Top MLB Home Run Picks Today on PrizePicks – Saturday, August 15

There are some potential weather concerns across the MLB slate on Saturday, August 15, that could prevent certain sluggers from hitting dingers. All 30 teams across the league are taking the field on Saturday, leaving room for plenty of homers on the menu.

PrizePicks offers daily home run projections for your MLB picks, and some hitters have been circled as the most popular home run picks among users on today’s schedule.

Below, we’ll break down the most-picked MLB home run predictions for Saturday, including each player’s matchup, recent production, and what makes them a popular home run pick today.

Make your MLB home run picks for Saturday, August 15, on PrizePicks now.

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Top Home Run Picks Today – Saturday, August 15

Hitting a home run is laced with one of the highest degrees of difficulty across sports. And that's what makes going yard so difficult to project on a nightly basis.

How hard is each player hitting the ball? Are they hitting fly balls? Who is pitching on the mound? What direction is the wind blowing? That’s just the icing on the cake for breaking down home run projections.

Due to the difficulty of going yard, home run predictions are demons on PrizePicks, which come with a higher payout than standard. Additionally, you can only choose "More" on HR projections, which are set at 0.5.

Here are the most popular home run picks for today on PrizePicks as of writing.

1. Astros DH Yordan Alvarez
2. Rays 3B Junior Caminero
3. Cubs CF Pete-Crow Armstrong
4. Phillies DH Kyle Schwarber
5. Yankees 1B Ben Rice
6. Rangers SS Corey Seager
7. Reds SS Elly De La Cruz
8. Red Sox RF Wilyer Abreu
9. Phillies DH Kyle Schwarber
10. Braves 1B Matt Olson

Below, we’ll break down three matchups for today, including the opposing starting pitcher with advanced stats from FanGraphs and Baseball Savant, capped by a weather report via RotoGrinders.

Cubs CF Pete Crow-Armstrong

St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cubs – 2:20 p.m. ET

Cardinals Starting Pitcher: Michael McGreevy (23 GS, 4-9, 4.22 xFIP, 33.5% hard-hit, 36.6 FB%)

MLB Weather Report: 76 degrees, 49% chance of rain and cloudy, and 10 mph winds out to LF

• McGreevy is recording a 4.58 xFIP, 1.28 WHIP, and 1.24 HR/9 to left-handed hitters, compared to a 3.59 xFIP, 1.12 WHIP, and 1.17 HR/9 to right-handed hitters.
• Ahead of his 24th start, McGreevy is in the 12th percentile in barrel rate allowed (10.4%).
• Crow-Armstrong is registering a 147 wRC+, .385 wOBA, and .278 ISO against right-handed pitchers in 2026.
• Since the start of August, Crow-Armstrong is tallying a 146 wRC+, .384 wOBA, and .269 ISO.
• When playing at Wrigley Field, Crow-Armstrong has a 170 wRC+, .417 wOBA, and .269 ISO.
• Wrigley Field has the 14th-best home run park factor over the last three seasons.

Add Pete Crow-Armstrong to your PrizePicks Lineup now.

Rays 3B Junior Caminero

Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays – 6:10 p.m. ET

Orioles Starting Pitcher: Kyle Bradish (23 GS, 7-11, 3.95 xFIP, 37.5% hard-hit, 33.8 FB%)

MLB Weather Report: This game is played in a dome.

• Bradish is logging reverse splits on the mound, posting a 4.18 xFIP and 1.07 HR/9 to righties, compared to a 3.81 xFIP and 0.82 HR/9 to lefties.
• Additionally, Bradish resides in just the 42nd percentile in barrel rate (8.0%).
• Against right-handed pitching, Caminero has a 148 wRC+, .384 wOBA, and .289 ISO.
• Caminero also enjoys playing in front of the home crowd, notching a 170 wRC+, .417 wOBA, and .312 ISO at Tropicana Field.
• Entering Saturday’s slate, Caminero isn’t far behind Alvarez for the AL lead in long balls, generating 35 HRs so far.
• In the last month, Baltimore’s bullpen has the seventh-worst xFIP (4.75) and eighth-highest flyball rate (42.2%).

Add Junior Caminero to your PrizePicks Lineup now.

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Astros DH Yordan Alvarez

Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros – 7:10 p.m. ET

Mariners Starting Pitcher: Emerson Hancock (22 GS, 6-7, 3.88 xFIP, 41.9% hard-hit, 41.1 FB%)

MLB Weather Report: This game is played in a dome.

• Hancock has produced a 1.18 WHIP and 1.29 HR/9 to lefties, compared to a 1.03 WHIP and 0.88 HR/9 to righties.
• Plus, Hancock ranks in the 34th percentile in barrel rate (8.5%).
• Alvarez is crushing right-handed pitching to the tune of a 213 wRC+, .474 wOBA, and .329 ISO.
• On Friday, Alvarez hit his AL-leading 36th homer of the 2026 campaign.
• When playing in front of the home fans at Daikin Park, Alvarez boasts a 235 wRC+, .506 wOBA, and .362 ISO.
• Alvarez is also in the 97th percentile or better in barrel rate (18.0%), hard-hit rate (53.7%), and xSLG (.688).

Add Yordan Alvarez to your PrizePicks Lineup now.

Make MLB Home Run Picks on PrizePicks

Yordan Alvarez and Junior Caminero are competing for the title of being the home run leader in the AL, with Alvarez jumping ahead on Friday. Which batters could go yard on Saturday’s full slate of games?

Don’t wait until the first pitch—make your home run picks on PrizePicks now and earn real money if you’re right.

Pick players, predict More or Less on their stats, and cash in if you’re right. With Team Picks, you can make predictions on game winners, spreads, and over/unders, now available in 36 states.

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