UFC makes its return to Las Vegas for UFC 326 as Max Holloway vs. Charles Oliveira 2 headlines the main card on Saturday night in a BMF title fight.
The UFC 326 main card is set to start at 9 p.m. ET on Paramount+ from T-Mobile Arena, with stacked fights between rising contenders, including Caio Borralho vs. Reinier de Ridder in the co-main event and Rob Font vs. Raul Rosas Jr. in a bantamweight bout.
Check out our UFC 326 predictions and PrizePicks picks for Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 and every main card fight. Make your UFC 326 picks on PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks and earn real money if you’re right, including on fight winners, method of victory, and more!
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UFC 326 Predictions for Main Card Fights
Here are the top UFC 326 predictions to target for Saturday, March 7, on PrizePicks.
Below are the payouts for each fight on the UFC 326 main card. With PrizePicks Team Picks, you can make predictions on winners, method of victory, and more for each fight at UFC 326, now available in 34 states.
Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.
Max Holloway vs. Charles Oliveira Prediction for UFC 326
Holloway vs. Oliveira Winner Payouts: Max Holloway 1.44x | Charles Oliveira 2.56x (via PrizePicks Team Picks)
Weight Class: Lightweight – 155 lbs.
UFC 326 Pick: Charles Oliveira – 48.5 Significant Strikes
- Holloway vs. Oliveira is a five-round fight in the UFC 326 main event.
- Charles Oliveira lands 3.35 significant strikes per minute over an average fight time of 7:30.
- "Do Bronx" will be facing Max Holloway, who takes one to give one — he absorbs 4.74 significant strikes per minute.
- In his last major five-round victory against Michael Chandler, Oliveira showcased high-impact efficiency by landing 88 significant strikes over five rounds.
- The Brazilian legend has evolved into a dangerous pressure striker, landing 73 significant strikes vs. Dustin Poirier and 88 vs. Michael Chandler, proving he can surpass this projection if this fight gets to the championship rounds.
Caio Borralho vs. Reinier de Ridder Prediction for UFC 326
Borralho vs. de Rider Fight Winner Payouts: Caio Borralho 1.38x | Reinier de Ridder 2.77x
Weight Class: Middleweight – 185 lbs.
UFC 326 Pick: Reinier de Ridder – 25.5 Significant Strikes
- Reinier de Ridder lands just 2.20 significant strikes per minute across his UFC career.
- "The Dutch Knight" faces an elite defensive hurdle in Borralho, who absorbs only 2.50 significant strikes per minute and boasts a 60% strike defense rate.
- De Ridder’s striking is almost entirely a setup for his grappling — in his UFC debut against Gerald Meerschaert, he landed less than 40 strikes in four of his five fights.
- Against the high-level takedown defense of "The Natural" (76% TDD), de Ridder may have to spend significant energy on failed entries and clinch battle.
- If that's the case, de Ridder may spend significant time on his feet, where he is not as comfortable controlling the fight.
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Rob Font vs. Raul Rosas Jr. Prediction for UFC 326
Font vs. Rosas Jr. Winner Payouts: Rob Font 2.7x | Raul Rosas Jr. 1.42x (via PrizePicks Team Picks)
Weight Class: Bantamweight – 135 lbs.
UFC 326 Pick: Rob Font – 26.5 Significant Strikes
- Rob Font lands an elite 5.36 significant strikes per minute across his UFC career.
- Font's average fight time is 13:09, which consistently allows his high-volume boxing to take over.
- The Massachusetts native has effortlessly cleared this significant strikes projection in his recent three-round decisions, with 49 vs. David Martinez, 95 vs. Jean Matsumoto, 61 vs. Kyler Phillips, and 46 vs. Deiveson Figueiredo.
- Font's offensive output is so relentless that he won't necessarily need an extended fight to hit this projection; Font landed 33 significant strikes in just 2 minutes and 57 seconds during his first-round stoppage of Adrian Yanez.
- While Raul Rosas Jr. typically relies on his grappling to suppress damage, his recent fight vs. Christian Rodriguez proved that when Rosas is denied early submissions and forced into extended striking exchanges, he will absorb volume — taking 29 significant strikes in their three-round bout.
Drew Dober vs. Michael Johnson Prediction for UFC 326
Dober vs. Johnson Winner Payouts: Drew Dober 1.92x | Michael Johnson 1.75x (via PrizePicks Team Picks)
Weight Class: Lightweight – 155 lbs.
UFC 326 Pick: Michael Johnson – 49.5 Significant Strikes
- Michael Johnson lands 4.28 significant strikes per minute over his extensive UFC career, a metric that translates to approximately 64 strikes in a standard 15-minute fight.
- "The Menace" has landed more than his significant strikes projection comfortably in his most recent fights, landing 80 significant strikes in his 2025 victory over Daniel Zellhuber and 61 vs. Darrius Flowers.
- Drew Dober is a willing trade partner in the octagon, absorbing a high 4.34 significant strikes per minute and boasting a 52% striking defense.
- Dober has allowed his opponents to land at least 51 strikes in two of his last three fights.
- In fights that go to decision, Johnson’s output is remarkably consistent — he has landed more than 50 significant strikes in seven of his last ten fights that lasted at least two full rounds (10 minutes).
- PrizePicks projects the Dober vs. Johnson fight to last 11.25 minutes.
Gregory Rodrigues vs. Brunno Ferreira Prediction for UFC 326
UFC 326 Pick: Rodrigues vs. Ferreira – 1.5 Total Rounds
Rodrigues vs. Ferreira Winner Payouts: Gregory Rodrigues 1.53x | Brunno Ferreira 2.32x (via PrizePicks Team Picks)
Weight Class: Middleweight – 185 lbs.
- Greory Rodrigues previously faced Brunno Ferreira at UFC 283 in 2023, with Ferreira winning by knockout in the first round.
- Since then, Rodrigues has significantly slowed his pace to prioritize defense, increasing his average fight time to 8:59 and improving his striking defense to a respectable 50%.
- Ferreira has shown a newfound patience in his recent elite-level fights, notably taking former middleweight title challenger Marvin Vettori to a decision.
- Rodrigues owns an elite 75% takedown defense and lands 1.93 takedowns per 15 minutes, allowing him to initiate clinches and chew clock against the fence to neutralize Ferreira’s first-round blitz.
- In the last two years, Rodrigues was only finished once, by Jared Cannonier, after slowing down in the later rounds.
- Ferreira bolsters an iron chin, as he's only been knocked out once in his MMA career — a 2023 first-round KO — keeping the Brazilian in fights even against power punchers like Rodrigues.
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Make UFC 326 Predictions on PrizePicks
UFC 326 is headlined by Max Holloway vs. Charles Oliveira 2, is set to be an exciting BMF main event on Saturday night, streaming live on Paramount+. The UFC 326 main card gives plenty of important fights on the main card, including Caio Borralho vs. Reinier de Ridder in the co-main event.
Before the UFC 326 card gets underway, head to the PrizePicks app to make your fight predictions.
Pick More or Less on two or more fighter projections in UFC 326, headlined by Max Holloway vs. Charles Oliveira 2, and lock in your picks to win real money on the fights if you're right. You can also predict UFC fight winners, method of victory, and more on PrizePicks Team Picks, now available in 34 states.
Keep it locked in here with PrizePicks and the Playbook for continued UFC picks, predictions, and news.
