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Yankees vs. Rangers Prediction, MLB Picks for Tuesday, April 28

Texas Rangers OF Brandon Nimmo runs during a game against the Pittsburgh Pirates.
AP Photo/Tony Gutierrez

The New York Yankees (19-10) and Texas Rangers (14-15) face off in the second game of their three-game series on Tuesday, April 28 at 8:05 p.m. ET on Prime Video. New York returns a 1.75x payout with a win, via PrizePicks Team Picks.

New York took the first game of the series on Monday night, 4-2, behind back-to-back home runs from OF Aaron Judge and 1B Ben Rice and 6 scoreless innings out of SP Max Fried. The Yankees have won 10 of their last 12 games, while the Rangers fell for the third time in four games.

Below, we’ll break down our Yankees vs. Rangers prediction and picks for Tuesday’s MLB game, including the spread, over/under, and key player picks for PrizePicks.

Make your picks for Yankees vs. Rangers on PrizePicks now.

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Yankees vs. Rangers Prediction, Winner Payout, Over/Under – Tuesday, April 28

These teams will meet in New York next week to complete their season series. Last year, the Yankees won four of the six games but Texas won two of three at home.

New York sends SP Cam Schlittler (2.30 xFIP over 6 starts) to the mound to face two-time Cy Young winner Jacob deGrom (3.07 xFIP in 5 starts).

Schlittler has been everything the Yankees hoped, leading the majors in fWAR (1.7) and xFIP (2.30) while being second in the AL in xERA (2.32), per FanGraphs.

The Yankees' bats lead the AL in wRC+ (114) and home runs (46) and are second in both wOBA (.340) and OPS (.768).  

deGrom is in his fourth season in Texas after winning back-to-back Cy Youngs with the New York Mets in 2018 and 2019.

After being held to nine starts due to injuries in his first two seasons in Arlington, he won AL Comeback Player of the Year in 2025, winning 12 games in 30 starts. He’s picked up where he left off last year, as his xFIP of 3.07 is ninth among AL pitchers.

Yankees vs. Rangers Winner Payout, Over/Under – Tuesday, April 28

The Yankees enter Tuesday’s game as road favorites, returning a 1.75x payout if they win outright, via PrizePicks Team Picks.

Here are the full payouts for the Yankees vs. Rangers game on PrizePicks.

  • Spread: New York Yankees -1.5 (2.32x payout)
  • Over/Under: 7.5 (2x payout on Over)
  • Game Winner Payout: Yankees 1.75x | Rangers 2.04x

Play the Yankees vs. Rangers winner or over/under on PrizePicks Team Picks to earn real money — available in 35 states!

Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.


Yankees at Rangers Prediction on Over/Under – 4/28/26

Here are the key stats and trends behind our Yankees vs. Rangers prediction on the over/under for Tuesday, April 28.

Lock in your Yankees vs. Rangers prediction on PrizePicks.

  • The Yankees have had one of the top pitching staffs in baseball, leading the majors in WAR (5.1), xFIP (3.58), xERA (3.39), and ground-ball rate (47.5%), according to FanGraphs.
  • The Rangers' offense is in the bottom half of production, sitting 18th in the majors in wRC+ (95), 22nd in wOBA (.311), and 26th in strikeout rate at 24.4%.
  • Schlittler and deGrom have allowed more than 1 ER in three of their combined 12 starts. 
  • Both the Yankees and Rangers are 12-15-2 to the under. That 55.6% mark is tied for the highest in the AL. 
  • Each of deGrom’s last four starts has gone under the total, as well as six of seven dating back to 2025.
  • In Schlittler’s six starts, none have gone over nine total runs. Three of them went under today’s total.

Yankees vs. Rangers Player Picks, Stats for PrizePicks: 4/28/26

Here are the top Yankees vs. Rangers picks to target on PrizePicks for Tuesday, April 28. Today’s MLB picks for PrizePicks include 1B Ben Rice and OF Brandon Nimmo.

Yankees 1B Ben Rice vs. Rangers Projection: 6.5 Hitter Fantasy Score

  • Rice is off to a terrific start, leading the team with a .492 wOBA and a .422 ISO. His 10 homers are tied for fourth-most in the majors. He has a career .366 wOBA against right-handed pitchers.
  • After recording a 15.4% barrel rate and a 55.8% hard-hit rate in 2025, the slugging 1B has a 22.6% barrel rate and a 64.5% hard-hit rate in 2026.
  • The Dartmouth product has recorded hits in four of his last five games and has driven in 5 runs in his last four outings. 
  • While Rice is 0-3 in his career vs. deGrom, he does have 2 HR and 4 RBI vs. the Rangers in the other five games. 

Add Ben Rice to your PrizePicks Lineup now.

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Rangers OF Brandon Nimmo vs. Yankees Projection: 6.5 Hitter Fantasy Score

  • Nimmo is second on the Rangers in wRC+ (123) and wOBA (.354). 
  • On the current homestand, through seven games, Nimmo has a BABIP of just .208. That could indicate that positive regression is coming his way at some point.
  • The Wyoming product is in his first year with the Rangers after playing his first 10 seasons with the Mets. He has 20+ home runs in three straight seasons.
  • In 35 career games vs. the Yankees, Nimmo is hitting .242 with 5 HR and 19 RBIs.

Add Brandon Nimmo to your PrizePicks Lineup now.


Make Yankees vs. Rangers Picks on PrizePicks

Can the Yankees continue dominating teams on the mound and win for the second straight night in North Texas, or will the Rangers bounce back with a former Cy Young winner on the mound? 

Don’t wait until lock — make your Yankees vs. Rangers picks on PrizePicks now and earn real money if you’re right.

Pick players, predict More or Less on their stats, and cash in if you’re right. With Team Picks, you can make predictions on game winners, spreads, and over/unders, now available in 35 states.

Stay locked in on Playbook for daily MLB predictions, picks, and news every day all the way through the 2026 MLB season.

Get in the game! Sign up for PrizePicks and cash in on your sports predictions. Play $5 and get $50 instantly in Lineups with promo code PLAYBOOK.

Team Picks and Culture Picks are event contracts offered by Performance Predictions II, LLC d/b/a PrizePicks Predict, a CFTC-registered FCM and NFA Member. All event contract customers must be U.S. residents and 18+. Some event contracts may not be available in every state. Event contract trading carries significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. No guarantee against loss is offered. Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results. Void where prohibited by law. Restrictions apply. For full terms of service see prizepicks.com/predict-regulatory. Team and Culture Pick Early Payouts subject to market liquidity. The content provided is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, or a recommendation to trade any commodity interest.

about the author

David Bearman spent 18 years with ESPN in their Stats & Information Department and overseeing their betting content. From 2023-25, he served as Chief Content Officer of Pro Football Network, overseeing all content, including coverage of Super Bowls 58 and 59. He is also the Founder of Betting with Bearman, a 3x a week betting newsletter and weekly podcast on Bleav Podcast Network.

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