Diamondbacks vs. Dodgers Prediction, MLB Picks for Sunday, July 12

July 12, 2026

MLB
AP Photo/David Zalubowski
Dodgers SP Emmet Sheehan in the first inning vs. the Rockies in an NL West clash.

Sunday, July 12, is the final day of MLB action before the All-Star break, with the Home Run Derby taking place on Monday, followed by the All-Star game on Tuesday. On the West Coast, the Arizona Diamondbacks (48-47) and the Los Angeles Dodgers (61-35) wrap up a three-game series today at 4:10 p.m. ET. 

According to PrizePicks Team Picks, the Dodgers enter today’s game as favorites with a 1.4x payout if they win. However, the Diamondbacks have already secured a series win with back-to-back wins as underdogs on Friday and Saturday. 

Who will enter the All-Star break with good momentum following a win on Sunday? Let’s break down the National League West rivalry, highlighting a Diamondbacks vs. Dodgers prediction and picks for Sunday’s MLB matchups, including the run line, over/under, and key player picks for PrizePicks.

Make your Diamondbacks vs. Dodgers picks on PrizePicks now!

{{mlb_offer_banner="/style-system/ui-components-playbook"}}

Diamondbacks vs. Dodgers Prediction, Winner Payout, Over/Under – Sunday, July 12

The Diamondbacks have won three consecutive games, including back-to-back dubs vs. the Dodgers. But it may be too late to overtake Los Angeles for first place in the NL West.

L.A. still holds a comfortable 12.5-game lead at the top of the division, paired with a 1.5-game lead for first place in the National League. According to PrizePicks Team Picks, the Dodgers currently return a 22.22x payout if they do not win the NL West and sport the lowest payout to win the 2026 World Series (2.77x).

Arizona’s focus is likely on making the playoffs, as it is 3.5 games behind the final Wild Card spot in the National League. The D-backs feature a 3.12x payout to qualify for the 2026 MLB Playoffs, via PrizePicks Team Picks.

For the final contest before the All-Star break, Diamondbacks SP Mitch Bratt (0-0, 4.12 xFIP in 3.0 IP) and Dodgers SP Emmet Sheehan (4-6, 3.95 xFIP in 77.0 IP) will duel on the mound. This is Bratt’s second start in the big leagues, while Sheehan has given up only 2 earned runs with a 1.93 ERA over his last two appearances.


Diamondbacks vs. Dodgers Winner Payout, Over/Under – Sunday, July 12

Sunday’s weather could create a hitter-friendly environment, as RotoGrinders’ MLB Weather Report is calling for temperatures in the mid-80s and 8 mph winds blowing to center field. According to Ballpark Pal, Dodger Stadium carries the highest home run factor (+32%) on Sunday, combining stadium and weather factors.

With that said, the weather is contributing to today’s high 9.5 run total on PrizePicks Team Picks. The over returns a 1.92x payout, paired with the Dodgers carrying a 1.4x payout if they win.

Check out the spread, over/under, and game winner payouts for the Diamondbacks vs. Dodgers on Sunday, via PrizePicks Team Picks.

  • Spread: Dodgers -1.5 (1.85x payout)
  • Over/Under: 9.5 (1.92x payout on Over)
  • Game Winner Payout: Diamondbacks 2.77x | Dodgers 1.4x 
Make your Diamondbacks vs. Dodgers prediction on the winner or over/under on PrizePicks Team Picks to earn real money — available in 35 states!

Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.


Diamondbacks vs. Dodgers Prediction on Over/Under – 7/12/26

Will today’s weather lead to a high run total? Here’s what you need to know for your Diamondbacks vs. Dodgers prediction on the over/under for PrizePicks.

  • The NL West rivals combined for 12 and 11 runs in the first two games of this series. Arizona carried the load with 9 runs in each contest, headlined by 2.0 home runs per game in the split.
  • Dodgers SP Emmet Sheehan allows 1.75 HR/9 and a 15.6% home run-to-fly ball ratio (HR/FB) that are above the 1.18 and 11.8% league averages, per FanGraphs.
  • However, the D-backs record just 0.9 big flies per contest (28th) and carry a .379 xSLG (fourth-lowest), via Baseball Savant.
  • In Diamondbacks SP Mitch Bratt’s only MLB start, he was featured for three innings while posting 54 pitches. Most of today’s work could fall on the bullpen.
  • Arizona’s relievers allow 0.98 HR/9 (eighth-fewest) and a 10.4% HR/FB (tied for 11th-lowest). 
  • The Dodgers logged only 0.8 HRs per game over their last five games, compared to their 1.3 per-game average on the season (fifth-most).
  • We could see each batting order’s power kept in check. If that’s the case, Los Angeles posted only 3.0 runs per game over the last four contests. Including Arizona’s back-to-back games with 9 runs, it’s been held to 4 or fewer runs in three of the past five games. 
Lock in your Diamondbacks vs. Dodgers prediction on PrizePicks before the first pitch.

Diamondbacks vs. Dodgers Picks, Player Stats for PrizePicks Today

Here are the top Diamondbacks vs. Dodgers picks to target on PrizePicks on Sunday, July 12. Today’s MLB picks for PrizePicks include Nolan Arenado and Emmet Sheehan.

Diamondbacks 3B Nolan Arenado vs. Dodgers: 3.5 Hitter Fantasy Score

  • If the Diamondbacks still find a way to go yard today, it may be thanks to Nolan Arenado. He’s hit a home run in two of his last three games.
  • Furthermore, the veteran third baseman is slugging .545 in July, compared to his .413 season-long mark.
  • Arenado’s 43.2% fly ball rate (FB%) is above the 39.0% league average, and his 35.5% launch angle sweet-spot rate ranks in the 63rd percentile.
  • Backed by good lift, he could take advantage of today’s eye-popping +32% home run factor in Dodger Stadium.
  • Dodgers SP Emmet Sheehan surrenders a concerning 45.5 FB% and a 9.9% barrel rate (18th percentile) that could allow Arenado to find his sweet spot for good lift.
  • Arenado has posted a 12.8 hitter fantasy score per game over his last four appearances.
Add Nolan Arenado to your PrizePicks Lineup now.

{{mlb_offer_banner="/style-system/ui-components-playbook"}}

Dodgers SP Emmet Sheehan vs. Diamondbacks: 5 Strikeouts

  • Emmet Sheehan has a 1.93 ERA over his last two starts, but his strong outings still led to only 4.6 innings pitched per appearance. 
  • Those limited showings fueled 5.0 strikeouts per start, meaning Sheehan has failed to eclipse 5 Ks in five of his last six outings.
  • Baseball Savant gives the righty a strong 26.1% strikeout rate  (75th percentile), but his volume is regularly limited due to 4.9 IP per start on the season.  
  • If Arizona can take advantage of his home run weakness in favorable weather, another short start could be ahead.
  • Further, the Diamondbacks have a 19.6 K% that ranks as baseball’s second-lowest mark.
  • The D-backs rarely swing and miss with a 9.4% swinging-strike rate (third-lowest) that should help combat Sheehan’s 30.8% whiff rate (87th percentile).
Add Emmet Sheehan to your PrizePicks Lineup now.

Make Diamondbacks vs. Dodgers Picks on PrizePicks

Will the Diamondbacks continue their hot streak at the plate and complete the sweep ahead of the MLB All-Star break? The Dodgers will carry a comfortable lead in the NL West into the break, regardless of a win or loss on Sunday afternoon.

Don’t wait until the first pitch — make your Diamondbacks vs. Dodgers picks on PrizePicks now and earn real money if you’re right.

Pick players, predict More or Less on their stats, and cash in if you’re right. With Team Picks, you can make predictions on game winners, spreads, and over/unders, now available in 35 states.

Stay locked in on Playbook for daily MLB predictions, picks, and news every day all the way through the 2026 MLB season.

Team Picks and Culture Picks are event contracts offered by Performance Predictions II, LLC d/b/a PrizePicks Predict, a CFTC-registered FCM and NFA Member. All event contract customers must be U.S. residents and 18+. Some event contracts may not be available in every state.Event contract trading carries significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. No guarantee against loss is offered. Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.Void where prohibited by law. Restrictions apply. For full terms of service see prizepicks.com/predict-regulatory. Team and Culture Pick Early Payouts subject to market liquidity. The content provided is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, or a recommendation to trade any commodity interest.

Riley Thomas is a 2021 graduate of Ohio University who has worked for FanDuel Sportsbook and BetUS Sportsbook. He specializes in covering the NFL, NBA, college football, and college basketball. In Riley's free time, you can find him cheering on Ohio State and Kentucky or playing video games and reading the latest comics.