The 2026 MLB All-Star Week festivities are in full swing, and the iconic Home Run Derby takes place on Monday evening at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia.
The 2026 Home Run Derby field features some of baseball’s top power hitters, including 2025 Home Run Derby runner-up and Tampa Bay Rays 3B Junior Caminero, Chicago White Sox 1B Munetaka Murakami, and New York Yankees 1B Ben Rice.
In addition, the 2026 installment will feature a home flavor with Philadelphia Phillies 1B Bryce Harper and DH Kyle Schwarber competing at their home ballpark.
Entering the All-Star break, Schwarber leads the majors with 32 home runs and is the Home Run Derby favorite, while Harper has blasted 20 long balls of his own.
Since both Harper and Schwarber are extremely familiar with the confines of Citizens Bank Park, do either have what it takes to win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?
Below, we’ll take a look at both Schwarber and Harper's chances to win the Home Run Derby, their Home Run Derby stats, and a player pick for both on PrizePicks tonight.
Make 2026 Home Run Derby picks on PrizePicks tonight!
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Bryce Harper Home Run Derby Stats, Past Results
Harper to Win Home Run Derby Payout: Yes 7.69x | No 1.06x
Harper to Qualify for Round 2 Payout: Yes 1.96x | No 1.78x
Payouts via PrizePicks Team Picks represent real-money multipliers.
Harper is no stranger to participating in the Home Run Derby in front of his home crowd. The two-time NL MVP competed in the 2018 Home Run Derby at Nationals Park as a member of the Washington Nationals.
Harper won the 2018 Home Run Derby and went on to defeat his future teammate, Schwarber, in the Finals. The then-Nationals slugger was the No. 2 seed in the bracket that season and just edged out then-Atlanta Braves 1B Freddie Freeman, 13-12, to move on.
In the Semifinals, Harper bested Los Angeles Dodgers 3B Max Muncy, 13-12, to set up the showdown with Schwarber.
In the Finals, Schwarber belted 18 home runs. When Harper stepped up to the plate, he got off to a fairly slow start before slugging six home runs in the final 30 seconds of his round to tie it up.
Harper earned a 30-second bonus during his round and hit his 19th home run to win the 2018 Home Run Derby crown.
Harper also competed in the 2013 Home Run Derby at Citi Field in his first full season after being called up early in the 2012 campaign. Back in 2013, it wasn’t a bracket-style competition; the four players with the most home runs advanced to the Semifinals.
The nine-time All-Star ended up belting 8 home runs in the First Round and followed it up with an 8-home-run performance in Round 2 to clinch a spot in the Finals against Oakland Athletics OF Yoenis Céspedes. However, Céspedes got the best of Harper, outslugging him 9-8 in the Finals.
Pick Bryce Harper to win the Home Run Derby on PrizePicks now!
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Kyle Schwarber Home Run Derby Stats & Past Results
Schwarber to Win Home Run Derby Payout: Yes 4x | No 1.21x
Schwarber to Qualify for Round 2 Payout: Yes 1.35x | No 3.03x
Payouts via PrizePicks Team Picks represent real-money multipliers.
Schwarber will have his first opportunity to compete in the Home Run Derby in front of his home fans this year.
His first Home Run Derby appearance came in 2018, when he went toe-to-toe with Harper in the Nation’s Capital. Schwarber began the night by defeating Houston Astros 3B Alex Bregman 16-15 in the opening round to advance. The left-handed slugger followed that up by topping former Phillies 1B Rhys Hoskins in the Semifinals, 21-20.
Schwarber ultimately came up one home run short against his future teammate Harper in the Finals that year.
After taking a few years off from the competition, Schwarber participated in the 2022 Home Run Derby at Dodger Stadium as a member of the Phillies.
Schwarber slugged 33 home runs before the All-Star break in his first season with Philadelphia and earned the No. 1 seed in the Home Run Derby as a result.
Schwarber matched up against legendary St. Louis Cardinals slugger Albert Pujols in Round 1. The Phillies’ star ended up belting 19 home runs, but fell to Pujols, 20-19, in a swing-off after the two were tied.
Pick Kyle Schwarber to win the Home Run Derby on PrizePicks now!
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2026 MLB Home Run Derby Picks for Schwarber, Harper Tonight
Here are the top Home Run Derby picks for Bryce Harper and Kyle Schwarber tonight on PrizePicks. PrizePicks offers markets on Round 1 Home Runs hit, Round 1 Home Runs combos — including Schwarber + Harper projected for 19.5, and Longest HR (feet).
Additionally, on PrizePicks Team Picks, you can pick the Home Run Derby winner, Round 2 Qualifiers, and Home Run distance markets — now available in 35 states.
Let's break down one Home Run Derby pick for Schwarber and Harper below.
Phillies 1B Bryce Harper: 8.5 Home Runs in Round 1
- Harper has belted 20 home runs during the first half of the 2026 season, ranking second on the team behind Schwarber.
- The Phillies’ star first baseman has belted at least 9 home runs in one of his two prior Home Run Derby appearances.
- Harper has hit 10 of his 20 home runs at Citizens Bank Park this season.
- Harper's 3 "no doubters" this year ranks 8th among the Derby participants, per Ballpark Pal.
- According to FanGraphs, the 2022 NLCS MVP has tallied a 20.6% home run-to-fly ball rate in 2026, his highest since the 2021 season.
- Per Baseball Savant, the Philadelphia slugger has registered a 46.2% hard-hit rate this season, ranking in the 76th percentile.
- Harper has tallied just a 21.4% squared-up rate throughout the 2026 season, ranking in the 21st percentile.
Phillies DH Kyle Schwarber: 10.5 Home Runs in Round 1
- Schwarber currently leads all MLB sluggers with 32 home runs entering the All-Star break.
- The Phillies DH has blasted at least 16 home runs in Round 1 of the Home Run Derby in each of his previous two appearances.
- Schwarber has belted 19 of his 32 home runs at Citizens Bank Park in 2026.
- The two-time National League home run leader has tallied a 48.3% fly-ball rate this season, the third-highest of his career.
- Schwarber has registered a 19.4% barrel rate in 2026, which ranks in the 98th percentile.
- Per Baseball-Savant’s Park Factors, left-handed sluggers have hit 132 home runs at Citizens Bank Park since the start of the 2024 season, more than at any other ballpark in the majors.
- Schwarber has been on fire this year, leading the Home Run Derby field in expected home runs (26.1), HR candidate Fly Balls (42), 400+ foot fly balls, HRs vs. meatballs (7), and HR vs. in-zone pitches, per Ballpark Pal.
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Make 2026 MLB Home Run Derby Picks on PrizePicks
The 2026 MLB Home Run Derby will have some home-field flavor, as Phillies stars Bryce Harper and Kyle Schwarber are set to compete in the event again. Due to their previous success at the Derby, could Harper or Schwarber take the crown on Monday evening?
Don’t wait until the first pitch happens — make your 2026 MLB Home Run Derby picks on PrizePicks now and earn real money if you’re right.
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