The stage is set for a must-watch fight at UFC 326 as Max Holloway vs. Charles Oliveira 2 headlines theUFC 326 main event, with the BMF title on the line in Las Vegas.
Two UFC legends will go head-to-head in Holloway vs. Oliveira, set for a rematch 11 years after their first fight in 2015, which Holloway won with a first-round KO.
Holloway enters as a favorite to win the rematch, but he'll have to fend off the sport's most prolific finisher in Oliveira on Saturday night at UFC 326, with the fight expected to start at 11:30 p.m. ET.
Find our Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 prediction and UFC 326 expert pick for Saturday's main event title fight below, including PrizePicks UFC pick and key stats for this UFC BMF title fight.
We'll look at the keys to the fights for both fighters to claim the BMF belt in the Holloway vs. Oliveira main event. Will Oliveira avenge his defeat and become the new BMF champ, or will he wilt under Holloway's pace and pressure at UFC 326?
You can predict UFC winners on PrizePicks Team Picks and earn money if you're right, including on Holloway vs. Oliveira 2, now available in 35 states.
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Max Holloway vs. Charles Oliveira 2 Preview: BMF Title Fight at UFC 326
Max Holloway arrives at UFC 326 as the reigning BMF champion, boasting a legendary resume built on historic striking volume. "Blessed" enters this lightweight bout following a massive win over Dustin Poirier, looking to firmly cement his legacy.
Holloway’s ability to drown opponents with endless boxing combinations creates a suffocating pace that severely tests their conditioning. Look for the Hawaiian star to heavily lean on his forward pressure to dictate the terms of the fight.
Charles Oliveira enters as the UFC's all-time submissions (17) and finishes (21) record holder in UFC history, eagerly chasing a chance to avenge his 2015 loss to Holloway.
The former lightweight champion has consistently dazzled fans with his lethal grappling, recently securing a statement submission win over Mateusz Gamrot.
However, "Do Bronxs" faces a massive test against a familiar rival equipped with an iron chin and stellar takedown defense. If Oliveira navigates Holloway’s relentless volume and finds early openings for his submissions, he could leave Las Vegas with the BMF belt.
Max Holloway vs. Charles Oliveira Payouts for UFC 326
The BMF champ Max Holloway enters this title defense as the favorite, returning a 1.63x payout on PrizePicks Team Picks if he wins.
Charles Oliveira comes into his first shot at the BMF title as the underdog with a 2.17x payout if he wins, via PrizePicks Team Picks.
The five-round fight is projected to finish inside the distance, with the payout to last all five rounds priced at 2.56x payout.
Fight Winner Payout: Max Holloway 1.47x ($100 pays out $147) | Charles Oliveira 2.56x
Holloway vs. Oliveira Method of Victory Payouts: Holloway by KO/TKO/DQ (2.5x payout), Holloway by Decision (3.44x payout)l, Oliveira by Submission (3.84x payout)
Holloway vs. Oliveira To Go the Distance? Payouts: Yes – 2.56x | No – 1.47x
Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.
Max Holloway vs. Charles Oliveira Prediction for UFC 326 Main Event
Here are some UFC stats to help you make your Max Holloway vs. Charles Oliveira 2 in the BMF title fight at UFC 326 on Paramount+. Make your Holloway vs.Oliveira prediction on PrizePicks Team Picks and earn money if you're right.
- Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 is scheduled for five rounds, offering a high-stakes BMF title rematch over a decade after their first brief encounter in 2015.
- Holloway’s legendary chin and elite takedown defense will be his primary shields — he has absorbed over 2,400 career significant strikes.
- Holloway has only been finished via strikes once in his 31-fight UFC career.
- 'Blessed' averages a staggering 7.20 significant strikes landed per minute, holding the all-time UFC record for most significant strikes landed (3,655).
- Oliveira will rely on this suffocating striking volume to drown Oliveira.
- Oliveira counters with the most lethal finishing pedigree in the sport, boasting all-time UFC records for both total finishes (21) and submission victories (17).
- 'Do Bronxs' must utilize his aggressive grappling and clinch work to create chaos vs. Holloway, leaning on a dangerous arsenal that has secured 71% of his career wins via submission.
- While Holloway holds the distinct cardio and boxing advantage in the championship rounds, Oliveira’s opportunistic front-headlock series and back-takes make him a live threat to finish the fight during any scramble.
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Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 Start Time, How to Watch UFC 326
Date: Saturday, March 7, 2026
Time: Main Card – 9 p.m. ET | Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 Start Time – 11:30 p.m. ET (estimate)
Location: T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, Nevada
TV: Paramount+
Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 Stats – Tale of the Tape
Here are the key stats to know for Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 in the UFC 326 main event for the BMF Title.
Max Holloway Stats for UFC 326
Overall Record: 27-8-0
UFC Record: 23-8
Last 5 Fights: 4-1
Height: 5’11”
Reach: 69”
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute: 7.20
Takedowns Landed Per 15 Minutes: 0.24
Last Fight: Win vs. Dustin Poirier by Decision
Finishes: 14 (12 KO/TKO/2 SUB)
Charles Oliveira Stats for UFC 326
Overall Record: 36-11-0 (1 NC)
UFC Record: 24-11
Last 5 Fights: 3-2
Height: 5’11”
Reach: 74”
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute: 3.35
Takedowns Landed Per 15 Minutes: 2.22
Last Fight: Win vs. Mateus Gamrot by Submission
Finishes: 32 (10 KO/TKO/22 SUB)
Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 Pick for UFC 326 Main Event
Here is our Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 pick for the BMF title fight at UFC 326 for PrizePicks. All picks are available via PrizePicks MMA board — pick fighters and win money if your UFC 326 picks are right.
Max Holloway – 92.5 Significant Strikes
- Max Holloway lands 7.20 significant strikes per minute across his UFC career with an average fight time of 16:23.
- Holloway vs. Oliveira is scheduled for five rounds, five minutes each.
- "Blessed" has landed 458 significant strikes (152.6 average) in his last three UFC fights.
- Holloway regularly competes in five-round championship bouts, recently going deep into the fifth round against Dustin Poirier (landed 198 significant strikes) and Justin Gaethje (landed 181 significant strikes)/
- Against Charles Oliveira's aggressive, forward-moving style, Holloway should leverage his 7.20 significant strikes landed per minute against a fighter who absorbs 3.24 strikes per minute.
- Even as the underdog in this fight, Holloway's 93 total significant strikes projection aligns with his typical output before the championship rounds even begin.
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Make Your Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 Picks on PrizePicks
The main event at UFC 326 brings us the fifth edition of the BMF title. The reigning and defending champion Max Holloway vs. former lightweight champion Charles Oliveira will face off in a rematch that’s 11 years in the making.
The UFC 326 main event Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 is scheduled for 11:30 p.m. ET on Paramount+, live from T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, this Saturday, March 7.
You can win real money by locking in your UFC 326 predictions on PrizePicks — from the first fight of the night all the way to the BMF title fight. Pick your fighters, and win cash if you're right. You can also predict winners in every UFC fight on PrizePicks Team Picks, now available in 30 states.
Keep it locked in here with PrizePicks and the Playbook for continued UFC picks, predictions, and news.
