Knicks vs. Hawks Game 6 for the NBA Playoffs is set to tip off at 7:00 p.m. ET on ESPN on Thursday, April 30, with New York entering as 2.5-point favorites on the PrizePicks Team Picks spread.
Despite generating some momentum early in the series, Atlanta now has its back against the wall in front of the home crowd. Can head coach Quin Snyder’s crew extend the set, or will Mike Brown’s New York group move on to the Eastern Conference Semifinals?
Below, we'll break down our Knicks vs. Hawks prediction and picks for Thursday’s NBA Playoff game, including the spread, over/under, and key player picks for PrizePicks.
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Knicks vs. Hawks Prediction, Spread, Over/Under for Game 6 – Thursday, April 30
After parting ways with head coach Tom Thibodeau following an Eastern Conference Finals exit a postseason ago, the Knicks won two additional games in the 2025-26 campaign. New York could be well positioned for another deep run, but it must first officially advance.
The Hawks, meanwhile, went 40-42 last season but bounced back in a major way this year. They finished the season 46-36, including an elite 20-6 mark after the All-Star break.
New York came out firing with an 11-point triumph in Game 1, only for Atlanta to rip off consecutive wins by one point each. Down 2-1, the Knicks swung the pendulum in the complete opposite direction.
Brown’s team has held Snyder’s to below 100 points in back-to-back contests, recording a combined scoring margin of 45. Star PG Jalen Brunson’s 58 points in Games 4 and 5 have helped the Knicks get back on track entering Thursday’s closeout opportunity.
Knicks vs. Hawks Spread, Over/Under for Game 6 – Thursday, April 30
The Knicks enter Thursday’s game as 2.5-point favorites against the Hawks, returning a 1.63x payout if they win outright, via PrizePicks Team Picks.
Here are the full payouts for the Knicks vs. Hawks game on PrizePicks.
- Spread: New York Knicks -2.5 (1.81x payout)
- Over/Under: 213.5 (1.75x payout on Over)
- Game Winner Payout: Knicks 1.63x | Hawks 2.12x
Play the Knicks vs. Hawks spread or over/under on PrizePicks Team Picks to earn real money — available in 35 states!
Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.
New York Knicks vs. Atlanta Hawks Timeline
Here is the full Knicks vs. Hawks timeline, including the playoff series game-by-game and recent matchup history.
All-Time: Hawks, 211-207
Regular Season: Knicks, 2-1
Series: Knicks, 3-2
Knicks vs. Hawks Timeline, Schedule for 2026 NBA Playoffs
- Game 1: Knicks, 113-102
- Game 2: Hawks, 107-106
- Game 3: Hawks, 109-108
- Game 4: Knicks, 114-98
- Game 5: Knicks, 126-97
- Game 6: Thursday, April 30, 7:00 p.m. ET in Atlanta
- Game 7 if necessary
Knicks vs. Hawks Prediction on Spread for NBA Playoffs First Round Game 6
Here are the key stats and trends behind our Knicks vs. Hawks prediction on the spread for Thursday, April 30.
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- The Knicks are 10-19 against the spread as road favorites, which trails only five other franchises for the worst mark in the sport. Their last victory under that circumstance came in this series, though.
- New York is anything but a run-and-gun team on offense, as it sits 21st in points in the paint per game (48.2) and 15th in fastbreak scoring (15.0 PPG).
- Defensively, however, the Knicks limit foes to the fifth-lowest shooting percentage (45.8%) and the eighth-fewest points per shot (1.140).
- Atlanta puts up the eighth-most points each time out (117.6) but is closer to an average offense, sitting 13th in shooting efficiency (47.3%) and points per look (1.155).
- Things are worse on the defensive end, where the Hawks give up a lot of rebounds (53.5, 20th), struggle to stop dribble penetration (52.0 paint PPG, 20th) and allow plenty of fastbreak chances (16.0 PPG, 23rd).
Knicks vs. Hawks Player Picks, Stats for PrizePicks: 4/30/26
Here are three top Knicks vs. Hawks picks to target in the NBA Playoffs on PrizePicks for Thursday, April 30. Today’s NBA picks for PrizePicks include PG Jalen Brunson, C Karl-Anthony Towns, and PF Jalen Johnson.
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Knicks PG Jalen Brunson vs. Hawks Projection: 27.5 Points
- During the regular season, Brunson put up 26.0 PPG. In the playoffs, his ledger has jumped to 28.2.
- No player is averaging more 2-point field goal attempts (16.2) than Brunson in the postseason.
- A whopping 69.2% of Brunson’s 3-pointers have been assisted in this series, his highest clip for a single playoff run in his career.
- According to NBA RAPM, Brunson puts up 31.4 true shot attempts per 100 possessions, placing him in the 97th percentile.
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Knicks C Karl-Anthony Towns vs. Hawks Projection: 31.5 Pts + Rebs
- Towns netted 32.0 points and rebounds each night in the regular season. In the first round, that mark is 31.4.
- The sharpshooting big man has emerged as a legitimate force on the glass, pulling down 10+ boards in three consecutive outings.
- KAT is scoring at an uber-efficient clip in the NBA Playoffs, making 50% of his shots from floater range (3-10 feet) and 47.1% from beyond the arc.
- The Hawks give up 15.44 rebounds to opposing centers on average, via FantasyPros, the fourth-most in the NBA.
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Hawks PF Jalen Johnson vs. Knicks Projection: 35.5 Pts + Rebs + Asts
- It’s been tough sledding for Johnson this series, as his PRA average sits at 31.8 after it was 40.7 in 72 regular-season contests.
- Johnson hasn’t been a scoring threat away from the basket, struggling from 3-10 feet (37.5%), 10-16 feet (12.5%), 16 feet to the 3-point line (0%), and from deep (26.9%).
- The star forward has seen significant decreases in offensive (-1.9%) and defensive (-4.9%) rebounding in the postseason compared to the regular season.
- The primary assignment for Johnson has been Knicks SG Josh Hart, and he’s turned it over 7 times to go with 16 assists. New York’s defense is ninth in assist to turnover ratio at 1.746.
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NBA Playoffs Live Picks: Knicks vs. Hawks on PrizePicks for Game 6
Here are some angles to target for your Knicks vs. Hawks live picks in tonight’s game.
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- Per databallr, the Knicks have a significant series advantage in offensive rebounding clip (+7.1%) and free throw rate (+5.8%).
- These teams are tied for the 11th-ranked pace in the NBA Playoffs, per NBA Advanced Stats.
- The Knicks are a fantastic fourth-quarter defense, allowing the fewest PPG (25.4) in the league. On the other sideline, the Hawks are ninth in final-frame output (28.1 PPG).
- New York’s +10.7 second-half net rating is third among all 16 postseason teams this year. Atlanta is 14th, ahead of the already-eliminated Phoenix Suns and Portland Trail Blazers.
- Among players with two or more clutch games in the NBA Playoffs, Hawks G CJ McCollum (5.0 points) and Brunson (4.5) are first and third in average clutch scoring.
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In the blink of an eye, this first-round series in the NBA Playoffs has been flipped on its head. Can New York dispatch its counterparts on the road, or does Atlanta show some fight at home?
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