Game 2 of the Los Angeles Lakers vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder tips off at 9:30 p.m. ET on Thursday, May 7, televised by Prime Video. The Thunder enter today’s game as heavy 15.5-point favorites on the spread, via PrizePicks Team Picks.
Following a sweep over the Suns in the first round, Oklahoma City didn’t flinch with another dominant showing in Game 1, taking down the Lakers, 108-90. Los Angeles continues to battle injuries, while the Thunder are a well-oiled machine as defending champions.
Below, we'll break down our Lakers vs. Thunder prediction and picks for Thursday’s NBA playoff game, including the spread, over/under, and key player picks for PrizePicks.
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Lakers vs. Thunder Prediction, Spread, Over/Under – Thursday, May 7
According to the NBA injury report, Lakers SG Luke Kennard (neck) is questionable while F Jarred Vanderbilt (finger) is doubtful for tonight. Plus, G Luka Doncic continues to miss time with his hamstring strain.
Thunder G Jalen Williams is also battling a hamstring strain and will be out on Thursday. Williams has missed the last three games, but OKC has still posted an average margin of +13.0 points per game in the split.
During the playoffs, the Thunder’s 125.1 offensive rating ranks first, while their 106.7 defensive rating is tied for fourth, per NBA Advanced Stats. Los Angeles’ 106.7 defensive rating (tied for fourth) is keeping pace with Oklahoma City in the playoffs, but its 105.8 offensive rating is last among active playoff teams.
As major underdogs for Game 2, will the Lakers be outmatched once again on Thursday night?
Lakers vs. Thunder Spread, Over/Under – Thursday, May 7
The Thunder enter Thursday’s game as 15.5-point favorites at home against the Lakers, returning a 1.09x payout if they win outright, via PrizePicks Team Picks.
Here are the full payouts for the Lakers vs. Thunder game on PrizePicks.
- Spread: Oklahoma City Thunder -15.5 (1.92x)
- Over/Under: 210.5 (1.78x payout on Over)
- Game Winner Payout: Lakers 5.88x | Thunder 1.09x
Play the Lakers vs. Thunder spread or over/under on PrizePicks Team Picks to earn real money — available in 35 states!
Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.
Los Angeles Lakers vs. Oklahoma City Thunder Timeline
Here is the full Raptors vs. Cavaliers timeline, including the playoff series game-by-game and recent matchup history.
All-Time: Lakers, 183-133
Regular Season: Thunder, 4-0
Series: Thunder, 1-0
Lakers vs. Thunder First Round Timeline, Schedule for 2026 NBA Playoffs
- Game 1: Thunder 108, Lakers 90
- Game 2: Thursday, May 7, 9:30 p.m. ET in Oklahoma City
- Game 3: Saturday, May 9, 8:30 p.m. ET in Los Angeles
- Game 4: Monday, May 11, 10:30 p.m. ET in Los Angeles
- Games 5-7 if necessary
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Lakers vs. Thunder Prediction on Over/Under for Game 2 – 5/7/26
Here are the key game stats and trends behind our Lakers vs. Thunder prediction for the over/under on Thursday, May 7.
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- Game 1 featured a 213.5 projected total, with the under hitting following 198 combined points.
- The under is 7-3 in the Lakers’ last 10 games.
- Los Angeles has the second-slowest pace among playoff teams and the slowest among active teams. Meanwhile, the Thunder sit 10th in playoff pace.
- This has led to only 77.3 field goal attempts per game for the Lakers (fewest in the playoffs).
- After shooting 46.1% on 3-pointers in the first three playoff games, Los Angeles has cashed in only 31.8% of its looks from deep over the last four contests.
- Furthermore, the Thunder have posted 14.0 made triples per game in the playoffs (the second-most), but opponents have shot only 31.9% on 3-pointers against the Lakers during the postseason (the second-lowest).
- As mentioned, these teams are tied for the fourth-best defensive rating in the playoffs.
Lakers vs. Thunder Player Picks, Stats for PrizePicks – 5/7/26
Here are the top Lakers vs. Thunder picks to target on PrizePicks for Thursday, May 7. Today’s NBA picks for PrizePicks include LeBron James and Chet Holmgren.
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Lakers F LeBron James vs. Thunder Projection: 21.5 Points
- LeBron James has turned back the clock in the playoffs, posting 23.7 points per game (PPG) compared to 20.9 PPG in the regular season.
- After logging 15.3 field goal attempts per game in the regular season, LeBron leads the Lakers with 18.3 shots per contest during the postseason.
- With Luka Doncic off the floor, James’ usage rate increases by +5.3%, behind Lakers SG Austin Reaves’ +8.7% mark, per FantasyLabs.
- However, Reaves has struggled with a 30.4% field goal percentage over three playoff games since returning from injury.
- LeBron will likely continue to lead this offense, and he made 12 of 17 shots (70.6%) with 27 points in Game 1 vs. the Thunder.
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Thunder C Chet Holmgren vs. Lakers Projection: 16.5 Points
- While Los Angeles touts a strong defensive rating in the playoffs, it’s still yielded 46.6 points in the paint per game (sixth-most).
- Oklahoma City has posted 49.6 paint points per game in the postseason (fourth-most), and Chet Holmgren has shot 44.3% of his field goals within 10 feet of the rim.
- Among the Lakers’ starting lineup, C Deandre Ayton has the highest defensive rating (110.8) in the playoffs.
- Holmgren recorded 24.0 PPG while shooting 54.5% from the field in the last two games.
- The Thunder’s starting center also posted 16.5 field goal attempts per game over the previous two matchups, surpassing 11.3 from the regular season. Jalen Williams’ continued absence from an injury is likely impacting Holmgren’s volume.
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NBA Playoffs Live Picks: Lakers vs. Thunder on PrizePicks for Game 2
Here are some in-game angles to target for your Lakers vs. Thunder live picks in tonight’s game.
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- According to TeamRankings, the Thunder logged 30.7 points per first quarter (third) compared to the Lakers’ 30.2 (sixth) during the regular season, pointing to a high-scoring first 12 minutes.
- Each team has continued to flourish in the first quarter during the playoffs, with OKC recording 33.2 points per game (the most) and L.A. logging 29.0 points per contest (third-most).
- The fourth quarter suggests a different trend, as the Lakers have totaled 25.9 points per fourth quarter (tied for sixth-most) compared to the Thunder’s 25.0 (12th) in the final 12 minutes.
- Adding to a potential low-scoring final quarter, Oklahoma City boasts a 101.7 defensive rating in the fourth quarter during the playoffs (second).
Make Lakers vs. Thunder Picks on PrizePicks
Will the Thunder continue to roll and win their sixth consecutive game to begin the 2026 playoffs? Los Angeles may need to lean on LeBron James as the rotation continues to battle injuries.
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