UFC 315 Predictions – Muhammad, Shevchenko, & Main Card Picks

UFC 315 on Saturday night is set to be a good one, with the men’s Welterweight belt up for grabs in Belal Muhammad (c) vs. Jack Della Maddalena and the women’s Flyweight belt up for grabs with Valentina Shevchenko (c) vs. Manon Fiorot in the co-main event. 

The main event brings us Muhammad, the Welterweight champion, looking for his very first title defense in vs. Della Maddalena. Co-headlining, we have fan-favorite and Flyweight champion Shevchenko vs. rising star Fiorot, who stands a perfect 7-0 in the UFC.

Below, we’ll cover who’s fighting in UFC 315, predictions, and picks to watch for the main card fight, plus PrizePicks projections for the big fights on Saturday night.

Click here to go straight to our UFC 315 Main Card Predictions below, including PrizePicks picks and predictions for tonight’s UFC fights on the main card.

This PPV event gives us five current or former champions, 11 ranked fighters, and six pound-for-pound ranked fighters — this main card has a little something for everyone. UFC 315 may be the most important PPV in a very long time for the women's division, a whopping five pound-for-pound ranked women in action Saturday. 

Live from Montreal, Canada, in the Belle Center, it should be an electric UFC PPV. The UFC 315 main card is set to start at 10 p.m. ET, with the Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena main event expected to start around 12 a.m. ET, depending on when the other fights end.

Keep an eye out for two UFC discounts dropping on the PrizePicks MMA board to make it that much easier to cash in on the fights.

Think you know how the fights will unfold? PrizePicks is the easiest way to win real money on UFC 315 Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena; just pick More or Less on fighter projections — like significant strikes or fight time — and get paid if your picks are correct. 

UFC 315 Fight Times: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena

UFC 315 will start at 10 p.m. ET with the main card prelims on Saturday, May 10, while the Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena main event is expected to start at 12 a.m. ET — subject to change based on other fights before it.

UFC 315 projections are via the PrizePicks UFC board as of Friday at 8 p.m. ET, but are subject to change until lock. 

Here’s the UFC 315 main card schedule, in reverse order.

Belal Muhammad vs. Jack Della Maddalena – Main Event

• Main event
• Welterweight title fight
• Expected start time: 12 a.m. ET
• Muhammad Projections: 77.5 Significant Strikes, 67.55 Fantasy Score, 5 Takedowns
• Della Maddalena Projection: 71.5 Significant Strikes
• Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena Prediction

Valentina Shevchenko vs. Manon Fiorot – Co-Main Event 

• Co-main event
• Women’s Flyweight title fight
• Expected start time: 11:30 p.m. ET
• Shevchenko Projections: 78.5 Significant Strikes, 54.55 Fantasy Score
• Fiorot Projection: 82.5 Significant Strikes
• Shevchenko vs. Fiorot Prediction

Jose Aldo vs. Aiemann Zahabi

• Bantamweight
• Expected start time: 11 p.m. ET
• Aldo Projections: 57.5 Significant Strikes, 46.55 Fantasy Score
• Zahabi Projections: 53.5 Significant Strikes
• Aldo vs. Zahabi Prediction

Alexa Grasso vs. Natalia Silva

• Women Flyweight
• Expected start time: 10:30 p.m. ET
• Grasso Projection: 46.5 Significant Strikes
• Silva Projections: 64.5 Significant Strikes, 49.55 Fantasy Score
• Grasso vs. Silva Prediction

Benoit Saint-Denis vs. Kyle Prepolec

• Lightweight
• Expected start time: 10 p.m. ET
• Saint-Denis Projections: 27.5 Significant Strikes, 1.5 Takedowns
• Prepolec Projection: 16.5 Significant Strikes
• Fight Time Projection: 5.5 minutes
• Saint-Denis vs. Prepolec Prediction

Belal Muhammad vs. Jack Della Maddalena: Pick & Preview

Muhammad has won six straight and is without a loss in his last 11 showings, netting himself a title along the way. Now, Muhammad will get a chance to show again that we should “remember the name” in his first title defense against rising star Jack Della Maddalena.

Muhammad is no stranger to ending win streaks along his path to claiming the Welterweight title, but Della Maddalena could prove his toughest test yet. 

Della Maddalena — a perfect 7-0 in the UFC in just three years time — has had an equally impressive run in his pro career. After losing his first two bouts to begin his professional career, he rattled off 9 straight inside the distance wins before earning himself a ticket to Dana White’s Contender Series. There he found a decision win, joined the UFC and found himself three wins in as many minutes inside the octagon  — and since has quickly run out of better talent to be matched against.

This one is expected to be a close one, as both men are very well rounded, with perhaps Muhammad’s grappling giving him the slight edge. Many fight fans question the star power of this PPV, but there would be no denying the bright future of Della Maddalena if he can claim the belt at the ripe age of just 28. 

Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena Prediction: Muhammad 5 Takedowns

• In Muhammad’s last bout he boasted nine Takedowns on 13 attempts.
• Muhammad averages 2.28 Takedowns per 15 mins in the octagon.
• In Della Maddalena's last bout he was taken down seven times on 11 attempts.
• Prior to that bout, Della Maddalena had been taken down just four times on 25 attempts since joining the UFC.

Valentina Shevchenko vs. Manon Fiorot: Pick & Preview

After battling just Alexa Grasso for her last three bouts spanning two years, Shevchenko finally gets a new opponent in Fiorot. While some thought her age was beginning to show at 37, her last bout put the haters to bed in a complete dismantling of Grasso.

Shevchenko has seen it all at this point, and typically comes out on top, winning 17 of her last 21 and 10 of her last 12. Sprinkle in seven successful title defenses and you'll be hard pressed to find a more decorated active fighter in either the men’s and women’s division. 

Similar to our main event contender in Della Maddalena, Fiorot also tasted defeat in her professional debut, only to quickly turn it around. Riding a 12-fight win streak, with seven of them coming in the UFC, including one against former champion Rose Namajunas — Shevchenko has her work cut out for her.

Shevchenko vs. Fiorot Prediction: Shevchenko 2 Takedowns

• Shevchenko has landed three or more takedowns in eight straight bouts. 
• Shevchenko averages 2.74 Takedowns per 15 minutes.
• Fiorot has only been taken down once on 15 attempts in the UFC.

Jose Aldo vs. Aiemann Zahabi: Pick & Preview

After a two-year hiatus, Brazil legend and UFC Hall of Famer Jose Aldo will make his third fight in two years. 41 professional fights deep, Aldo has shown enough to prove he still has gas left in the tank, and that coupled with his experience is enough to continue warrating him getting top 15 billings. 

His opposition Zahabi finally gets his homecoming, fighting in front of his Canadian crowd for the first time in over a decade. As the slight underdog in the bout, this is one to watch to see flashes of Aldo’s greatness and in the chance he gets caught — to see just how crazy this crowd can get in Montreal. 

A loss for Aldo here could signal hanging it up after back to back losses and would prove Zahabi is ready for the top ten, but a win for the HOFer could mean we get the privilege of seeing him throw down again in the future.

Aldo vs. Zahabi Prediction: Zahabi 53.5 Significant Strikes

• Zahabi lands 4.06 Significant Strikes a minute, or 60.9 per 15-minute bout.
• Zahabi has an average fight time of 11:23, putting him just over a 46 Significant Strike average a fight.
• Aldo absorbs 3.72 Significant Strikes a minute, or 55.8 per 15 minute bout.
• Aldo has seen eight of his last nine fights go to decision.

Alexa Grasso vs. Natalia Silva: Pick & Preview

Becoming the first Mexican woman to win a UFC title was huge for Grasso, but the second defense against Shevchenko left a ton to be desired, with her landing a disappointing 18 Significant Strikes across the entire five rounds. 

Her opposition Natalia Silva doesn’t know the feeling, winning all six of her UFC bouts. With the co-main event deciding who is holding the Women’s Flyweight belt by the end of the night, it’s safe to say our winner here should see them next. 

Either way, we should be in for a high level fight, with Grasso looking to prove she can take another stab at the title, and Silva looking to prove she can hang with the best of them and is deserving of a title shot being somewhat fresh into the UFC.

Grasso vs. Silva Prediction: Silva 64.5 Significant Strikes

• Silva lands 5.19 Significant Strikes a minute, or 77.85 per 15-minute bout.
• Both women have gone the distance in three of their last four fights.
• Grasso absorbs 3.69 Significant Strikes a minute, or 55.35 per 15-minute bout.

Benoit Saint-Denis vs. Kyle Prepolec: Pick & Preview

To kick off the UFC 315 main card we get potentially the biggest skill mismatch of the entire night, with Saint-Denis being seen as a shoo-in for an easy win. With that comes what could be our best candidate to not be decided by the judges, with PrizePicks setting the projection for Fight Time at just 5.5 Minutes.

On short notice, Prepolec stepped up to replace Joel Alvarez, and is on the precipice of an amazing comeback story. Losing his only two UFC fights back in 2019, Prepolec has now found himself chaining three first round finishes in a row — netting himself not just a return to the UFC but a spot on the main card of a PPV. Win or lose, the Canadian has a lot to be proud of.

Saint-Denis will be hungry to make sure that story doesn’t come to fruition, as he is now the victim of back-to-back losses in the second round following his catapulting to the top 15 via five straight finishes of his opposition inside the distance.

In what should be a tune up for Saint-Denis, there’s always room for a slip up, and that room may be a little more likely with the crowd behind Prepolec, and him fighting with nothing to lose. 

Saint-Denis vs. Prepolec Prediction: Saint-Denis 5.5 Fight Time (Mins)

• Saint-Denis has an average fight time of 7:33.
• Saint-Denis has finished his opponent in the first round in two of his last five bouts.
• Prepolec’s last three fights have been decided by a combined 8 minutes and 41 seconds.

Cash in on UFC 315 Tonight on PrizePicks

With UFC 315 set to bring us exciting fights on Saturday night from Canada, including Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena and Shevchenko vs. Fiorot, be sure you’ve locked in your UFC Lineups on PrizePicks before the fights start. It’s the easiest way to get real money action on UFC 315. 

Keep your eye on the PrizePicks MMA board on Saturday, as two fight-day discounts are dropping on the board to make it that much easier to win real money on UFC 315.

Head to the PrizePicks app, pick More or Less on two or more fighters, lock in your picks, and get ready for the sweat during UFC 315.