We’re into the quarterfinals at the 2026 Canadian Open, and a stellar matchup awaits us between Rafael Jodar vs. Arthur Fils on Monday, August 10. These are two of the best young players on the ATP Tour, and they’ve split their head-to-head 1-1 this season.
Below, we’ll break down our Rafael Jodar vs. Arthur Fils prediction, including recent form, match analysis, and a PrizePicks tennis pick. The match is slated to start at 6:00 p.m. ET this evening on Tennis Channel.
Make your Canadian Open predictions on Jodar vs. Fils on PrizePicks and more matches now!
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Rafael Jodar vs. Arthur Fils Prediction, Favorite for the Canadian Open Quarterfinals
Below are the payouts for who will win Monday’s Jodar vs. Fils match, via PrizePicks Team Picks.
On PrizePicks Team Picks, a 2x payout represents a return of $200 on a $100 entry (or $20 on $10). A lower payout multiplier signals a higher implied probability of that result based on user picks.
Payouts are live at the time of writing and are subject to change. Tennis winner markets are available in 36 states.
Rafael Jodar vs. Arthur Fils Canadian Open Prediction – Monday, August 10
Match Winner Payouts: Jodar 1.69x | Fils 2.08x
Tournament Round: Canadian Open Quarterfinals
2026 Record: Jodar 30-12 | Fils 23-9
Head-to-Head Record: Tied 1-1
Scheduled Time: 6:00 p.m. ET
How to Watch: Tennis Channel
Rafael Jodar continues to enjoy a breakout campaign, with his ranking soaring from outside the top 150 at the start of the year to world No. 15.
Coming into the North American hard court swing, the 19-year-old Brazilian had limited tour-level success on hard courts. However, following a run to the Washington final and advancing to these quarterfinals, he is 7-1 on hard courts this summer.
It’s not like Jodar hasn’t faced quality competition over this stretch, either, as he’s tallied five victories over top-30 opponents. The most recent was a convincing 6-3, 6-3 win over world No. 12 Jiri Lehecka.
One of Jodar’s victims in Washington also included world No. 24 Arthur Fils, tonight’s opponent.
Injuries have hampered Fils’ 2026 campaign, most recently forcing him to miss the French Open in May. That Washington loss marked just his third match since returning to competition, so he’s turned things around quickly to string together three straight wins in Montreal to reach this stage.
While Fils’ fitness remains a slight concern, he’s appeared healthy at the Canadian Open, and he’s dangerous on this surface when at the peak of his powers. He’s 16-6 on hard courts this season, reaching the Doha final, Indian Wells quarterfinals, and Miami semifinals earlier in the season.
Fils also got the better of Jodar back in April at Barcelona, meaning their head-to-head is tied at one apiece.
Assuming the Frenchman’s health is in a better spot than when they last met in Washington, he could give Jodar some trouble tonight.
Make your Jodar vs. Fils prediction and pick to win on PrizePicks now!
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Rafael Jodar vs. Arthur Fils Pick for Canadian Open – Monday, August 10
Arthur Fils Pick — 11.5 Fantasy Score
Note: In PrizePicks tennis fantasy scoring, players earn 10 points to start (match played), games won/lost are +1/-1, sets won/lost at +3/-3, aces are 0.5, while double faults count for -0.5.
According to Tennis Abstract, Fils is projected to have a slight edge in this match with a 53.1% win probability.
Despite the Frenchman’s injury setbacks this season, he owns the eighth-best Elo rating on hard courts while Jodar is 11th, per Tennis Abstract.
Across Fils’ three victories in Montreal, he’s scored 20.5, 24.5, and 22 fantasy points.
In Fils' 7-6(5), 6-3 loss to Jodar in Washington, he called a medical timeout in the second set, suggesting he wasn't 100% in that match. He won 3-6, 6-3, 6-2 in their previous meeting.
Make Your Canadian Open Predictions Today on PrizePicks
Rafael Jodar and Arthur Fils are two phenomenal young talents who could find themselves facing off in the latter stages of tournaments for years to come. Who emerges victorious on Monday?
Don’t wait until Monday’s matches start — make your Canadian Open predictions on PrizePicks now.
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