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All 30 teams across MLB are taking the field on Saturday, and there are two doubleheaders. That means there are even more opportunities for the sluggers around the league to hit moon shots.
Will Kyle Schwarber extend his lead in the home run category on Saturday? Can Pete Alonso continue swinging a hot bat?
PrizePicks offers daily home run projections for your MLB picks, and some hitters have been circled as the most popular home run picks among users on today’s schedule.
Below, we’ll break down the most-picked MLB home run predictions for Saturday, including each player’s matchup, recent production, and what makes them a popular home run pick today.
Make your MLB home run picks for Saturday, August 29, on PrizePicks now.
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Top Home Run Picks Today – Saturday, August 29
Hitting a home run is laced with one of the highest degrees of difficulty across sport, and that's what makes going yard so difficult to project on a nightly basis.
So much goes into achieving this feat. How hard is each player hitting the ball, and are they hitting fly balls? Who's pitching on the mound? What are the weather conditions and ballpark dimensions? That’s just the tip of the iceberg for breaking down home run projections.
Due to the difficulty of going yard, home run predictions are Demons on PrizePicks, which come with a higher payout than standard. Additionally, you can only choose "More" on HR projections, which are set at 0.5.
Here are the most popular home run picks for today on PrizePicks as of writing.
- Phillies DH Kyle Schwarber
- Orioles 1B Pete Alonso
- Braves 1B Matt Olson
- Cubs RF Seiya Suzuki
- Rays 3B Junior Caminero
- Phillies 1B/RF Bryce Harper
- Orioles C Samuel Basallo
- Braves C Drake Baldwin
- White Sox 1B Munetaka Murakami
- Cubs CF Pete Crow-Armstrong
Below, we’ll break down three matchups for today, including the opposing starting pitcher with advanced stats from FanGraphs and Baseball Savant, capped by a weather report via RotoGrinders.
Phillies DH Kyle Schwarber
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Angels – 10:07 p.m. ET
Angels Starting Pitcher: Ryan Johnson (13 GS, 3-7, 5.39 xFIP, 38.1% hard-hit, 47.8 FB%)
MLB Weather Report: 83 degrees, clear skies, and 5 mph winds blowing slightly to RF
- Johnson owns a 5.41 xFIP, 1.49 WHIP, and 2.11 HR/9 against left-handed hitters.
- Plus, Johnson is in just the sixth percentile in xERA (5.42) and ninth percentile in barrel rate (10.5%).
- Schwarber boasts a 133 wRC+, .372 wOBA, and .304 ISO against lefties.
- While Schwarber does have a 35.5% strikeout rate against right-handers, Johnson has just a 16.9% strikeout rate.
- Since the start of August, Schwarber has a 114 wRC+, .343 wOBA, and .263 ISO.
- Schwarber leads the league in HR (40), and he’s hit 3 homers across his last six games.
Add Kyle Schwarber to your PrizePicks Lineup now.
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Orioles 1B Pete Alonso
Baltimore Orioles vs. Athletics – 10:05 p.m. ET
Athletics Starting Pitcher: Jack Perkins (11 GS, 3-9, 4.28 xFIP, 36.8% hard-hit, 45.1 FB%)
MLB Weather Report: 82 degrees, clear skies, and 8 mph winds blowing slightly out to LF
- Perkins is in just the 25th percentile in barrel rate (8.9%).
- Over his last nine starts, Perkins has given up at least 1 HR in seven of them.
- Perkins has a 4.67 xFIP, 1.40 WHIP, and 1.62 HR/9 against right-handed sluggers.
- Alonso is posting a 157 wRC+, .393 wOBA, and .256 ISO against righties in 2026.
- Since the start of August, Alonso has tallied a 204 wRC+, .461 wOBA, and .316 ISO.
- In Alonso’s last 5 batted-ball events, 3 of them have been hit at 102+ mph.
Add Pete Alonso to your PrizePicks Lineup now.
Braves 1B Matt Olson
Colorado Rockies vs. Atlanta Braves – 4:10 p.m. ET
Rockies Starting Pitcher: Ryan Feltner (20 GS, 5-8, 4.98 xFIP, 37.9% hard-hit, 40.3 FB%)
MLB Weather Report: 88 degrees, overcast and 19% chance of rain, and 6 mph winds blowing from LF to RF
- Feltner is recording a 5.20 xFIP, 1.68 WHIP, and 1.62 HR/9 against right-handed hitters in 2026.
- On top of that, Feltner is in the fifth percentile in xERA (5.53) and sixth percentile in barrel rate (10.9%).
- Over his last 10 starts, Feltner has surrendered at least a HR in eight of them.
- Olson is logging a 138 wRC+, .375 wOBA, and .292 ISO when facing righties.
- Since the start of August, Olson has a 126 wRC+, .356 wOBA, and .309 ISO.
- Five of Olson’s last 6 batted-ball events have traveled at 102+ mph.
Add Matt Olson to your PrizePicks Lineup now.
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Kyle Schwarber, Pete Alonso, and Matt Olson are all in stellar spots to hit a long ball on Saturday. Who else could go yard to start a new weekend of big-league ball?
Don’t wait until the first pitch — make your home run picks on PrizePicks now and earn real money if you’re right.
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