Tonight’s UFC Perth Fight Night from Australia is headlined by Carlos Ulberg vs. Dominick Reyes on Saturday, September 27, with the main card set for 10 p.m. ET, stacked with Oceania’s best fighters, including Carlos Ulberg, Jimmy Crute, and Jack Jenkins.
Find our top UFC Perth Predictions for Ulberg vs. Reyes and main card picks for every fight below, including PrizePicks UFC picks for Saturday night.
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In a UFC Fight Night card designed to showcase the best of Australia, New Zealand, and the Pacific Islands, the UFC delivered massively for this Fight Night on Saturday. The main card is headlined by Carlos Ulberg against former title challenger Dominick Reyes in a light heavyweight bout.
Co-headlining UFC Perth is another electric matchup, where fan favorite Jimmy Crute will match up with Ivan Erslan.
The UFC Perth: Ulberg vs. Reyes main card is set to start at 10 p.m. ET, with Ulberg vs. Reyes expected to start around 12:30 a.m. ET, depending on when the other fights end.
We'll break down who’s fighting in UFC Perth: Ulberg vs. Reyes, including top picks and PrizePicks predictions for the main card.
PrizePicks is the easiest way to win cash on your UFC Perth predictions; just pick More or Less on fighter projections — like significant strikes or total fight time — and win money if your picks are correct.
Carlos Ulberg vs. Dominick Reyes Prediction & Preview
City Kickboxing has been a gym that many fans have taken notice of over the past 10 years, with many stars like Kai Kara-France and Israel Adesanya representing the Auckland based kickboxing crew.
Carlos Ulberg (13-1) has proven to be their next big contender, and since his debut loss, has strung together 8 consecutive wins.
However, to finally arrive at contention conversation he must pass one more test — Dominick Reyes (15-4).
Reyes had a scary slip in performance following his narrow loss to the widely accepted GOAT in Jon Jones, which sparked a four-loss streak. But in recent years we have seen a resurgence of the up and comer who had Jones on the ropes back in 2020.
With three straight finishes in as many fights, Reyes looks poised to wind back the clock and return to his early career form.
Ulberg vs. Reyes Prediction: 11.5 Minutes Fight Time
Ryelan’s Pick
- Reyes' last 6 fights have ended before Round 3.
- All of Ulberg's finishes have come in Round 1.
- Ulberg has an average Fight Time of 7:45.
- Reyes has an average Fight Time of 7:34.
Ulberg vs. Reyes Prediction: Carlos Ulberg – 51.5 Significant Strikes
Garrett Kerman’s Pick
- Ulberg lands 6.77 and throws 12.30 significant strikes per minute and lands 55% of his strikes.
- The Kiwi fighter has landed at least 58 significant strikes in three out of his last four fights.
- Reyes absorbs 3.54 significant strikes per minute, and his opponents land 50% of their strikes against him.
- The last fight, which lasted 25 minutes for Reyes, saw him absorb 104 significant strikes against Jon Jones.
Jimmy Crute vs. Ivan Erslan Prediction & Preview
Jimmy Crute’s passion for fighting has given the Australian native quite the fan backing in recent events. While Crute (13-4-2) hasn’t lost much conventionally since joining the UFC, he has struggled to win consistently enough to join the top of the division.
In Crute's last four fights, two have ended in draws, moving his last six record to a peculiar 1-3-2. Due to his odd fights, it has been difficult to put a finger on exactly what Crute's ceiling could be.
An impressive arm-bar victory in his last outing poises Crute to have a breakout performance this Saturday and put the draws in the past.
In his 10 fights before joining the UFC, Ivan Erslan (14-5-0, 1NC) finished eight of them. Upon joining the UFC his resume has slumped, having lost both of his fights via decision.
While Crute will be looking to prove he is a contender, Erslan will have to prove he belongs on the UFC roster.
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Crute vs. Erslan Prediction: Jimmy Crute – 31.5 Significant Strikes
Ryelan’s Pick
- Crute landed 11 significant strikes in his last bout.
- Crute lands 4.17 significant strikes per minute.
- Erslan absorbs 5.17 significant strikes per minute.
- Erslan's average fight time in the UFC is 15 minutes.
Crute vs. Erslan Prediction: 8.25 Minutes Fight Time
Garrett Kerman’s Pick
- Crute has seen a second round just four times in his UFC career.
- “The Brute” has four first-round finishes during his time with the UFC, but he’s also been finished three times in the first round.
- Erslan has seen the second round just twice in his last five fights.
- Erslan has 10 first-round finishes in his professional MMA career.
Jack Jenkins vs. Ramon Taveras Prediction & Preview
Jack Jenkins (13-4) is yet another exciting fighter that has struggled with consistency. While his striking looks promising at times, his overall MMA game has left something to be desired.
With only one finish in his five UFC bouts, a signature win might be necessary to get Jenkins back in the good graces of fans and match makers alike.
In Taveras’ (10-3) two appearances in Dana White’s Contender Series, we got to see both the highest of highs and lowest of lows for the American featherweight. First, a first round defeat, followed by a first round victory that earned him a UFC contract.
Since his UFC debut, Taveras’ fights have slowed down, with two decisions in his young two-year career.
Taveras may find himself in a similar situation to Jenkins — they must prove themselves on the big stage. Expect both of these men to be fighting for their careers this Saturday.
Jenkins vs. Taveras Prediction: Ramon Taveras – 44.5 Significant Strikes
Ryelan’s Pick
- Jenkins hasn’t landed a takedown in three fights.
- Jenkins average fight time is 12:37.
- Taveras lands 4.62 significant strikes per minute.
- Taveras has 100% takedown defense.
Jenkins vs. Taveras Prediction: Jack Jenkins – 63.5 Significant Strikes
Garrett Kerman’s Pick
- Jenkins has an average fight time of 12:37.
- He lands 4.50 and throws 7.37 significant strikes per minute while landing 61% of his strikes.
- In three of his five UFC fights, Jenkins has landed at least 59 significant strikes.
- Taveras absorbs 7.41 significant strikes per minute.
- Taveras allowed Serhiy Sidey and Davey Grant to land a combined 226 significant strikes in his last two fights.
Jake Matthews vs. Neil Magny Prediction & Preview
Welterweight Jake Matthews (22-7) has been building momentum with a three-fight win streak, including an impressive submission in his most recent bout. Matthews has proved he can do it all, but has yet to put it together in a fashion that would make him a top prospect.
Matthews' highlight finish over Andre Fialho in 2023 showcased the heights that Matthews could reach to fans. If he earns a fourth consecutive victory on Saturday, he could be well on his way to UFC stardom. If Jake Matthews can show up in peak form, he is a problem for anyone.
Neil Magny (30-14) has long played the role of gatekeeper in the welterweight division. Consistently hovering outside of the top 15, Magny has been a proving ground for future contenders.
While Magny looked to begin an age related decline in 2024, a bounce back TKO in his most recent bout vs. Elizeu Zaleski Dos Santos proved that Magny still had the ability to handle himself in the Octagon and is no can.
At this stage, Magny doesn’t have much to prove after fighting in the UFC for over a decade — except for showing that his opposition in Matthews does not belong in the top 15.
Matthews vs. Magny Prediction: 14.99 Minutes Fight Time
Ryelan’s Pick
- Magny has 55% takedown defense.
- Matthews has landed two takedowns in his last three fights combined.
- Matthews lands 1.51 takedowns per 15 minutes.
- Magny has an average fight time of 12:11.
Matthews vs. Magny Prediction: 14.99 Minutes Fight Time
Garrett Kerman’s Pick
- Matthews has an average fight time of 11:15.
- Matthews has seen the judge’s scorecards in three out of his last four fights.
- Magny has an average fight time of 12:11.
- The “Haitian Sensation” has seen the judge’s scorecards 20 times in his 43-fight MMA career.
UFC Perth Projections & Start Times: Ulberg vs. Reyes
Here’s the UFC Perth: Ulberg vs. Reyes main card schedule, in reverse order.
UFC Perth: Ulberg vs. Reyes projections below are via the PrizePicks MMA board.
Carlos Ulberg vs. Dominick Reyes – Main Event
- Light Heavyweight
- Expected start Time: 12:30 a.m. ET
- Ulberg Projections: 51.5 Significant Strikes, 0.5 Takedowns (Demon)
- Reyes Projection: 45.5 Significant Strikes, 0.5 Takedowns (Demon)
- Significant Strikes (Combo): 97.5
- Fight Time Projection: 11.5 Minutes
- Rounds Projection: 2.5 Total Rounds (Demon)
Jimmy Crute vs. Ivan Erslan – Co-Main Event
- Light Heavyweight
- Expected start Time: 12:00 a.m. ET
- Crute Projections: 31.5 Significant Strikes, 1.5 Takedowns (Goblin)
- Erslan Projections: 22.5 Significant Strikes, 0.5 Takedowns (Goblin)
- Significant Strikes (Combo): 52.5
- Fight Time Projection: 8.25 Minutes
Jack Jenkins vs. Ramon Taveras
- Featherweight
- Expected start Time: 11:30 p.m. ET
- Jenkins Projection: 63.5 Significant Strikes, 0.5 Takedowns (Goblin)
- Taveras Projection: 44.5 Significant Strikes, 0.5 Takedowns (Demon)
- Significant Strikes (Combo): 108.5
- Rounds Projection: 2.5 (Goblin)
Jake Matthews vs. Neil Magny
- Welterweight
- Expected start Time: 10:30 p.m. ET
- Matthews Projections: 41.5 Significant Strikes
- Magny Projection: 34.5 Significant Strikes
- Significant Strikes (Combo): 75.5
- Rounds Projection: 2.5 (Goblin)
- Fight Time Projection:14.99 Minutes
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UFC Perth: Ulberg vs. Reyes is set to bring us another action packed Saturday of great fights on Saturday after a brief one week UFC hiatus. The main card will start around 10 p.m. ET.
Before we get underway, does be sure you’ve locked in your UFC predictions on PrizePicks — it’s the easiest way to get real money action on UFC Perth.
In a card designed to showcase the stars and up-and-comers from the Oceania region, expect exciting striking and high level intensity as rookies and vets alike fight in front of their home crowd. Live from the RAC Arena in Perth, Australia — this is a card you won't want to miss.
Head to the PrizePicks app, pick More or Less on two or more fighters, lock in your picks, and get ready for the sweat during UFC Perth: Ulberg vs. Reyes.
