Most MLB series are wrapping up today as we approach the weekend. What could we expect from sluggers for Wednesday, June 10’s full 15-game schedule? Cubs OF Pete Crow-Armstrong and Brewers 1B Jake Bauers may benefit from hitter-friendly ballparks tonight.
PrizePicks offers daily home run projections for your MLB picks, and some hitters have been circled as the most popular home run picks among users on today’s slate.
Below, we’ll break down the most-picked MLB home run predictions for Wednesday, including each player’s matchup, recent production, and what makes them a popular home run pick today.
Make your MLB home run picks for Wednesday, June 10, on PrizePicks now.
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Top Home Run Picks Today – Wednesday, June 10
Hitting a home run is laced with one of the highest degrees of difficulty across sports. And that's what makes going yard so difficult to project on a nightly basis.
How hard is each player hitting the ball? Are they hitting fly balls? Who is pitching on the mound? What direction is the wind flying? That’s just the icing on the cake for breaking down home run projections.
Due to the difficulty of going yard, home run predictions are demons on PrizePicks, which come with a higher payout than standard. Additionally, you can only choose "More" on HR projections, which are set at 0.5.
Here are the most popular home run picks for today on PrizePicks as of writing.
- Phillies DH Kyle Schwarber
- Astros DH Yordan Alvarez
- Twins OF Byron Buxton
- Braves 1B Matt Olson
- Diamondbacks OF Corbin Carroll – t
- Brewers 1B Jake Bauers
- Cardinals OF Jordan Walker
- Mets DH Juan Soto
- Dodgers DH Shohei Ohtani
- Cubs OF Pete Crow-Armstrong
Below, we’ll break down three matchups for today, including the opposing starting pitcher with advanced stats from FanGraphs and Baseball Savant, capped by a weather report via RotoGrinders.
Diamondbacks OF Corbin Carroll
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins – 6:40 p.m. ET
Marlins Starting Pitcher: Ryan Gusto (3 appearances, 0-1, 3.15 xFIP, 55.6% hard-hit, 27.8% FB)
MLB Weather Report: Weather is not a factor in the domed Marlins Park.
- Corbin Carroll’s .283 batting average has fallen to .258 in June, but he’s made his hits count with 4 home runs over eight games this month.
- In fact, Carroll boasts an eye-popping .710 SLG in June, helping boost his .490 xSLG (84th percentile), 13.1% barrel rate (81st percentile), and 51.1% hard-hit rate (92nd percentile).
- The Marlins will lean on their bullpen today, as RP Ryan Gusto gets the start. He pitched for only 2.0 innings in his sole start of the season, surrendering 3 earned runs in that appearance.
- Gusto carries an alarming 55.6% hard-hit rate that’s far above the 33.5% league average.
- Furthermore, Miami’s bullpen has allowed 1.00 HR/9 (16th) and an 11.2% HR/FB (19th) in the last 30 days. Both of those marks are elevated from 0.70 and 7.6% on the season.
Add Corbin Carroll to your PrizePicks Lineup now.
Cubs OF Pete Crow-Armstrong
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies – 8:40 p.m. ET
Rockies Starting Pitcher: Michael Lorenzen (13 GS, 2-8, 4.47 xFIP, 42.5% hard-hit, 31.7% FB)
MLB Weather Report: 87 degrees, clear skies, and 13 mph winds toward first base
- Targeting runs in the Rockies’ Coors Field go together like bread and butter. Colorado puts another vulnerable starter on the rubber in SP Michael Lorenzen, who has given up 5 home runs and holds a 10.46 ERA in his last six starts.
- Further, Lorenzen allows 1.63 HR/9 that’s above the 1.11 league average.
- Enter Pete Crow-Armstrong, who touts a blazing .379/.438/.793 slash line in June.
- His absurd .793 SLG this month has meant plenty of power, including 3 HRs over seven games this month.
- Crow-Armstrong’s 50.3% hard-hit rate (90th percentile) can expose Lorenzen’s 42.5% hard-hit rate allowed, and the Cubs’ center fielder has launched 8 of his 11 big flies against righties.
Add Pete Crow-Armstrong to your PrizePicks Lineup now.
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Brewers 1B Jake Bauers
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics – 9:05 p.m. ET
Athletics Starting Pitcher: Jack Perkins (18 appearances, 2-3, 3.74 xFIP, 27.8% hard-hit, 41.1% FB)
MLB Weather Report: 97 degrees, clear skies, and 8 mph winds toward first base
- Tonight’s Brewers-Athletics matchup touts a jaw-dropping 14.5 over/under on PrizePicks Team Picks.
- Previewing the club’s 2028 move to Sin City, the Athletics began a six-game homestand at Las Vegas Ballpark on Monday.
- The Triple-A ballpark has an elevation eclipsing 3,000 feet, bringing a huge boost to run production. Ballpark Pal’s stadium factor gives Las Vegas Ballpark a +33% boost to runs and a +66% boost to home runs!
- This immediately led to a monster 29-run run total with 11 combined home runs in the Brewers’ 15-14 win in 12 innings on Monday night.
- That elevation paired with hot weather in Las Vegas creates the perfect storm for nightly home run derbies. In fact, Ballpark Pal gives tonight’s battle a ludicrous +80% home run boost, combining ballpark and weather factors.
- Athletics RP Jack Perkins’ 41.1% fly ball rate allowed that’s above the 39.0% league average points to more HRs.
- Most of this MLB prediction is about the ballpark, and Brewers 1B Jake Bauers has 3 homers and a .783 SLG this month
- Bauers’ 23.5% HR/FB and 54.4% hard-hit rate (97th percentile) make him lethal in Las Vegas.
Add Jake Bauers to your PrizePicks Lineup now.
Make MLB Home Run Picks on PrizePicks
Look out West for tonight’s most popular home run picks on PrizePicks, as users are targeting the Rockies’ and Athletics’ hitter-friendly ballparks. Pete Crow-Armstrong and Jake Bauers could be two ways to find exposure tonight.
Don’t wait until the first pitch — make your home run picks on PrizePicks now and earn real money if you’re right.
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