Forwards: Joao Pedro

Liverpool vs. Chelsea Player Picks, Stats for PrizePicks – 5/9/26

Here are two Liverpool vs. Chelsea picks to target on players for Saturday, May 9. Player picks via PrizePicks are headlined by Dominik Szoboszlai and Joao Pedro.

Liverpool MF Dominik Szoboszlai vs. Chelsea

Dominik Szoboszlai Projections via PrizePicks: 1.5 Shots (Goblin), 51.5 Passes Attempted, 0.5 Goal + Assist (Demon)

  • Dominik Szoboszlai has taken multiple shots in six of his last seven Premier League starts.
  • Over his last 10 EPL outings, Szoboszlai has attempted 53 or more passes in eight games.
  • Szoboszlai has contributed 4 goals and 4 assists across his last 12 Premier League matches.
  • On the season, Szoboszlai leads Liverpool in chances created (65) and xA (5.8).

Add Dominik Szoboszlai to your PrizePicks Lineup now.

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Chelsea F Joao Pedro vs. Liverpool

Joao Pedro Projections via PrizePicks: 2 Shots, 1.5 Shots on Target (Demon), 0.5 Goals (Demon)

  • Joao Pedro has tallied at least 2 shots in 11 straight Premier League starts.
  • Up to this point, Pedro has logged the fourth-most shots per 90 minutes (2.5) on Chelsea’s roster throughout the EPL campaign.
  • Plus, Pedro has posted 1 or more shots on target in nine of his last 12 Premier League appearances.
  • Pedro has been a bright spot for Chelsea, leading the team in goals (15) and xG (14.2).

Add Joao Pedro to your PrizePicks Lineup now.


Make Your Liverpool vs. Chelsea Picks on PrizePicks

Neither Liverpool nor Chelsea has performed consistently in the Premier League this season, but Liverpool is still positioned well to earn Champions League qualification. Will Liverpool hand Chelsea their seventh straight loss in the EPL on Saturday?

You can make your Liverpool vs. Chelsea picks on PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks to earn real money on Premier League games. Just pick players, predict More or Less on their projected stats like shots or goals, and cash in if you’re correct. 

With Team Picks, make predictions on winners, spreads, and over/unders, now available in 35 states

Stick around with the Playbook for continued Premier League predictions, picks, and analysis through the end of the season.

Get in the game! Sign up for PrizePicks and cash in on your sports predictions. Play $5 and get $50 instantly in Lineups with promo code PLAYBOOK.

Team Picks and Culture Picks are event contracts offered by Performance Predictions II, LLC d/b/a PrizePicks Predict, a CFTC-registered FCM and NFA Member. All event contract customers must be U.S. residents and 18+. Some event contracts may not be available in every state. Event contract trading carries significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. No guarantee against loss is offered. Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results. Void where prohibited by law. Restrictions apply. For full terms of service see prizepicks.com/predict-regulatory. Team and Culture Pick Early Payouts subject to market liquidity. The content provided is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, or a recommendation to trade any commodity interest.

about the author

Skyler Carlin is an experienced writer with nearly 10 years of experience writing and editing NFL, NBA, MLB, CFB, CBB, & soccer content for FanDuel Research & USA Today. When he’s not writing, he enjoys cooking, watching movies, & playing video games.

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