Padres vs. Dodgers Prediction, MLB Picks for Sunday Night Baseball – 7/5/26

Sunday Night Baseball on NBC will feature the San Diego Padres and Los Angeles Dodgers as they wrap up a four-game series on July 5 at 7:20 p.m. ET. The Dodgers are the heavy favorite in this NL West clash, returning a 1.4x payout to come away with the win, via PrizePicks.

With Los Angeles winning each of the first three games of this series, they’ll be looking to bring the brooms out for the sweep. On Saturday, the Dodgers won 3-0, and 1B Freddie Freeman delivered 2 of the 3 runs with a homer and an RBI single.

Below, we'll break down our Padres vs. Dodgers prediction and picks for Sunday’s MLB contest, including the run line, over/under, and key player picks for PrizePicks.

Make your Padres vs. Dodgers picks for Sunday Night Baseball on PrizePicks now!

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Padres vs. Dodgers Prediction, Winner Payout, Over/Under – Sunday, July 5

To conclude the series on Sunday Night Baseball, it will be Padres SP JP Sears (5.32 xFIP across 10.1 IP) and Dodgers SP Emmet Sheehan (3.83 xFIP across 72.2 IP) facing each other on the mound.

It’s a limited sample for Sears this season, but he’s recording a 7.91 xERA and .312 xBA over his first two starts in 2026, per Baseball Savant. Sears has tallied a 4.76 xFIP or worse in each of the last three seasons, so he’s struggled to find his footing in the majors.

On the flip side, Sheehan is in the 74th percentile in strikeout rate (26.1%) and 72nd percentile in walk rate (7.1%), despite also ranking in the 49th percentile in xERA (4.10) and 57th percentile in xBA (.236).

The Dodgers are swinging a hot bat recently, logging the fourth-best wRC+ (129), fifth-best wOBA (.363), and ninth-best ISO (.175) over the last 14 days, via FanGraphs. In the same 14-day span, the Padres have the 10th-best wRC+ (116), ninth-best wOBA (.337), and 16th-best ISO (.169), but it hasn’t been enough to overcome their NL West rival.

SP/DH Shohei Ohtani was inactive for Los Angeles on Saturday after suffering a biceps injury on Friday, so it remains to be seen if he suits up on Sunday.

Padres vs. Dodgers Winner Payout, Over/Under – Sunday, July 5

The Dodgers enter Sunday’s game as a home favorite against the Padres, returning a 1.4x payout if they win outright, via PrizePicks Team Picks.

Here are the full payouts for the Padres vs. Dodgers game on PrizePicks.

• Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (1.85x payout)
• Over/Under: 9.5 (1.81x payout on Over)
• Game Winner Payout: Padres 2.77x | Dodgers 1.4x

Make your Padres vs. Dodgers prediction on spread or over/under on PrizePicks Team Picks to earn real money — available in 35 states!

Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.

Padres vs. Dodgers Prediction on Spread for Sunday Night Baseball – 7/5/26

Here are the key game stats and trends behind our Padres vs. Dodgers prediction on the spread for Sunday, July 5.

• The Dodgers have won seven of the nine meetings against the Padres this season, and five of those victories were decided by multiple runs.
• On the season, San Diego has the fifth-worst wRC+ (90), fourth-worst wOBA (.299), and seventh-highest strikeout rate (23.3%) against right-handed pitching.
• Sears has given up a combined 8 ER, 4 HR, and 13 hits across his first two starts in 2026.
• Just last season, Sears produced a 4.76 xFIP, 1.26 WHIP, 1.50 HR/9, and just an 18.6% strikeout rate on the road.
• The Dodgers boast the third-best wRC+ (110), fifth-best wOBA (.334), and fourth-best ISO (.177) vs. left-handed pitching.
• With this Sunday Night Baseball game taking place at Dodger Stadium, it’s also worth noting that Los Angeles has the ninth-best wRC+ (110), 10th-best wOBA (.332), and fifth-best ISO (.182) at home.

Lock in your Padres vs. Dodgers prediction on PrizePicks now.

Padres vs. Dodgers Picks, Player Stats for PrizePicks: 7/5/26

Here are the top Padres vs. Dodgers picks to target on Sunday, July 5. Today’s MLB picks for PrizePicks include Andy Pages and Fernando Tatis Jr.

Dodgers CF Andy Pages vs. Padres: 5.5 Hitter Fantasy Score

• Andy Pages has been hitting second in the lineup against left-handed pitchers recently.
• Pages has at least 1 hit in 7 of his last 10 games, totaling 3 multi-hit outings, 1 HR, 3 doubles, 5 RBI, and 7 runs during that span.
• When facing southpaws in 2026, Pages is tallying a formidable 129 wRC+, .361 wOBA, and .230 ISO.
• Although it’s a small sample, Sears has a 6.71 xFIP, 1.83 WHIP, 3.52 HR/9, and just a 10.5% strikeout rate against righties. He had a 4.89 xFIP, 1.31 WHIP, 2.05 HR/9, and a 19.7% strikeout rate in that split in 2025.

Add Andy Pages to your PrizePicks Lineup now.

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Padres RF Fernando Tatis Jr. vs. Dodgers: 5.5 Hitter Fantasy Score

• Fernando Tatis Jr. has been heating up at the plate, combining for 3 multi-hit performances, 2 HRs, 5 RBI, 3 doubles, 6 runs, and 2 SBs over his last 10 outings.
• Sheehan is registering a 3.90 xFIP, 1.22 WHIP, and 1.65 HR/9 against right-handed sluggers.
• Plus, Sheehan is in the 17th percentile in barrel rate (10.4%), 46th percentile in hard-hit rate (39.1%), and 25th percentile in groundball rate (37.1%).
• Since the start of June, Tatis has had a solid 131 wRC+, .359 wOBA, .183 ISO, and just an 18.4% strikeout rate.

Add Fernando Tatis Jr. to your PrizePicks Lineup now.

Make Padres vs. Dodgers Picks on PrizePicks

The Dodgers could make it eight wins in their 10 meetings against the Padres this season on Sunday Night Baseball. Will San Diego avoid the series sweep?

Don’t wait until the first pitch happens — make your Padres vs. Dodgers picks on PrizePicks now and earn real money if you’re right.

Pick players, predict More or Less on their stats, and cash in if you’re right. With Team Picks, you can make predictions on game winners, spreads, and over/unders, now available in 35 states.

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