The No. 7 seed Phoenix Suns will host the No. 10 seed Golden State Warriors in the final game of the NBA Play-In Tournament on Friday evening. The winner will earn the No. 8 seed in the Western Conference and face the No. 1 seed Oklahoma City Thunder in the opening round of the NBA Playoffs.
Golden State and Phoenix faced off four times this season, with the Warriors winning three of those meetings. The Suns are 2.5-point favorites on PrizePicks Team Picks in a matchup that tips off at 10:00 p.m. ET on Friday, April 17, televised by Prime Video.
Below, we’ll break down our Warriors vs. Suns prediction on the spread for Friday’s game.
Don’t wait until tip-off — make your Warriors vs. Suns picks on PrizePicks now for Friday's NBA game.
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Warriors vs. Suns Prediction, Spread, Over/Under – Friday, April 17
The Suns had a chance to clinch their spot in the playoffs in their NBA Play-In Tournament matchup against the Portland Trail Blazers on Tuesday. Unfortunately for the Suns, the Trail Blazers erased an 11-point deficit in the fourth quarter and came away with a 114-110 road win.
Suns SG Jalen Green registered a team-high 35 points on 14-of-29 shooting to lead the way, but Phoenix couldn’t slow down Trail Blazers SF Deni Avdija down the stretch. Avdija scored a game-high 41 points, which included 14 points in the final quarter.
Meanwhile, the Warriors had lost seven of their last eight games before the NBA Play-In Tournament got underway on Tuesday. However, Golden State overcame a 13-point deficit in the fourth quarter to defeat the Los Angeles Clippers 126-121 in Wednesday's play-in matchup.
Warriors PG Stephen Curry had his most productive game since returning to the lineup from a knee injury.He scored 35 points on 12-of-23 shooting, including knocking down 7 of his 12 attempts from beyond the arc.
Golden State has won three of the four head-to-head meetings this season, but the Suns have a 2-1-1 record against the spread vs. the Warriors in the 2025-26 campaign.
Warriors vs. Suns Spread, Over/Under – Friday, April 17
The Suns enter Friday’s game as 2.5-point favorites, returning a 1.61x payout on PrizePicks Team Picks if they win outright.
Here are the full payouts for the Warriors vs. Suns game on PrizePicks.
- Spread: Phoenix Suns -2.5 (1.78x payout)
- Over/Under: 218.5 (1.78x payout on Over)
- Game Winner Payout: Warriors - 2.17x | Suns - 1.61x
Play the Warriors vs. Suns spread or over/under on PrizePicks Team Picks to earn real money — available in 35 states!
Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.
Warriors vs. Suns Prediction on Spread – 4/17/26
Here are the key stats to know before locking in your Warriors vs. Suns prediction on the spread for Friday, April 17, on PrizePicks.
Lock in your Warriors vs. Suns prediction on PrizePicks before the line moves.
- The Suns are 11-13 against the spread as home favorites, producing a 45.8% cover rate.
- Meanwhile, the Warriors are 10-11 against the spread as road underdogs this season.
- Phoenix has just a 3-7 ATS record in its last 10 games
- According to NBA Advanced Stats, the Warriors lead the league in assist percentage (70.6%). The Suns have a 60.1% assist percentage, which ranks 23rd in the NBA.
- Golden State has won three of the four games vs. the Suns by an average margin of +6.0 points per game. The lone Suns’ win came in a 99-98 decision on December 18.
- Stephen Curry is shooting 45.8% (22-of-48) on 3-pointers in six games since returning from injury.
- The Suns allowed the Trail Blazers to connect on 36.2% (17-of-47) of their attempts from beyond the arc in Tuesday’s play-in loss.
- Golden State forces its opponents to turn the basketball over on 15.3 occasions per game, which ranks fourth in the NBA.
- The Warriors record 9.7 steals per contest (second-most), while the Suns turn the ball over 13.5 times per game (12th).
- Phoenix averages just 112.6 PPG, ranking 26th in the NBA.
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The final playoff spot in the Western Conference is on the line when the Suns host the Warriors on Friday night. Will the Warriors be able to carry their momentum over from Wednesday’s win against the Clippers, or will the Suns defend their home court?
Don’t wait until lock — make your Warriors vs. Suns picks on PrizePicks now and earn real money if you’re right.
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