Spain vs. Belgium Prediction, Pick, Lineups for World Cup Quarterfinals

The second of four World Cup Quarterfinal matches is set for 3 p.m. ET today, as Spain takes on Belgium on Friday, July 10, live on FOX and Telemundo from SoFi Stadium (Los Angeles Stadium).

The winner of the Spain vs. Belgium match has a date in the World Cup Semifinal vs. France on Tuesday, July 14. Spain is on a quest to win their first World Cup since 2010, and Belgium is seeking their first World Cup title.

Ahead of Friday’s quarterfinals match, Spain has a 1.28x payout to advance, with an implied 75% chance to do so, via PrizePicks Team Picks. Belgium has a 3.44x payout and a 25% chance to advance.

Below, we’ll break down our Spain vs. Belgium prediction and player picks for the 2026  World Cup Quarterfinals match, including to advance markets, spread, total goals, and best players for PrizePicks.

Make your Spain vs. Belgium World Cup prediction and picks on PrizePicks now!

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Spain vs. Belgium Prediction, Preview for Spread, Over/Under – World Cup Quarterfinals

How to watch Spain vs. Belgium: FOX (English) / Telemundo/Peacock (Spanish)

Kickoff Time: 3:00 p.m. ET

Venue: SoFi Stadium (Los Angeles Stadium) in Los Angeles, California

Spain hasn’t been the flashiest team in the tournament, but they’ve proven they can win in a variety of ways. Along with a 4-0 win over Saudi Arabia in the group stage and a 3-0 victory against Austria in the Round of 32, La Roja most recently earned a cagey 1-0 win over Portugal in the Round of 16.

To advance to this point, Spain has unsurprisingly been clinical at dominating possession and delivering precise passes, evidenced by them ranking second in average possession (65.6%) and second in accurate passes per match (598.4) in the World Cup, per FotMob.

Spain is also the lone team that has yet to surrender a goal in the 2026 World Cup, and they’ve set a World Cup record by logging six consecutive clean sheets.

Currently, Spain has the third-lowest payout (5x) to win the World Cup on PrizePicks Team Picks, putting them behind France (2.32x) and Argentina (4.76x).

Spain is through the Round of 16 for the first time since 2010; meanwhile, Belgium would set up a Semifinal rematch with France from the 2018 World Cup if they advance.

Belgium easily dispatched the USMNT in the Round of 16, 4-1, and they’ve now tallied 3 or more goals in three consecutive matches. In the lopsided win over the United States, Belgium generated 15 shots (8 in open play), compared to the USA posting only 7 shots (1 in open play), per WhoScored.

Over their first five matches at the tournament, Belgium has the fifth-most goals per match (2.6), fourth-most xG (10.5), and fifth-most shots on target per match (6.4). However, of the teams remaining, Belgium has the second-most xG conceded (6.2).

Belgium has the highest payout to win the World Cup (33.33x), sitting as a long shot to win it all — their path looks like Spain, France, then likely one of Argentina or England.

Spain vs. Belgium: Favorite to Advance, Spread, Total for World Cup Quarterfinals

Spain enters Friday’s game as the favorite, returning a 1.29x payout if they win outright, via PrizePicks Team Picks. Meanwhile, Belgium will hope to generate chances against a compact and formidable Spain back line.

Here are the full payouts for the Spain vs. Belgium match on PrizePicks.

To Advance Payout: Spain – 1.29x | Belgium – 3.33x

Spread: Spain -1.5 (2.7x Payout) 

Total Goals: 2.5 (Over – 1.75x)

Both Teams to Score: Yes 1.75x | No 2x

Make your Spain vs. Belgium prediction on winner, spread, or goals on PrizePicks Team Picks — available in 35 states!

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Payouts show potential returns on correct Team Picks predictions. A 2x payout returns $200 on a $100 entry. Lower multipliers reflect outcomes users are picking as more likely. Payouts are live as of writing and subject to change.

World Cup Quarterfinals: Spain vs. Belgium Prediction on Both Teams to Score

Here are the key stats and trends for Spain vs. Belgium before making your World Cup 2026 predictions on PrizePicks.

• Spain has registered an unbeaten 11-4-0 record over their last 15 matches in all competitions, and they’ve kept a clean sheet in six straight.
• Furthermore, La Roja has conceded 0 goals in 10 of their last 11 games that weren’t international friendlies.
• Throughout the World Cup, Spain has given up only 5 shots on target.
• Belgium took advantage of a USMNT that had the second-most errors leading to a shot (10) in the tournament, per Opta Analyst. 
• Spain has just 2 errors leading to a shot in the World Cup.
• While Belgium has the sixth-highest percentage of aerial duels won (57.1%), Spain has the highest percentage (66.0%), meaning they may be able to stay on the 
• Of the eight teams remaining in the World Cup Quarterfinals, Belgium has the lowest successful pass rate (85.5%).

Lock in your Spain vs. Belgium prediction for the 2026 World Cup now!

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Spain vs. Belgium Lineups for Quarterfinals – Friday, July 10

Here are the projected Spain vs. Belgium lineups for Friday's World Cup Quarterfinal match. Starting XIs are not official and represent consensus projections.

Spain Lineup vs. Belgium Today

Projected Formation: 4-2-3-1

• Goalkeeper: Unai Simón
• Defense: Marc Cucurella, Aymeric Laporte, Pau Cubarsí, Pedro Porro
• Midfield: Pedri, Dani Olmo, Rodri
• Forwards: Álex Baena, Mikel Oyarzabal, Lamine Yamal

Belgium Lineup vs. Spain Today

Projected Formation: 4-2-3-1

• Goalkeeper: Thibaut Courtois
• Defense: Maxim De Cuyper, Nathan Ngoy, Brandon Mechele, Timothy Castagne
• Midfield: Hans Vanaken, Kevin De Bruyne, Youri Tielemans
• Forwards: Leandro Trossard, Charles De Ketelaere, Jeremy Doku

Spain vs. Belgium World Cup Picks, Stats for Quarterfinals Today

Here are the top Spain vs. Belgium picks to target on PrizePicks for Friday, July 10. Today’s World Cup 2026 picks are headlined by Mikel Oyarzabal and Pedro Porro, both on the Spain side.

Spain ST Mikel Oyarzabal vs. Belgium 

Mikel Oyarzabal Projections via PrizePicks: 2.5 Shots, 0.5 Shots on Target (Goblin), 0.5 Goals (Demon)

• Oyarzabal has logged at least 5 shots in three of his five starts in the World Cup.
• Among Spain’s star-studded roster, Oyarzabal has the third-most shots per 90 (4.4) and the second-most shots on target per 90 (2.1).
• Plus, Oyarzabal has 1 or more shots on target in four of his five starts at the 2026 World Cup, including two instances where he had at least 3 shots on target.
• Oyarzabal leads Spain in goals scored (4) and in goals per 90 (0.91).

Combine Spain + Mikel Oyarzabal World Cup picks for bigger payouts on PrizePicks

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Spain RB Pedro Porro vs. Belgium

Pedro Porro Projections via PrizePicks: 47.5 Passes Attempted, 1.5 Shots Assisted, 12.5 Fantasy Score, 0.5 Shots (Goblin)

• Porro is heavily involved in Spain’s attack, and he’s tallied 56 or more passes in two of his three starts in the World Cup.
• Belgium is willing to cede possession to teams and create counterattacks, leading to even more possession for La Roja.
• On top of that, Porro is tied for the most chances created (8) on Spain’s roster.
• In each of his three starts at the 2026 World Cup, Porro has accrued at least 1 shot.

Combine Spain + Pedro Porro World Cup picks for bigger payouts on PrizePicks

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Make Your Spain vs. Belgium Prediction for World Cup 2026 on PrizePicks

Spain has yet to cough up a goal at the 2026 World Cup, and they’ll look to extend their historic clean-sheet streak to seven matches. Can Belgium be the first team to score a goal against La Roja in today’s World Cup Quarterfinals

Don’t wait until kickoff at 3 p.m. ET today. Make your Spain vs. Belgium picks on PrizePicks now and earn real money if you’re right on every World Cup game.

Pick World Cup players, predict More or Less on their stats, and cash in if you’re right. With Team Picks, you can make predictions on World Cup match winners, spreads, and over/unders, now available in 35 states.

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