Top MLB Home Run Picks Today on PrizePicks – Monday, August 24

There are 10 games scattered across Monday’s MLB slate on August 24, beginning with the Tampa Bay Rays taking on the Detroit Tigers at 6:40 p.m. ET. With 20 teams playing, there is a long list of sluggers to choose from in the home run market.

PrizePicks offers daily home run projections for your MLB picks, and some hitters have been circled as the most popular home run picks among users on today’s schedule.

Below, we’ll break down the most-picked MLB home run predictions for Monday, including each player’s matchup, recent production, and what makes them a popular home run pick today.

Make your MLB home run picks for Monday, August 24, on PrizePicks now.

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Top Home Run Picks Today – Monday, August 24

Hitting a home run is laced with one of the highest degrees of difficulty across sports, and that's what makes going yard so difficult to project on a nightly basis.

How hard is each player hitting the ball, and are they hitting fly balls? Who is pitching on the mound? What direction is the wind blowing? That’s just the beginning when it comes to making daily home run projections.

Due to the difficulty of going yard, home run predictions are Demons on PrizePicks, which come with a higher payout than standard. Additionally, you can only choose "More" on HR projections, which are set at 0.5.

Here are the most popular home run picks for today on PrizePicks as of writing.

1. Cubs CF Pete Crow-Armstrong
2. Twins 1B Kody Clemens
3. Padres CF Jackson Merrill
4. Phillies DH Kyle Schwarber
5. Rays 3B Junior Caminero
6. White Sox 1B Munetaka Murakami
7. Cubs RF Seiya Suzuki
8. Twins CF Byron Buxton
9. Phillies IF/OF Bryce Harper
10.  Rangers SS Corey Seager

Below, we’ll break down three matchups for today, including the opposing starting pitcher with advanced stats from FanGraphs and Baseball Savant, capped by a weather report via RotoGrinders.

Cubs CF Pete Crow-Armstrong

Chicago Cubs vs. Arizona Diamondbacks – 9:40 p.m. ET

Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher: Merrill Kelly (23 GS, 8-11, 5.05 xFIP, 44.0% hard-hit, 38.6 FB%)

MLB Weather Report: This game is played in a dome

• Kelly owns a 5.60 xFIP, 1.65 WHIP, and 2.15 HR/9 to lefties compared to a 4.28 xFIP, 1.34 WHIP, and 1.34 HR/9 to righties.
• Across his 23 starts, Kelly has given up at least 1 HR in 17 of them.
• On top of that, Kelly ranks in the second percentile or worse in xERA (7.23), xBA (.305), and barrel rate (12.6%).
• Against right-handed pitchers, Crow-Armstrong has tallied a 150 wRC+, .391 wOBA, and .298 ISO.
• There's smoke coming off PCA’s bat since the start of August, as he’s posted a 179 wRC+, .434 wOBA, and .400 ISO.
• On the road against right-handed pitching in 2026, Crow-Armstrong has an impressive 145 wRC+, .383 wOBA, and .326 ISO.

Add Pete Crow-Armstrong to your PrizePicks Lineup now.

Twins 1B Kody Clemens

Minnesota Twins vs. Athletics – 9:40 p.m. ET

Athletics Starting Pitcher: Jeffrey Springs (23 GS, 3-11, 5.07 xFIP, 35.3% hard-hit, 46.4 FB%)

MLB Weather Report: 88 degrees, clear skies, and 6 mph winds blowing slightly out to LF

• Springs resides in the 13th percentile in xERA (5.08), 26th percentile in xBA (.257), and 18th percentile in barrel rate (9.7%).
• After not coughing up a long ball in each of his first four starts in 2026, he's surrendered at least 1 HR in 17 of his last 19 starts.
• Each of Springs’ last three batted-ball events has been hit at 105 mph or faster.
• One of those 105 mph batted-ball events was a dinger by a lefty (1B Vinnie Pasquantino).
• Springs is recording a 5.35 xFIP, 1.50 WHIP, and 2.16 HR/9 against left-handed sluggers.
• Clemens boasts a 111 wRC+, .330 wOBA, and .208 ISO when facing left-handed pitching.
• Sutter Health Park is a hitter-friendly venue that has the highest home run park factor in 2026.

Add Kody Clemens to your PrizePicks Lineup now.

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Padres CF Jackson Merrill

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Diego Padres – 9:40 p.m. ET

Pirates Starting Pitcher: Braxton Ashcraft (25 GS, 13-5, 3.18 xFIP, 41.4 % hard-hit, 34.9 FB%)

MLB Weather Report: 78 degrees, clear skies, and 4 mph winds blowing out to CF

• Despite Ashcraft’s positive metrics, he’s allowed at least a single home run in eight of his last nine starts.
• Ashcraft has a 1.22 WHIP and 1.65 HR/9 against left-handed hitters.
• Plus, Ashcraft is logging a 1.64 HR/9 on the road compared to a 0.87 HR/9 at home.
• Merrill is registering a .201 ISO against right-handed pitching versus a .113 ISO against left-handed pitching.
• Since the start of August, Merrill has a 141 wRC+, .374 wOBA, and .288 ISO.
• Merrill has hit a moon shot in back-to-back games.

Add Jackson Merrill to your PrizePicks Lineup now.

Make MLB Home Run Picks on PrizePicks

Pete Crow-Armstrong is finishing the season strong and making his case to win the NL MVP award. What other sluggers are in fantastic spots to hit a ball over the fence on Monday?

Don’t wait until the first pitch — make your home run picks on PrizePicks now and earn real money if you’re right.

Pick players, predict More or Less on their stats, and cash in if you’re right. With Team Picks, you can make predictions on MLB game winners, spreads, and over/unders, now available in 36 states.

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