Following an eight-game slate on Monday, MLB is back to a loaded 15-game schedule with all 30 teams in action. Rays 3B Junior Caminero is one slugger to watch today.
PrizePicks offers daily home run projections for your MLB picks, and some hitters have been circled as the most popular home run picks among users on today’s slate.
Below, we’ll break down the most-picked MLB home run predictions for Tuesday, including each player’s matchup, recent production, and what makes them a popular home run pick today.
Make your MLB home run picks for Tuesday, April 28, on PrizePicks now.
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Top Home Runs Picks Today – Tuesday, April 28
Hitting a home run is laced with one of the highest degrees of difficulty across sports. And that's what makes going yard so difficult to project on a nightly basis.
How hard is each player hitting the ball? Are they hitting fly balls? Who is pitching on the mound? What direction is the wind flying? That’s just the icing on the cake for breaking down home run projections.
Due to the difficulty of going yard, home run predictions are demons on PrizePicks, which come with a higher payout than standard. Additionally, you can only choose "More" on HR projections, which are set at 0.5.
Here’s a look at the most popular home run picks for today on PrizePicks.
- Astros OF Yordan Alvarez
- Yankees OF Aaron Judge
- Phillies DH Kyle Schwarber
- Mariners C Cal Raleigh
- Tigers 1B Spencer Torkelson
- White Sox 1B Munetaka Murakami
- Braves 1B Matt Olson
- Nationals OF James Wood
- Rays 3B Junior Caminero
- Angels OF Mike Trout
Below, we’ll break down three matchups for today, including the opposing starting pitcher with advanced stats from FanGraphs and Baseball Savant, capped by a weather report via RotoGrinders.
Rays 3B Junior Caminero
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians – 6:10 p.m. ET
Guardians Starting Pitcher: Tanner Bibee (6 GS, 0-3, 4.07 xFIP, 37.2% hard-hit, 35.5% FB%)
MLB Weather Report: 65 degrees, clear skies, and 9 mph winds out to RF
- After appearing in his first All-Star game while smashing 45 HRs in 2025, Junior Caminero’s slugging production has kept up with 8 big flies through 28 games this season.
- He finished with an elite 24.5% home run-to-fly ball rate a season ago, and his current 21.1% mark isn’t far behind.
- Baseball Savant credits the Rays’ third baseman with a .490 xSLG (83rd percentile), 91.9 average exit velocity (82nd percentile), and 79.7 bat speed (100th).
- Caminero’s 40.9% fly ball rate is slightly above the league average (38.6%), and Guardians SP Tanner Bibee gives up a concerning 41.7% fly ball rate across his career.
- Bibee’s surrendered 5 home runs over six starts, translating to a 1.48 HR/9 and a 15.2% HR/FB, which are both worse than league averages of 1.09 and 11.1%.
- Caminero has hit 7 of his 8 homers against right-handed pitching, providing an ideal matchup against Bibee.
Add Junior Caminero to your PrizePicks Lineup now.
Phillies DH Kyle Schwarber
San Francisco Giants vs. Philadelphia Phillies – 6:40 p.m. ET
Giants Starting Pitcher: Tyler Mahle (5 GS, 1-3, 3.86 xFIP, 36.5% hard-hit, 27.4% FB%)
MLB Weather Report: 62 degrees, clear skies, and 6 mph winds out to LF
- Kyler Schwarber’s 9 home runs are tied for the fourth-most in baseball, and that’s backed by plenty of red on his Savant page.
- In fact, Schwarber sports a 21.0% barrel rate (96th percentile), a 51.6% hard-hit rate (87th percentile), and a 76.7 bat speed (96th percentile).
- Furthermore, the 12-year veteran carries a 50.0% fly ball rate and 29.0% HR/FB that soar past league averages of 38.6% and 11.1%.
- That could be trouble for Giants SP Tyler Mahle, who has allowed 2.10 HR/9, a 30.0% HR/FB, and a 13.5% barrel rate (12th percentile).
- Against the right-handed Mahle, Schwarber has launched 7 of his 9 long balls when facing righties.
Add Kyle Schwarber to your PrizePicks Lineup now.
Tigers 1B Spencer Torkelson
Detroit Tigers vs. Atlanta Braves – 7:15 p.m. ET
Braves Starting Pitcher: Martin Perez (3 GS, 1-1, 4.44 xFIP, 37.7% hard-hit, 36.4% FB%)
MLB Weather Report: 77 degrees, 24% chance of rain, and 5 mph winds toward 3B
- Spencer Torkelson boasts a 49.2% fly ball rate, a 17.2% HR/FB, and a 16.9% barrel rate (93rd percentile).
- After failing to go yard over his first 23 games, Torkelson has hit 1 home run in five consecutive games.
- While Braves SP Martin Perez comes off his worst appearance by giving up 2 home runs, it came as a reliever.
- Over three starts, Perez has yielded only 1 big fly.
- Furthermore, opponents carry a 36.4% fly ball rate against Perez, sitting under the 38.6% league average.
- Despite recording an HR in five straight games, Torkelson has yet to hit one out of the park against left-handed pitching.
- Adding to concerns, the right-handed batter will be hitting against winds blowing toward third base.
Add Spencer Torkelson to your PrizePicks Lineup now.
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Make MLB Home Run Picks on PrizePicks
Junior Caminero and Kyle Schwarber may benefit from favorable matchups today, while Spencer Torkelson looks to keep up his home run hot streak. Who will go yard on Tuesday, April 28?
Don’t wait until the first pitch — make your home run picks on PrizePicks now and earn real money if you’re right.
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