The second World Cup Quarterfinals matchup takes place on Friday, July 10, with Spain vs. Belgium kicking off at 3:00 p.m. ET on FOX. According to PrizePicks Team Picks, Spain is a notable favorite with a 1.28x payout to advance, compared to Belgium’s 3.44x payout.
La Roja is often given the best chance to take down France, who simply looks unstoppable following another comfortable 2-0 win vs. Morocco in the Quarterfinals. Spain’s loaded roster creates a true contender to win the World Cup, headlined by right winger Lamine Yamal.
Frankly, the Spanish could reach another level with more production from their best player, as Yamal has scored only 1 goal thus far. Could Lamine Yamal change his goal production today?
Let’s look at the Spanish superstar’s matchup vs. Belgium in the World Cup Quaterfinals, including a Lamine Yamal goal for projections on PrizePicks.
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Will Lamine Yamal Score a Goal vs. Belgium in the World Cup Quarterfinals?
A limited role in the group stage has not aided Yamal’s chances of contending for the Golden Boot, joining the likes of France ST Kylian Mbappé, Argentina ST Lionel Messi, England ST Harry Kane, and Norway ST Erling Haaland.
Yamal has a 33.33x payout to win the Golden Boot, but his sights are likely set on helping Spain win their second World Cup title. PrizePicks Team Picks gives La Roja the third-shortest payout to win World Cup 2026 (5x), trailing France (2.32x) and Argentina (4.54x).
If Spain is to lift the title, Yamal may need to up his production. He played for only 19 minutes on Matchday 1 vs. Cape Verde, followed by 45 minutes in his first career World Cup start vs. Saudi Arabia. The 18-year-old phenom, who turns 19 on July 13, scored his only goal of the World Cup on Matchday 2.
Since then, Yamal has featured in a full role, recording 76, 85, and 90 minutes over his last three appearances. If Spain is pushed to extra time in the Quarterfinals, his ability to go the full distance would be in question. But PrizePicks Team Picks gives La Roja a 1.58x payout to win in 90 minutes.
Yamal’s 1 goal isn’t from a lack of volume, as the right winger has posted 74.6 touches (88th percentile) and 9.7 touches in the box per 90 (97th percentile) — via FotMob. That’s contributed to 4.86 shots (97th percentile) and 2.29 shots on target per 90 (100th percentile).
According to Opta Analyst, Yamal has an underwhelming 5.88% conversion rate, paired with -0.26 goals vs. expected goals (xG), but that hasn’t led to any hesitation from the 18-year-old ripping shots.
Ahead of Friday’s World Cup Quarterfinals matchup vs. Belgium, Yamal stated, “The closer we get to the Semifinals, the Finals… the better I play.” We’ll see if that rings true in a matter of hours when Yamal and Spain battle with Belgium.
World Cup projections on PrizePicks suggest another busy day could be ahead. Let’s look at a full list of the right winger’s stat projections vs. Belgium, including Yamal’s chances of scoring a goal.
Lamine Yamal Pick, World Cup Stats to Target vs. Belgium
PrizePicks is offering a special Lamine Yamal Discount for the Spain vs. Belgium World Cup Quarterfinals match. The Discount drops Yamal’s standard 3.5 shot projection to only 2.5 for a limited time!
Alongside the Spain vs. Belgium promo, here’s a full list of Yamal’s projections vs. Belgium.
- 2.5 Shots (Discount)
- 3.5 Shots (Standard)
- 1.5 Shots on Target
- 32.5 Passes Attempted
- 0.5 Goals (Demon)
- 20.5 Fantasy Score
- 7.5 Attempted Dribbles
- 3.5 Crosses
- 1.5 Goal + Assist
- 1.5 Fouls Drawn (Goblin)
- 0.5 Cards (Demon)
- 0.5 Offsides (Demon)
Now that we’ve laid out the options for Yamal’s performance in the World Cup Quarterfinals, which projections are on our radar?
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Spain RW Lamine Yamal vs. Belgium: 7.5 Attempted Dribbles
- Yamal has a gift for making defenders look silly, and that’s carried to World Cup 2026 with 4.86 successful dribbles per 90 (98th percentile).
- Excluding his first two appearances with limited minutes, Yamal has posted 8.7 attempted dribbles per match over his last three appearances.
- He logged only 6 attempted dribbles against Portugal, but that was against one of the best possession teams of the tournament, with Spain winning possession only 55-45.
- When Yamal posted 10.0 attempted dribbles per match over clashes against Uruguay and Austria, Spain logged 67% and 64% possession rates in those wins.
- Belgium just lost possession 56-44 in a dominant 4-1 win over the United States in the Round of 16.
- La Roja has the top remaining average possession (65.6%), while Belgium’s 54.9% average possession is the second-lowest mark among teams in the Quarterfinals.
- Yamal should draw some matchups against Belgium LB Maxim De Cuyper, and he’s been dribbled past 1.41 times per 90 (18th percentile), paired with 4.48 defensive contributions per 90 (22nd percentile).
Spain RW Lamine Yamal vs. Belgium: 0.5 Goals (Demon)
- Will Yamal score a goal vs. Belgium? The Red Devils have conceded 6.2 xG, which is the third-highest mark among teams in the World Cup Quarterfinals.
- Belgium allows 10.6 shots per match (third-highest in the Quarterfinals) and 3.0 shots on target per match, tied for the fourth-highest in the Quarterfinals.
- Opponents attempt 64.2% of their shots in the box against Belgium (third-highest in the Quarterfinals), and that’s flirting with disaster considering Yamal’s 9.7 touches in the box per 90 (97th percentile).
- Belgium’s 14.2 pressed sequences per match is the second-highest among teams in the Quarterfinals, and Yamal can burn the Red Devils thanks to his superior dribbling, potentially leading to good looks on the goal.
- As mentioned, today’s matchup against Belgium LB Maxim De Cuyper could be favorable. It’s certainly a better matchup for Yamal than facing Portugal LB Nuno Mendes in the Round of 16.
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Make Spain vs. Belgium World Cup Quarterfinals Picks on PrizePicks
Will Yamal find the back of the net for the second time at World Cup 2026? Spain’s matchup against Belgium could mean controlling possession, leading to plenty of work for the superstar right winger. If that’s the case, Yamal may have a strong chance of scoring a goal in the World Cup Quarterfinals.
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