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How Many 2026 Oscars Will 'Sinners' Win Tonight? Oscars Prediction

Director Ryan Coogler and "Sinners" cast celebrate at the 57th NAACP Image Awards.
AP Photo/Chris Pizzello

The 2026 Academy Awards will hand out Oscars to the best films of the year on Sunday, March 15, at 7:00 p.m. ET on ABC. 

"Sinners” is one of the movies drawing the most attention for the 2026 Oscars, as its 16 nominations set an all-time Academy Awards record. But will that translate to a big night for the vampire epic set in 1930s Mississippi? 

How many 2026 Oscars will “Sinners” win at the 98th Academy Awards? Let’s look at nominations for “Sinners” and highlight Oscars winner payouts on PrizePicks Culture Picks — a prediction market offering Oscars predictions.

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All 2026 Oscars Nominations For 'Sinners'  

Before “Sinners” crashed the party with the most Academy Awards nominations (16), “La La Land” (2016), “Titanic” (1997), and “All About Eve” (1950) were tied at 14 nominations for an Oscars record.

Here’s the list for every 2026 Oscars nomination for “Sinners.”

  • Best Picture
  • Best Director – Ryan Coogler
  • Best Actor – Michael B. Jordan
  • Best Supporting Actor – Delroy Lindo
  • Best Supporting Actress – Wunmi Mosaku
  • Best Original Screenplay
  • Best Casting
  • Best Cinematography
  • Best Original Score
  • Best Original Song
  • Best Film Editing
  • Best Production Design
  • Best Costume Design
  • Best Makeup and Hairstyling
  • Best Sound
  • Best Visual Effects
Find the 2026 Oscars predictions from the public for every award here

While “Sinners” boasts an eye-popping 16 nominations, “One Battle After Another” isn’t far behind at 13. Sunday night could become a back-and-forth affair, with the two competing to become the big winner of the 2026 Oscars.

PrizePicks Culture Picks features Yes or No for “Sinners,” “One Battle After Another,” and more to win the most 2026 Oscars. “One Battle After Another” is favored to win the most, carrying a 1.33x payout. “Sinners” holds a 3.03x payout for the category, with the remaining candidates at 33.33x.


How Many Oscars Will Sinners Win?

Will 16 nominations lead to a truckload of wins for “Sinners” at the 98th Academy Awards? 

Despite a record number of nominations, "Sinners" may realistically land somewhere between three to five Oscar wins tonight, based on user Oscars predictions.

Among a smorgasbord of options for the 2026 Oscars on PrizePicks Culture Picks, “Sinners” features the lowest payouts (and highest implied probability) to win Best Original Screenplay (1.02x), Michael B. Jordan for Best Actor (1.72x), and Best Music (1.04x) — a favorite for all three awards.

According to PrizePicks Culture Picks, director Ryan Coogler’s film is the runner-up favorite to win multiple Academy Awards, including Best Picture (4.34x) and Coogler for Best Director (9.09x). 

“Sinners” to win exactly four Oscars carries a 3.12x payout, which is the outcome with the highest implied probability based on payouts. That's followed by 3.33x payout for five wins and a 5x payout for three wins, via PrizePicks Culture Picks, now available in 48 states.

Director Paul Thomas Anderson’s “One Battle After Another” could be trending toward becoming the champion of the night as the favorite to win Best Picture (1.26x) and Best Director (1.06x).

However, payouts on PrizePicks Culture Picks suggest the film is likely to fall short of securing the most Academy Award wins, set by “Ben-Hur” (1959), “Titanic” (1997), and “The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King” (2003) with 11 Oscars.

All 2026 Oscars predictions are the opinions of writers who are not investment professionals. Picks are not based on PrizePicks Culture Picks payout multipliers, and are not recommendations to trade.

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Make 2026 Oscars Picks on PrizePicks

“Sinners” has become the most nominated movie in Oscars history — no small feat for the Michael B. Jordan-led film.

Despite that, it may not have a historic night when it comes to actual wins; the outcome with the highest implied probability via prediction markets is four Oscar wins for "Sinners".

You can make your 2026 Oscars predictions on PrizePicks Culture Picks and earn real money. From movies to music, Culture Picks has everything pop culture in one place. Just make your predictions on various subject matters and earn rewards if you’re correct, now available in 48 states.

Keep tabs on the Playbook for continued Culture Pick predictions, including on the 2026 Oscars.

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Team Picks and Culture Picks are event contracts offered by Performance Predictions II, LLC d/b/a PrizePicks Predict, a CFTC-registered FCM and NFA Member. All event contract customers must be U.S. residents and 18+. Some event contracts may not be available in every state. Event contract trading carries significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. No guarantee against loss is offered. Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results. Void where prohibited by law. Restrictions apply. For full terms of service see prizepicks.com/predict-regulatory. Team and Culture Pick Early Payouts subject to market liquidity. The content provided is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, or a recommendation to trade any commodity interest.

about the author

Riley Thomas is a 2021 graduate of Ohio University who has worked for FanDuel Sportsbook and BetUS Sportsbook. He specializes in covering the NFL, NBA, college football, and college basketball. In Riley's free time, you can find him cheering on Ohio State and Kentucky or playing video games and reading the latest comics.

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