UFC 334 Predictions – Gane vs. Hokit & All Main Card Fights Tonight

UFC events feel bigger when the heavyweight tile, or “Baddest Man on the Planet,” is up for grabs. They also feel bigger at Madison Square Garden. We’ll combine those two things on Saturday.

After Ciryl Gane’s emphatic win at the White House, the undisputed heavyweight strap is his. His defense comes against an unexpected opponent, though.

Josh Hokit has made waves through his odd antics at the microphone and signature in-fight taunting, and we’ll find out just how elite the undefeated prospect is in this matchup.

The UFC 334 main card features five fights, with Gane being a moderate favorite over Hokit in the main event, according to PrizePicks payouts.

In the co-main event, a long-awaited battle of all-time greats at women’s bantamweight finally transpires. Current champion Kayla Harrison takes on the division’s most-accomplished fighter ever, Amanda Nunes, fresh out of retirement.

UFC 334: Gane vs. Hokit's main card starts Saturday at 9 p.m. ET on Paramount+, and we’re breaking down every fight with UFC 334 predictions, predictive model analysis, and PrizePicks UFC picks for Gane vs. Hokit and the rest of the main card.

Make your UFC 334 predictions on PrizePicks, including on winners, method of victory, significant strikes, and more!

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UFC 334 Predictions for Gane vs. Hokit & Main Card Fights

Before we get into our UFC 334 predictions for Saturday, here’s a brief intro on what you'll find below.

UFC 334: Gane vs. Hokit’s main card is expected to start at 9 p.m. ET with the first main card fight. Here’s a full rundown of the proceedings:

• Main Event: Cyril Gane vs. Josh Hokit – Heavyweight
• Co-Main Event: Kayla Harrison vs. Amanda Nunes – Women’s Bantamweight
• Caio Borralho vs. Yousri Belgaroui – Middleweight
• Uros Medic vs. Kevin Holland – Welterweight
• Bilal Hasan vs. Luis Gurule – Flyweight

We’ll list the payouts for who will win each UFC 334 main card fight, via PrizePicks. For example, 2x means the result will pay out $200 on a $100 entry. A lower payout multiplier signals a higher implied probability of that result based on user picks.

PrizePicks payouts are live at the time of writing and are subject to change. UFC winner markets are available in 36 states, including Florida, California, and Texas! 

Learn more about Austin Swaim's UFC model here, with all eligible results included below.

Cyril Gane vs. Josh Hokit Prediction for UFC 334

Fight Winner Payouts: Cyril Gane 1.47x | Josh Hokit 2.63x

Weight Class: Heavyweight (265 pounds)

Gane vs. Hokit Model Results:

In less than 16 months, Josh Hokit has gone from the Contender Series (DWCS) to fighting for a UFC title. It’s a true testament to how far personality and athleticism can go in a division hoping to return to its glory days.

“The Incredible Hok” is getting quite the push despite the fact Dana White recognized he doesn’t personally like him.

Hokit’s antics on the microphone are joined by in-fight middle fingers, but if he’s brutally finishing the division’s knockout king, Derrick Lewis, or putting on the best fight in UFC heavyweight history, it’s tough to not live with it.

I can’t really explicitly state how unfathomable the former Fresno State running back’s UFC metrics are, pairing 9.29 significant strikes per minute with 3.73 takedowns landed per 15. Big guys just can’t keep up with that grueling pace if he’s able to withstand power at just 235 pounds.

Without a doubt, Hokit’s toughest test comes Saturday. Ciryl Gane finally had his moment in the sun after years of fouls, interim title, and shrinking when it mattered most.

Against a legend in Alex “Poatan” Pereira, Gane flew a different type of red, white, and blue at The White House:

“Bon Gamin” is perhaps the most technical heavyweight striker ever, posting a +3.09 striking success rate that spans over 301 octagon minutes. It’s been a level of untouchable greatness that has required grappling with him to win.

Jon Jones (first-round submission) and Francis Ngannou were able to do that, and Gane’s 47% takedown defense isn't strong. Hokit, a former All-American wrestler, may have to dig deep to floor the Frenchman, but he’s been fairly efficient with his takedowns in UFC (47%) to this point.

Gane’s symphonic footwork meets Hokit’s basic aggressiveness and relentless pace. My model tends to outline these statistical rarities, like Joshua Van or Tom Aspinall, as future champions — Hokit definitely fits the mold.

Plus, Gane’s knockdown rate (0.41 KD%) has never been what he’s known for, failing to put away any of his 14 foes in the first round.

Predict the Gane vs. Hokit winner at UFC 334 on PrizePicks.

Gane vs. Hokit Pick for UFC 334

Typically, wrestlers lag behind in significant strikes because strikes in the clinch or on the ground require impactful force to count. It speaks volumes that Hokit has the highest mark in the rankings despite that style.

Hokit’s 177 significant strikes landed on Blaydes, who had an 80” reach like Gane’s 81”, were second-most in divisional history.

As this projection indicates, it could be difficult to land on the Frenchman due to his footwork and elite striking defense (60%), but he pushes quite a pace to land handfuls at a time when my model projected 11.3 median total minutes in this matchup.

Josh Hokit – 57.5 Significant Strikes

Make your Gane vs. Hokit pick for UFC 334 on PrizePicks.

Kayla Harrison vs. Amanda Nunes Prediction for UFC 334

Fight Winner Payouts: Kayla Harrison 1.56x | Amanda Nunes 2.32x

Weight Class: Women’s Bantamweight (135 pounds)

Harrison vs. Nunes Model Results:

An all-time women’s MMA superfight is finally here. Kayla Harrison and Amanda Nunes were slated for a January bout before a Harrison neck injury, but the bout will take place on one of the biggest cards of the year at MSG.

Harrison, a longtime PFL two-division champion, has wasted no time establishing what we’ve known was a championship skill set upon arrival. In just three fights, Harrison dominated opponents at 135 pounds, including a second-round submission of Julianna Pena last June:

The former Olympic gold medalist in judo has a world-class ground game, which she has used to post 2.84 takedowns and 0.9 submission attempts per 15 minutes. Ketlen Vieira’s 90% takedown D was a nightmare matchup, and she won that fight at distance.

But the star of the show here is the return of the “GOAT." Amanda Nunes went 16-2 in her UFC career as a two-division champion under these bright lights before retiring in 2023. While suspect competition in the division didn’t entice her to keep going, a fight with Harrison, a former teammate, did.

This fight is a challenging prediction because Nunes wasn't actively training in exchange for motherhood for years before this rumored possibility came to fruition. She’s also switched away from Harrison’s American Top Team camp to MMA Masters in Miami.

However, when we saw Harrison smother Pena from the opening bell, it’s tough to remember Nunes’ two-fight series with the same woman and feel confident.

She lost the first bout in an all-time upset before an uninspiring 25-minute decision win.

“The Lioness” last finished a UFC opponent in March 2021. It’s been a long time since she was particularly dangerous, and this version is presumably the worst one yet.

My model and I both have some unfortunate “Conor McGregor in July” vibes here in a fight where both ladies are making serious bank.

Predict the Harrison vs. Nunes winner at UFC 334 on PrizePicks.

Harrison vs. Nunes Pick for UFC 334

As we saw in McGregor’s most recent “return”, variance is at its highest when Nunes is getting paid millions regardless of her performance.

That’s not to say she couldn’t be hyper-motivated to return and clean out the division. If so, her 0.92 KD% is still elite by the bar at women’s 135 to this day, and Harrison has never been a comfortable offensive striker despite her defensive success rate (66%) in UFC to this point.

But, Pena’s clean double leg en route to a submission implies that Nunes’ ground game may never have truly evolved with modern MMA standards. Harrison brings that, and it’s tough to land significant strikes off your back.

Amanda Nunes – 42.5 Significant Strikes

Make your Harrison vs. Nunes pick for UFC 334 on PrizePicks.

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Caio Borralho vs. Yousri Belgaroui Prediction for UFC 334

Fight Winner Payouts: Caio Borralho 1.58x | Yousri Belgaroui 2.27x

Weight Class: Middleweight (185 pounds)

Borralho vs. Belgaroui Model Results:

Steps up in competition don’t get much more monumental than this. Yousri Belgaroui goes from a 2-3 opponent in his last fight to the top five of the division — and it speaks volumes that projections think he can win.

Alex Pereira’s hand-picked successor at 185 pounds is an enigma. At 6’6” with a 79” reach, Belgaroui is a perfect 3-0 in UFC with a fairly special +4.16 SSR in any capacity.

He’s topped multi-time promotional winners like Azamat Bekoev and Mansur Abdul-Malik, so it’s not like he’s been crushing cans:

Poatan’s investment in him is present via similar low kicks, excellent distance management, and continually improving takedown defense. He’s stuffed 9 of 16 takedown attempts faced.

Those improvements will be put to a stress test against “The Natural." Caio Borralho, the leader and founder of the famous “Fighting Nerds” camp in São Paulo, has won 10 of his 11 UFC fights and seems to have a permanent home in the top five.

He dispatched Reinier de Ridder via decision in March:

I understand a close forecast for this bout. Borralho’s +2 distance striking differential against de Ridder came on the heels of a -20 differential against Nassourdine Imavov. At striking range, “The Boogeyman” is longer and more voluminous than both.

Borralho has a grappling path, but averaging just 2.50 takedown attempts per 15 minutes, it would defy his historical tendency of not investing a lot of energy into wrestling.

Predict the Borralho vs. Belgaroui winner at UFC 334 on PrizePicks.

Borralho vs. Belgaroui Pick for UFC 334

Most conceptualize a length advantage through the lens of offense, but it has also really aided Belgaroui defensively.

The Dutchman has a striking defense (63%) that’s 11 percentage points above the middleweight average, and the maximum for significant strikes absorbed in an official UFC fight thus far is 24.

In theory, Borralho’s path to victory is through wrestling, which would mute his significant strike total. He’s also been fairly inactive historically, attempting 6.19 significant strikes per minute to Belgaroui’s 10.22.

Caio Borralho – 38.5 Significant Strikes

Make your Borralho vs. Belgaroui pick for UFC 334 on PrizePicks.

Uros Medic vs. Kevin Holland Prediction for UFC 334

Fight Winner Payouts: Uros Medic 1.56x | Kevin Holland 2.27x

Weight Class: Welterweight (170 pounds)

Medic vs. Holland Model Results:

Two welterweights who are, individually, must-watch television collide with each other in the Big Apple.

At 34, Kevin Holland isn’t quite done yet. We’ve seen “Big Mouth” through 30 UFC appearances at 170 or 185 pounds — and inside or outside the rankings.

He’s a brash, confident Muay Thai fighter will elite jiu-jitsu skills, but there’s enough showmanship and weirdness to keep things interesting:

Overall, Holland’s 7-5 career at welterweight is tough to track. He outstruck a top-10 contender, Mike Malott, two fights ago after getting dropped twice and losing to Daniel Rodriguez, an aging and unranked contender.

There’s no rhyme or reason to Holland’s setbacks, leading some to question his commitment.

He better be locked in for this one, or it could be another quick operation for “The Doctor." Uros Medic is making a habit of quick nights at the office, winning five of his last six fights by first-round KO.

He’s got the largest knockdown rate at welterweight (4.30 KD%) for those with at least five appearances.

This is a fascinating matchup when Holland’s two UFC (T)KO losses were injuries to his hand and ribs. He’s extremely durable taking punches against the division’s biggest hitter. Plus, Medic has had issues grappling, and “Big Mouth” is a five-time UFC winner by submission.

Still, it’s easy to question Holland’s current form at an advanced age when that Rodriguez loss in July 2025 can’t age too well. D-Rod was a Medic victim in just 30 seconds.

Predict the Medic vs. Holland winner at UFC 334 on PrizePicks.

Medic vs. Holland Pick for UFC 334

Normally, you cannot blink from the first exchange in an Uros Medic fight.

Medic’s 3:41 average fight time is third-shortest on the entire UFC roster among those with at least 10 appearances, falling just short of Aspinall and Terrance McKinney. He’s failed to see the second round in 9 of 12 appearances.

But interestingly enough, each of the last seven starts for Holland at 170 pounds specifically, against smaller guys, started the second round.

The deciding factor on an unusually long Medic fight could be that it may take him a minute or two to find a way around Holland’s 10-inch reach advantage.

Medic vs. Holland – 4.99 Minutes Fight Time

Make your Medic vs. Holland pick for UFC 334 on PrizePicks.

Bilal Hasan vs. Luis Gurule Prediction for UFC 334

Fight Winner Payouts: Bilal Hasan 1.09x | Luis Gurule 6.25x

Weight Class: Flyweight (125 pounds)

The one prospect feature on the main card is pretty special one.

An alum of this most recent DWCS season, Bilal Hasan has been on the UFC’s radar for a while. The “Indoninja” was a three-time defender of the CFFC belt in the Northeast with rare raw power for the 125-pound division.

His debut in Shanghai back in August didn't disappoint:

In fact, Hasan has an 80% knockout rate in the smallest men’s weight class at just 25 years old. In addition to Joshua Van and Lone’er Kavanagh, the Indonesian fighter is looking to add his name to a growing list of 20-somethings to watch in this weight class.

I’m not exactly spoiling anything to say that this matchup with Luis Gurule (1-4 UFC) isn’t the stiffest test for a prospect that's still developing. The Factory X Muay Thai product was a reliable grinder on the regional scene with Fury FC, but that translated to a middling +0.09 SSR with a true grappling liability under the bright lights.

Hasan won’t really test that liability, so in a way, the veteran is probably looking forward to this matchup. But an unfavorable eight-year age gap is also met with the fact the prospect has lightning in his hands.

To this point, the favorite is a bit of an unknown commodity, but Gurule’s chin failed him three fights against Ode Osbourne. That was Osbourne’s only KO win since the start of 2023, and Gurule hasn't recorded a knockdown himself.

The promotion seems to be trying to protect Hasan the best it can while giving him a chance to deliver another highlight. We’ll see if he can deliver.

Predict the Hasan vs. Gurule winner at UFC 334 on PrizePicks.

Hasan vs. Gurule Pick for UFC 334

Bilal Hasan is truly an anomaly at flyweight. Mirroring weight class trends, even Van and Kavanagh had longer fights on the regional scene.

Not the “Indoninja." He’s yet to see the eight-minute mark in nine straight fights, and this is facing some of the best New England-area regional prospects in the worst before Nilsson Rojas — a credentialed fighter from Peru — in his debut.

Hasan’s 2.70 KD% is gaudy thus far, and Gurule absorbs a card-worst 5.35 significant strikes per minute. It might not be long before a big one connects.

Hasan vs. Gurule – 4.99 Minutes Fight Time

Make your Hasan vs. Gurule pick for UFC 334 on PrizePicks.

Swaim’s UFC Predictive Model for UFC 334: How It Works

Above are the results from my predictive UFC model that uses historical UFC stats, fighter attributes, tendencies, and historical finishing outcomes to estimate a fighter's win probability, how often they win by finish, and the exact method of victory.

The results for each fight are listed above as "model results."

To avoid poor results from a small sample, both fighters must have 30 minutes of octagon time or 5 completed UFC fights to be included in the model, which is why some fights will be ineligible for a result.

Each eligible UFC Fight Night main card fight is listed with model data to help you make your UFC predictions on PrizePicks today.

‍Follow Austin Swaim for more UFC picks, predictions, and analysis.

All UFC predictions and analysis — model or otherwise — are the opinions of writers who are not investment professionals. Picks are not based on PrizePicks payout multipliers and are not recommendations to trade.

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Make UFC 334 Predictions on PrizePicks

UFC 334: Gane vs. Hokit goes down on Saturday, featuring a stacked card of fighters who are looking to climb up the ranks or lift championship gold. Lock in your UFC predictions for today's main card, which starts at 9 p.m. ET on Paramount+.

Just pick More or Less on two or more UFC fighter projections for UFC 334 — headlined by Gane vs. Hokit — and lock in your lineup to earn real money on the fights if you're right.

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