The Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Denver Nuggets game is set to tip off at 10:30 p.m. ET on Monday, April 20, with the Nuggets entering as 7.5-point home favorites on the spread on PrizePicks.
The Nuggets came out on top in Game 1 with a 116-105 win, marking the fourth time Denver has landed in the win column against Minnesota this season.
Below, we'll break down our Timberwolves vs. Nuggets prediction and picks for Monday's NBA Playoff game, including the spread, over/under, and key player picks for PrizePicks.
Don’t wait until tip-off — make your Timberwolves vs. Nuggets picks on PrizePicks now on tonight’s NBA game.
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Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Prediction, Spread, Over/Under – Monday, April 20
Denver trailed in the first half of Game 1 before outscoring Minnesota 54-43 in the second half, led by a 30-point overall performance from PG Jamal Murray.
The Nuggets have been one of the NBA’s most electric offenses, as they excel from the perimeter, shooting a league-best 39.6% from beyond the arc. Four players knock down at least 40.0% of their 3-point shots.
Meanwhile, the Timberwolves controlled the game for most of the first half before their offense faded down the stretch. Minnesota was limited to just 32.4% shooting (11-of-34) from 3-point range throughout Game 1 despite having six players finish in double figures.
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Spread, Over/Under – Monday, April 20
The Nuggets enter Monday’s game as 7.5-point home favorites against the Timberwolves, returning a 1.31x payout if they win outright, via PrizePicks Team Picks.
Here are the full payouts for the Timberwolves vs. Nuggets game on PrizePicks.
- Spread: Denver Nuggets -7.5 (1.92x payout)
- Over/Under: 230.5 (1.75x payout on Over)
- Game Winner Payout: Timberwolves 3.22x | Nuggets 1.31x
Play the Timberwolves vs. Nuggets spread or over/under on PrizePicks Team Picks to earn real money — available in 35 states!
Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.
Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Denver Nuggets Timeline
Here is the full Timberwolves vs. Nuggets timeline, including the playoff series game-by-game and recent matchup history.
All-Time: Nuggets, 101-70
Regular Season: Nuggets, 3-1
Series: Nuggets 1-0
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets First Round Timeline, Schedule for 2026 NBA Playoffs
- Game 1: Nuggets 116, Timberwolves 105
- Game 2: Monday, April 20, 10:30 p.m. ET in Denver
- Game 3: Thursday, April 23, 9:30 p.m. ET in Minnesota
- Game 4: Saturday, April 25, 8:30 p.m. ET in Minnesota
- Games 5-7 if necessary
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Prediction on Spread for NBA Playoffs First Round
Here are the key game stats and trends behind our Timberwolves vs. Nuggets prediction on the spread for Monday, April 20.
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- The Nuggets are 4-1 against the spread in their last five meetings vs. the Timberwolves.
- The Timberwolves are 7-10 ATS as an away underdog, producing the NBA’s fifth-lowest cover rate (41.2%).
- According to NBA Advanced Stats, the Nuggets produced an NBA-best assist-to-turnover ratio (2.2).
- The Timberwolves commit 14.1 turnovers per game, the 12th-most in the NBA.
- Denver has recorded the fourth-best assist percentage (71.1) among NBA Playoff teams thus far. The Nuggets posted the ninth-best assist percentage (66.5) during the regular season.
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Player Picks, Stats for PrizePicks: 4/20/26
Here are the top Timberwolves vs. Nuggets picks to target in the NBA Playoffs on PrizePicks for Monday, April 20. Today’s NBA picks for PrizePicks include Jamal Murray and Ayo Dosunmu.
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Nuggets PG Jamal Murray vs. Timberwolves Projection: 32.5 Pts + Asts
- Murray has enjoyed quite a bit of success against the Timberwolves this season. In five games, he's averaged 31.2 PPG and scored 30+ points in three of those contests.
- The Nuggets’ PG has averaged a combined 34.2 points and assists across his last 10 contests.
- According to databallr, Murray has recorded 17.5 potential assists per 100 possessions, sitting in the 98th percentile.
- Murray is shooting 46.8% (44-of-94) from deep over his last 10 games.
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Timberwolves G Ayo Dosunmu vs. Nuggets Projection: 12.5 Points
- Dosunmu has averaged 16.8 PPG over his last five contests.
- The Timberwolves guard has scored at least 13 points in four games during that span, including a 14-point performance in Game 1.
- Per databallr, Dosunmu is knocking down 43.9% of his 3-point shots, which ranks in the 99th percentile.
- Dosunmu has averaged 14.7 PPG in three games vs. the Nuggets in the 2025-26 campaign.
Add Ayo Dosunmu to your PrizePicks Lineup now.
NBA Playoffs Live Picks: Timberwolves vs. Nuggets on PrizePicks for Game 2
Here are some in-game angles to target for your Timberwolves vs. Nuggets live picks.
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- The Nuggets average the third-most PPG (30.8) in the first quarter. Over its past five games, that number is 32.4.
- Denver owns an average second-half scoring margin of +2.5, fifth in the NBA.
- The Timberwolves put up the second-most PPG (29.5) in the fourth frame, with the Nuggets right behind them at 29.1.
- Nuggets C Nikola Jokic has put up 33.6 PPG vs. the Timberwolves this season, the second-highest ledger against a team that he’s played at least four times.
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The Nuggets have been the most lethal offense in the league throughout the season and could have what it takes to cover the spread and take a 2-0 series lead against Minnesota. Can the Wolves spoil that plan?
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