The 2026 Oscars have arrived, and there were plenty of fantastic movies released last year that are among the nominees.
Just to name a few who led in overall nominations: Sinners, One Battle After Another, Hamnet, Marty Supreme, and Sentimental Value have all deservedly received recognition — and plenty of nominations — throughout awards season.
Below, we’ll take a look at the 2026 Oscar nominations across each category and the favorites to win each Oscar at the 98th Academy Awards based on the current predictions from the public on PrizePicks Culture Picks — a prediction market available in 48 states.
Want to make Oscars predictions on who you think will win every Academy Award? PrizePicks Culture Picks is the place to do it. On Culture Picks, you can make your Oscars predictions in every category to earn real-money payouts, including the Academy Awards for Best Picture, Best Actor, Best Actress, and more.
Note: Payout multipliers in each Oscars category are based on the implied probability of each outcome; these payouts reflect market value and user predictions. Lower multipliers indicate the public believes that outcome is more likely. Learn more about prediction markets here.
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What Films Have the Most 2026 Oscar Nominations?
Entering the 2026 Oscars ceremony, Sinners boasts a record-setting 16 nominations. Those nominations include Best Picture, Best Director, Best Actor, Best Supporting Actor, and Best Supporting Actress.
One Battle After Another is expected to be another movie to take home some hardware, earning 13 nominations, including for Best Picture, Best Director, Best Actor, and Best Supporting Actress.
Marty Supreme, Sentimental Value, and Frankenstein are all tied for the third-most nominations (9).
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One Battle After Another is the favorite to win the most Oscars, according to public predictions. The film is the favorite to win six different Oscars at Sunday's awards show.
Picking the Paul Thomas Anderson film to win the most Oscars pays 1.42x — or $142 on a $100 entry — on PrizePicks Culture Picks.
2026 Oscars Best Picture Nominees
One Battle After Another is the current favorite prediction to win Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars, according to user predictions on PrizePicks Culture Picks.
The numbers below represent the real-money payout multipliers for predictions on the Oscars Best Picture winner; a $100 entry on One Battle After Another to win the award pays out $129 if you’re right on PrizePicks.
One Battle After Another: Yes 1.25x | No 3.577x
Sinners: Yes 3.84x | No 1.23x
Hamnet: Yes 22.22x
Sentimental Value: Yes 33.33x
Frankenstein: Yes 33.33x
The Secret Agent: Yes 33.33x
F1: Yes 33.33x
Train Dreams: Yes 33.33x
Bugonia: Yes 33.33x
Tie: Yes 33.33x
Marty Supreme: Yes 33.33x
2026 Oscars Best Director Nominees
Paul Thomas Anderson, director of One Battle of Another, is currently the strong favorite to win Best Director at the 2026 Oscars, according to user predictions on PrizePicks Culture Picks, a prediction market for the Oscars.
A $100 entry on Paul Thomas Anderson to win the Best Director award pays out $106 if you’re right on PrizePicks.
Paul Thomas Anderson (One Battle After Another): Yes 1.06x | No 9.09x
Ryan Coogler (Sinners): Yes 8.33x | No 1.05x
Josh Safdie (Marty Supreme): Yes 33.33x
Tie: Yes 33.33x
Chloe Zhao (Hamnet): Yes 33.33x
Joachim Trier (Sentimental Value): Yes 33.33x
2026 Oscar for Best Actor Nominees
Michael B. Jordan is the current favorite to win Best Actor at the 2026 Oscars for his performance in Sinners, according to user predictions on PrizePicks Culture Picks.
Jordan and Timothee Chalamet were neck-and-neck earlier this week to win the award, but Jordan has separated himself as a clear favorite as the Oscars near.
A $100 entry on Michael B. Jordan to win the Best Actor award pays out $163 if you’re right on PrizePicks.
Michael B. Jordan: Yes 1.63x | No 1.81x
Timothee Chalamet: Yes 2.77x | No 1.4x
Leonardo DiCaprio: Yes 10x | No 1.03x
Wagner Moura: Yes 11.11x | No 1.03x
Ethan Hawke: Yes 33.33x
Tie: Yes 33.33x
2026 Oscar for Best Supporting Actor Nominees
Sean Penn is the current favorite to win Best Supporting Actor at the 2026 Oscars for his performance in One Battle After Another, according to user predictions on PrizePicks Culture Picks.
The numbers below represent the real-money payout multipliers for predictions on the Oscars Best Supporting Actor winner; a $100 entry on Sean Penn to win the award pays out $142 if you’re right on PrizePicks.
Sean Penn: Yes 1.42x | No 2.85x
Stellan Skarsgard: Yes 4.54x | No 1.2x
Delroy Lindo: Yes 7.14x | No 1.09x
Benicio del Toro: Yes 33.33x
Jacob Elordi: 33.33x
Tie: Yes 33.33x
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2026 Oscar for Best Actress Nominees
Jessie Buckley is the clear favorite to win Best Actress at the 2026 Oscars for her performance in Hamnet, according to user predictions on PrizePicks Culture Picks.
A $100 entry on Jessie Buckley to win the Best Actress award pays out just $101 if you’re right on PrizePicks.
Jessie Buckley: Yes 1.01x | No 16.66x
Rose Byrne: Yes 22.22x
Renate Reinsve: Yes 33.33x
Tie: Yes 33.33x
Emma Stone: Yes 33.33x
Kate Hudson: Yes 33.33x
2026 Oscar for Best Supporting Actress Nominees
Amy Madigan is the current favorite to win Best Supporting Actress at the 2026 Oscars for her performance in Weapons, according to user predictions on PrizePicks Culture Picks.
The numbers below represent the real-money payout multipliers for predictions on the Oscars Best Supporting Actress winner; a $100 entry on Amy Madigan to win the award pays out $196 if you’re right on PrizePicks.
Amy Madigan: Yes 1.96x | No 1.78x
Teyana Taylor: Yes 3.12x | No 1.33x
Wunmi Mosaku: Yes 4.34x | No 1.19x
Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas: Yes 16.66x | No 1.01x
Elle Fanning: Yes 33.33x
Tie: Yes 33.33x
2026 Oscar for Best Animated Feature Film Nominees
KPop Demon Hunters is the current favorite to win Best Animated Feature Film at the 2026 Oscars, according to user predictions on PrizePicks Culture Picks.
KPop Demon Hunter is head and shoulders above the next popular pick — Zootopia 2. A $100 entry placed on KPop Demon Hunters to win the Best Animated Feature Film award pays out $103 if you’re right on PrizePicks.
KPop Demon Hunters: Yes 1.03x | No 10x
Zootopia 2: Yes 11.11x | No 1.03x
Elio: Yes 33.33x
Tie: Yes 33.33x
Arco: 33.33x
Little Amelie or the Character of Rain: Yes 33.33x
2026 Oscar for Best Original Screenplay Nominees
Sinners is currently the heavy favorite to win Best Original Screenplay at the 2026 Oscars, according to user predictions on PrizePicks Culture Picks.
A $100 entry on Sinners to win the Best Original Screenplay award pays out $101 if you’re right on PrizePicks.
Sinners: Yes 1.01x | No 16.66x
Marty Supreme: Yes 22.22x
Tie: Yes 33.33x
It Was Just an Accident: Yes 33.33x
Blue Moon: Yes 33.33x
Sentimental Value: Yes 33.33x
2026 Oscar for Best Adapted Screenplay Nominees
One Battle After Another is the clear public favorite to win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 2026 Oscars, according to user predictions on PrizePicks Culture Picks.
For context, an adapted screenplay transforms a book, play, or previous films into a new film, which is what differentiates these nominees from original screenplays. One Battle After Another is loosely adapted from Thomas Pynchon's 1990 novel Vineland.
A $100 entry on One Battle After Another to win the Best Adapted Screenplay award pays out $102 if you’re right on PrizePicks.
One Battle After Another: Yes 1.02x | No 14.28x
Hamnet: Yes 16.66x | No 1.01x
Tie: Yes 33.33x
Train Dreams: Yes 33.33x
Frankenstein: Yes 33.33x
Bugonia: Yes 33.33x
2026 Oscar for Best Cinematography Nominees
One Battle After Another is the current favorite to win Best Cinematography at the 2026 Oscars, according to user predictions on PrizePicks Culture Picks.
A $100 entry on One Battle After Another to win the Best Cinematography award pays out $126 if you’re right on PrizePicks.
One Battle After Another: Yes 1.23x | No 3.84x
Sinners: Yes 4.16x | No 1.2x
Train Dreams: Yes 11.11x | No 1.02x
Marty Supreme: Yes 33.33x
Tie: Yes 33.33x
Frankenstein: Yes 33.33x
2026 Oscar for Best International Feature Film Nominees
Sentimental Value is the current favorite to win Best International Feature Film at the 2026 Oscars, according to user predictions on PrizePicks Culture Picks.
The numbers below are the real-money payout multipliers for predictions on the Oscars Best International Feature Film winner; a $100 entry on Sentimental Value to win the award pays out $147 if you’re right on PrizePicks.
Sentimental Value (Norway): Yes 1.47x | No 2.7x
The Secret Agent (Brazil): Yes 3.33x | No 1.33x
It Was Just an Accident (France): Yes 10x | No 1.04x
Tie: Yes 33.33x
The Voice of Hind Rajab (Tunisia/France): Yes 33.33x
Sirat: Yes 33.33x
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Make 2026 Oscars Predictions on PrizePicks
Which films and actors will be taking home Oscars during the 2026 Academy Awards on Sunday, March 15? After One Battle After Another broke records with 16 nominations, the Paul Thomas Anderson film is the moste likely to lead in overall awards.
While many Oscar categories have clear favorites based on user predictions, others are still up for grabs, according to user predictions on prediction markets, like PrizePicks Culture Picks.
Now, you can earn money with your 2026 Oscars predictions.
Make your 2026 Oscars predictions on PrizePicks Culture Picks and earn real money if you're right. With Culture Picks, make predictions on various subject matters, and cash in if you’re correct, now available in 48 states.
Stick around with Playbook for continued Oscars 2026 predictions and other culture news.
