Drake has not released a solo studio album since 'For All the Dogs' in 2023, but a date has finally been set for his new album, "ICEMAN".
After a ton of hype and teasers for his upcoming solo project, "ICEMAN," Drake finally announced the album will release on Friday, May 15.
Now, the pressing questions begin. Who will be the features on Drake’s new album? Will he dominate the Billboard charts, delivering a boatload of hits?
On PrizePicks Culture Picks offers projections for the latest music release dates and first-week sale numbers. That includes Drake’s “ICEMAN,” featuring projections for who will be featured on the album and much more.
Below, we’ll dig into the projections on PrizePicks Culture Picks for Drake’s upcoming album.
Make your predictions for Drake’s new album "ICEMAN" on PrizePicks Culture Picks now — and earn real money if you're right.
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When is Drake's ICEMAN Album Release Date?
On Monday, April 20, Drake rolled out an extravagant way of announcing his "ICEMAN" album release date. Blocks of ice were placed in downtown Toronto with the release date of “ICEMAN" hidden inside.
On Tuesday, streamer found a poster hidden inside a bag in the ice blocks, announcing May 15 as the official "ICEMAN" release date.
As we all know, release dates can change, though this has the makings of a well-coordinated release. For now, it looks like the project will release before June, but PrizePicks Culture Picks offers payouts for more dates.
The numbers below represent the real-money payout multipliers for when Drake will release "ICEMAN"; a $100 entry on the album releasing before June pays out $101 if you’re right on PrizePicks. Here’s the full list of when Drake will release his highly anticipated project.
- Before May: Yes 33.33x | No N/A
- Before June: Yes 1.01x | No 16.66x
- Before July: Yes N/A | No 22.22x
- Before August: Yes N/A | No 33.33x
Fall and summer have been past popular release windows for Drake’s solo studio albums. “For All the Dogs” was released in October 2023, “Certified Lover Boy” dropped in September 2021, “Nothing Was the Same” was released in September 2013, and “Take Care” hit the public in November 2011.
For the summer slot, “Thank Me Later” was released in June 2010, “Scorpion” dropped in June 2018, and “Honestly, Nevermind” was released in June 2022.
“Views” stands out as the only spring release, coming out in April 2016.
Note: Payout multipliers are based on the implied probability of each outcome; these payouts reflect market value and user predictions. Lower multipliers indicate the public believes that outcome is more likely.
Culture Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.
ICEMAN Features: Who Will Feature on Drake's New Album?
Rap culture is rich with features, leading to itching questions of which stars will team up for the next best hits.
We’ve seen plenty of Drake songs thrive with features, from “Slime You Out” featuring SZA, “Fair Trade” featuring Travis Scott, and "First Person Shooter" featuring J. Cole, which topped the U.S. charts in 2025.
What Drake songs on "ICEMAN" with a feature could become the next smash hit of the summer?
Currently, Sexxy Red, Future, Travis Scott, and Central Cee are among the most likely artists to be featured alongside Drake on "ICEMAN," according to PrizePicks Culture Picks as of writing.
Drake's ICEMAN Features: Artists With the Highest Chance to Feature
Here are the artists wth the highest chance to feature on Drake's "ICEMAN" album, according to user picks on PrizePicks.
Here's how it works: The more picks and money backing one side (Yes or No), the higher the chance that artist is featured on the album.
Make your "ICEMAN" features predictions on PrizePicks and earn money if you're right, including on artists to be featured (or not) on Drake's new album.
Note: the lower the payout multiplier for “Yes,” the higher the implied probability of the outcome — i.e. a 1.19x result has a higher chance than a 1.75x, based on user picks. Payouts are live as of writing and are subject to change.
- Sexyy Red: Yes 1.19x | No 4.16x
- Yeat: Yes 1.2x | No 1.96x
- Central Cee: Yes 1.49x | No 2.38x
- Future: Yes 1.53x | No 2.27x
- Travis Scott: Yes 1.58x | No 1.49x
- Young Thug: Yes 1.69x | No 1.85
- 21 Savage: Yes 1.69x | No 2x
- Morgan Wallen: Yes 1.75x | No 1.92x
- Pimmie: Yes 1.78x | No 1.63x
- EsDeeKid: Yes 2.12x | No 1.35x
- Lil Wayne: Yes 2.56x | No 1.25x
- Nicki Minaj: Yes 2.77x | No 1.04x
- Playboi Carti: Yes 3.33x | No 1.01x
- Lil Yachty: Yes 4.34x | No 1.08x
- J. Cole: Yes 4.76x | No 1.08x
- Metro Boomin: 5.55x | No 1.03x
- SZA: Yes 5.55x | No 1.11x
- Ty Dolla $ign: Yes 5.88x | No 1.03x
- DJ Khaled: Yes 5.88x | No 1.01x
- Kendrick Lamar: Yes 6.25x | No N/A
Sexyy Red stands out as the highest probability to be featured on “ICEMAN,” as she was featured on “Rich Baby Daddy” on “For All the Dogs.” Plus, Drake appeared on Sexyy Red’s “U My Everything” in 2024.
Drake has a tendency to circle back with artists who helped him produce hits.
Travis Scott is another artist who comes to mind. As mentioned, he was featured on “Fair Trade,” which was a part of “Certified Lover Boy” in 2021. Drake was also featured on two of Travis Scott’s biggest hits, “SICKO MODE” and “MELTDOWN.”
Morgan Wallen is another interesting name that stands out, carrying a 1.75x payout to be featured on “ICEMAN.” Will Drake look to bridge genres, featuring the country superstar? The two have made several public appearances together.
Finally, Kendrick Lamar holding a 6.25x to be featured is probably the most attention-grabbing projection.
The two just had legendary beef through 2024 and 2025, with Kendrick looking to embarrass Drake during his Super Bowl halftime show in 2025. Will they squash that beef with a collaboration?
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Drake's ICEMAN Projected Album Sales Projections, Payouts
When major albums are released, projected first-week album sales quickly become a hot topic.
Let’s begin with first-week combined album sales projections for Drake's “ICEMAN," with the most likely outcome between 400 and 450 thousand album sales.
ICEMAN: First Week Combined Album Sales Projections
Combined album sales totals consumption for physical and digital album sales. This is usually the number reported by most news outlets.
Here are some of the projected first-week combined album sales for Drake's "ICEMAN" on PrizePicks Culture Picks.
- At least 400,000 albums: Yes 1.42x | No 2.5x
- At least 450,000 albums: Yes 1.42x | No 2.08x
- At least 500,000 albums: Yes 1.69x | No 1.85x
- At least 550,000 albums: Yes 1.88x | No 1.44x
- At least 600,000 albums: Yes 2.56x | No 1.35x
- At least 650,000 albums: Yes 2.85x | No 1.16x
- At least 700,000 albums: Yes 2.77x | No 1.16x
- At least 900,000 albums: Yes 4.34x | No 1.02x
- At least 950,000 albums: Yes 5.26x | No N/A
- At least 1,000,000 albums: Yes 7.14x | No N/A
Drake’s highest first-week combined sales were 1.04 million from “Views” in 2016. “Scorpion” produced 732,000 sales in 2018, followed by 658,000 first-week sales from “Nothing Was the Same” in 2013.
“For All the Dogs” was Drake’s last solo album, producing 402,000 first-week combined sales.
ICEMAN: First Week Pure Album Sales Projections
Pure sales look at physical sales from CDs, vinyls, and more, paired with purchases on digital formats, like iTunes or Amazon. I
n a world ruled by the internet, artists have found ways to boost pure sales with a spike in the popularity of vinyl while tying digital sales to purchasing merchandise.
Check out first-week pure album sale projections for “ICEMAN.”
- At least 15,000 albums: Yes 1.11x | No 3.12x
- At least 20,000 albums: Yes 1.28x | No 2.56x
- At least 25,000 albums: Yes 1.28x | No 2.27x
- At least 30,000 albums: Yes 1.38x | No 2x
- At least 40,000 albums: Yes 1.56x | No 1.78x
- At least 50,000 albums: Yes 1.78x | No 1.51x
- At least 100,000 albums: Yes 2.27x | No 1.35x
- At least 150,000 albums: Yes 2.56x | No 1.2x
- At least 200,000 albums: Yes 3.22x | No 1.08x
- At least 250,000 albums: Yes 4x | No 1.03x
- At least 500,000 albums: Yes 9.09x | No N/A
Pure album sales are usually a steep drop-off from combined sales, proven by about 158,000 pure sales for “Scorpion,” which had 732,000 combined sales.
“Views” didn’t see the same drop-off, generating 852,000 pure album sales compared to about 1.04 million combined sales.
“For All the Dogs” posted about 11,000 pure album sales, falling way under its 402,000 combined sales.
Much of this comes down to how Drake releases “ICEMAN.” Will he have vinyl pre-orders, tie digital sales to merchandise purchases, or find other ways to drive pure sales?
That's something to watch for in the coming weeks and can significantly shift movement in these projections as we learn more.
According to PrizePicks Culture Picks, Drake has a 1.02x payout for a No. 1 album chart on the Billboard 200 this year.
Will “ICEMAN” hit No. 1 and drive high first-week sales? What about singles, or other tracks from the album hitting the top of the charts?
A lot is unknown about this new Drake album, but after leaving fans dry for years, fans are clamoring for a new record — and that could elevate this album's sales and plays across platforms.
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Make Predictions for Drake's ICEMAN Album on PrizePicks
If Drake sticks to his May 15 release date, we are about three weeks out from one of the most anticipated album releases of 2026 — and Drake's first album in over three years.
Don’t wait until it drops — make your Drake “ICEMAN” predictions on PrizePicks now and earn real money if you’re right.
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