The Canadian Open women’s semifinals take place on Wednesday night, with a top-five matchup between Coco Gauff and Elena Rybakina as the headliner. Both players are two-time Grand Slam champions and are each seeking their first Canadian Open title.
Below, we’ll break down our Coco Gauff vs. Elena Rybakina prediction, including recent form, match analysis, and a PrizePicks pick. The semifinal match is slated to start at 8:30 p.m. ET on Tennis Channel.
Make your Gauff vs. Rybakina predictions on PrizePicks for Wednesday’s match now!
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Coco Gauff vs. Elena Rybakina Prediction, Favorite for the Canadian Open Semifinals
Below are the payouts for the winner of Wednesday’s Gauff vs. Rybakina match in the Canadian Open semifinals, via PrizePicks Team Picks. Gauff enters as a slight favorite to win, according to PrizePicks.
On PrizePicks Team Picks, a 2x payout represents a return of $200 on a $100 entry (or $20 on $10). A lower payout multiplier signals a higher implied probability of that result based on user picks.
Payouts are live at the time of writing and are subject to change. Tennis winner markets are available in 36 states.
Coco Gauff vs. Elena Rybakina Prediction – Wednesday, August 12
Match Winner Payouts: Gauff 1.72x | Rybakina 2.04x
Tournament Round: Canadian Open Semifinals
2026 Record Entering the Canadian Open: Gauff 31-12 | Rybakina 34-11
Head-to-Head Record: Gauff leads 1-0
Scheduled Time: 8:30 p.m. ET
How to Watch: Tennis Channel
Coco Gauff hasn’t lost a set over her run in Toronto, and following a walkover in the quarterfinals, she’ll also have a rest advantage in these semifinals.
While Gauff hasn’t won a title in 2026, she’s made deep runs at several big tournaments. She was a finalist in both Miami and Rome and a semifinalist in Dubai — all WTA 1000 events — and most recently reached the semifinals at Wimbledon.
Compared to Gauff, Elena Rybakina hasn’t exactly cruised through her Canadian Open matches. In the quarterfinals, she had to come back from a set down to defeat Naomi Osaka 4-6, 7-6(5), 6-4, marking her third three-setter through four matches here.
Rybakina typically has an elite serve, and while she’s still tallying a good chunk of aces, she’s otherwise been inconsistent. Across her four matches, she’s logged 16, 1, 6, and 6 double faults. If Rybakina isn’t serving at her best, she could run into trouble against a strong returner like Gauff.
Furthermore, Rybakina's shaky form dates back to the European grass season, where she went just 3-3 and failed to advance past the third round at Wimbledon.
Want more tennis picks? Find our Canadian Open prediction for Tien vs. Shelton here!
Gauff also defeated Rybakina in their lone head-to-head at this same event, though it came back in 2022.
Rybakina represents by far the toughest opponent Gauff has faced in Toronto. Still, with the Kazakhstani player struggling to stay alive throughout this tournament, the in-form American could be poised to take advantage.
Make your Gauff vs. Rybakina prediction for on PrizePicks now!
Gauff vs. Rybakina Pick for Canadian Open Today
Coco Gauff Pick – 12 Fantasy Score
Note: In PrizePicks tennis fantasy scoring, players earn 10 points to start (match played), games won/lost are +1/-1, sets won/lost at +3/-3, aces are 0.5, while double faults count for -0.5.
Over her last five matches, Gauff has scored 17, 13.5, 19.5, 24, and 24 fantasy points. In the two matches where she scored under 19 points, both were three-setters, and one was even a loss.
Over the past 52 weeks on hard courts, Gauff has won 47.5% of her return points, which is the fourth-best among the top 50 players. That makes her particularly dangerous if Rybakina has any serve issues.
Gauff is no stranger to double faults, but she’s kept the damage to a minimum over her last two matches, tallying just 3 in each.
The American has six wins over top-10 opponents over the last 52 weeks.
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Make Your Canadian Open Predictions Today on PrizePicks
This is a fantastic semifinal matchup at the Canadian Open between Coco Gauff and Elena Rybakina, two of the best players on the WTA Tour. Who will advance to Thursday's final?
Don’t wait until Wednesday’s matches start — make your Canadian Open predictions on PrizePicks now.
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