The Warriors vs. Suns game is set to tip off at 10:00 p.m. ET on Friday, April 17, with Phoenix entering as 2.5-point favorites on the spread, via PrizePicks.
As the 2026 NBA Play-In Tournament rolls on, the winner of tonight’s bout clinches a first-round NBA Playoff showdown with the defending champion Oklahoma City Thunder. Which side could come out on top?
Below, we'll break down our Warriors vs. Suns prediction and picks for Friday’s NBA game on Prime Video, including the spread, over/under, and key player picks for PrizePicks.
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Warriors vs. Suns Prediction, Spread, Over/Under – Friday, April 17
To say it’s been a tumultuous season for the Warriors would be an understatement. In addition to F Jimmy Butler tearing his ACL, all-world PG Stephen Curry was limited to just 43 regular-season games due to injury, resulting in a dismal 37-45 record.
Despite that, the Dubs were able to take down the Los Angeles Clippers in the No. 9 vs. No. 10 Play-In Game. Curry fueled the thrilling victory, setting the scene for Friday.
After trading away F Kevin Durant during the offseason, many expected the new-look Suns to struggle under first-year head coach Jordan Ott. The exact opposite occurred, however, as Phoenix won 45 games and is one win away from making it to the NBA Playoffs.
In their Play-In debut for the year, Phoenix suffered a heartbreaking 114-110 loss to the Portland Trail Blazers. Rip City is set to challenge the No. 2 seed San Antonio Spurs, whereas the Valley must scratch and claw for the right to play OKC.
Warriors vs. Suns Spread, Over/Under – Friday, April 17
The Suns enter Friday’s game as 2.5-point favorites against the Warriors, returning a 1.61x payout if they win outright, via PrizePicks Team Picks.
Here are the full payouts for the Warriors vs. Suns game on PrizePicks.
- Spread: Phoenix Suns -2.5 (1.75x payout)
- Over/Under: 218.5 (1.75x payout on Over)
- Game Winner Payout: Warriors 2.22x | Suns 1.61x
Play the Warriors vs. Suns spread or over/under on PrizePicks Team Picks to earn real money — available in 35 states!
Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.
Golden State Warriors vs. Phoenix Suns Timeline
Here is the full Warriors vs. Suns timeline, including recent matchup history.
All-Time: Suns, 164-122
Regular Season: Suns, 153-118
Playoffs: Suns, 11-4
Warriors vs. Suns Prediction on Spread for NBA Play-In Tournament
Here are the key stats and trends behind our Warriors vs. Suns prediction on spread for Friday, April 17.
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- The Suns are just 11-13 against the spread as home favorites this season. The Warriors aren’t much better as road underdogs, sitting 10-11 ATS.
- Phoenix’s offense is 26th in per-game scoring at 112.6 points, also sitting 28th in overall shooting percentage with an ugly 45.5% mark.
- On the defensive end, the Suns hold foes to the 13th-ranked points per shot allowance at 1.149. That’s largely due to having the league’s second-best 3-point defense (34.7%).
- This year’s Warriors team is far from the offensive juggernaut of years past, ranking 11th in points per shot (1.163) but 22nd in average attempts (88.7) and 23rd in efficiency (46.2%).
- On the other end of the floor, Golden State is 22nd or worse in 2-point percentage (56.2%), overall shooting percentage (48.0%), and points per look (1.168).
Warriors vs. Suns Player Picks, Stats for PrizePicks: 4/17/26
Here are three top Warriors vs. Suns picks to target in the NBA Play-In Tournament on PrizePicks for Friday, April 17. Today’s NBA picks for PrizePicks include PG Stephen Curry, SG Devin Booker, and F Dillon Brooks.
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Warriors PG Stephen Curry vs. Suns Projection: 27.5 Points
- Despite briefly leaving Wednesday’s 126-121 win over L.A. with an injury, Curry was able to return and drop 35 points on 23 shots.
- Curry’s 36 minutes played were his most in months, perhaps a solid indication of where he’s at with his runner’s knee ailment.
- In five games since getting back in the lineup (his reintroduction was on April 5), Curry is shooting a scorching 45.8% from 3-point land.
- According to NBA RAPM, Chef’s 30.4 points per 75 possessions puts him in the 99th percentile.
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Suns SG Devin Booker vs. Warriors Projection: 32.5 Pts + Asts
- Booker notched just 26 combined points and assists against the Blazers on Tuesday despite logging 38 minutes played.
- With that said, Booker has been on a tear as of late otherwise, averaging 34.1 points and assists in his last dozen non-Play-In contests.
- D-Book takes 31.7 shots per 100 possessions and achieves 17.6 potential assists under the same parameters. Those marks are in the 99th and 98th percentiles, respectively, via databallr.
- The Warriors’ defense sits 17th in assists per made shot allowed at 0.639.
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Suns F Dillon Brooks vs. Warriors Projection: 21.5 Pts + Rebs
- Brooks played 37 minutes against Portland, amassing 27 points and rebounds despite taking only 10 shots.
- The first-year Sun owns a 10.8% defensive rebounding mark, the highest of his nine-year career.
- Brooks’ shot usage is in the 96th percentile, and he spends 16.4% of his time on the ball.
- The former Memphis Grizzlies and Houston Rockets standout has improved his touch, shooting a career-best 50.3% from 3-10 feet and 46.0% from 10-16 feet.
Add Dillon Brooks to your PrizePicks Lineup now.
NBA Playoffs Live Picks: Warriors vs. Suns on PrizePicks for NBA Play-In Tournament
Here are some in-game angles to target for your Warriors vs. Suns live picks in tonight’s game.
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- The Warriors are notoriously slow starters this year, ranking 27th in first-quarter PPG (28.3) and 26th in second-quarter PPG (27.7).
- The Suns are the Association’s best third-quarter scoring defense (26.9 PPG) but are dead last on the other end in the fourth frame (25.8 PPG).
- Per NBA Advanced Stats, Phoenix owns basketball’s fourth-best defensive rating (110.9) in the second half of games.
- Curry does more of his damage on the road this season, scoring 3.3 more points each time out on 1.9% better true shooting.
- Booker sees a significant drop-off when he plays 30-39 minutes as opposed to 20-29 minutes, as proven by dips in his field goal percentage (-11.4%) and offensive rating (-16).
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The 2026 NBA Play-In Tournament may be ending with Golden State and Phoenix clashing, but there’s plenty of hoops action ahead. The NBA Playoffs could deliver some of the best basketball of the entire campaign.
Don’t wait until lock — make your Warriors vs. Suns picks on PrizePicks now and earn real money if you’re right.
Pick players, predict More or Less on their stats, and cash in if you’re right. With Team Picks, you can make predictions on game winners, spreads, and over/unders, now available in 35 states.
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